Steel-Decoration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$679

Unrealized P&L

+$226

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

190

Trades

610

lifetime

Volume

$8.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$520

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-28 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 44% -$398

Politics

25% 24% -$128

Other

10% 36% -$107

Sports

2% 23% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,277	$300	40¢	$517	+$217	10-28 04:38
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,000	-$6	0¢	$-2	+$4	05-05 20:00
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1,000	-$6	0¢	$-2	+$4	04-28 20:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$1.5K	2,581	1,304	+1,277	open	—	10-28 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$342	218	218	+0	Up	+$42	10-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$284	157	157	+0	Up	+$24	05-05 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	10	$247	190	190	+0	Down	+$41	10-27 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$242	267	267	+0	Down	-$58	10-27 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$235	172	172	+0	Down	+$52	05-05 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$234	386	386	+0	Down	-$126	05-05 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	11	$207	216	141	+75	Up	-$99	10-27 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:45 UTC	12	$203	238	235	+3	Up	+$9	03-17 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$191	117	117	+0	Up	+$41	10-27 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	9	$191	168	103	+65	Up	+$26	05-05 21:48
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$190	500	500	+0	No	-$10	03-08 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:25 UTC	10	$185	161	159	+2	Down	+$16	03-17 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:10 UTC	10	$160	138	137	+2	Down	+$31	03-17 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$158	90	90	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 21:53
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	4	$134	675	675	+0	No	-$63	03-17 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$131	171	40	+130	Down	-$69	10-27 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:35 UTC	6	$130	79	79	+1	Down	+$10	03-17 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$128	556	0	+556	Up	-$128	10-27 19:28
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$119	128	128	+0	No	+$19	03-09 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:40 UTC	6	$105	110	110	+0	Up	-$10	03-10 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:55 UTC	4	$103	105	104	+1	Down	-$27	03-10 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:20 UTC	2	$100	5,684	0	+5,684	Down	-$100	03-05 15:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$93	84	84	+0	Yes	+$9	03-22 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$93	65	65	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$78	56	56	+0	Down	+$16	10-27 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:50 UTC	4	$74	76	75	+1	Down	-$24	03-17 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:20 UTC	4	$73	138	137	+1	Down	+$4	03-17 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$72	57	57	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 21:37
cbb miss ark 2026 03 14	2	$69	143	143	+0	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$29	03-14 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:38:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,277	47¢	$600	0x8590ca…
10-28 04:38:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,304	46¢	$600	0x9ba6f9…
10-28 04:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf5eac3…
10-27 22:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9f678…
10-27 22:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbe2472…
10-27 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3b3604…
10-27 22:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8d0838…
10-27 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xd51be2…
10-27 22:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xe1120f…
10-27 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	99	30¢	$30	0x758906…
10-27 22:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0xbbcef7…
10-27 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x276e5b…
10-27 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9ca122…
10-27 22:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x814607…
10-27 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe4175f…
10-27 21:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x6809c1…
10-27 21:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa1a393…
10-27 21:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x59a94a…
10-27 21:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	93	55¢	$51	0x00b3ba…
10-27 21:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x8fee2e…
10-27 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc68b22…
10-27 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7dd04b…
10-27 21:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x516fbe…
10-27 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x566a01…
10-27 21:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x11a400…
10-27 21:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	59	93¢	$54	0x425d3b…
10-27 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xf9813c…
10-27 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe1cc05…
10-27 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	208	18¢	$37	0xfcb7a2…
10-27 21:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x643ee0…
10-27 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x38d705…
10-27 21:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x45c185…
10-27 21:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x44aefb…
10-27 21:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x9d6575…
10-27 21:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x19feb1…
10-27 20:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbb9b63…
10-27 20:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x854f20…
10-27 20:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1f6107…
10-27 20:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x7a0681…
10-27 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b05cb…
10-27 20:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0ab3d3…
10-27 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x301c0e…
10-27 20:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5eba14…
10-27 20:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5b24f…
10-27 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf259e5…
10-27 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa34f71…
10-27 19:59:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0xf6e903…
10-27 19:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	296	1¢	$3	0x660dcd…
10-27 19:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc9f080…
10-27 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3b2cf6…
10-27 19:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0xe85040…
10-27 19:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x794a7a…
10-27 19:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x87ada8…
10-27 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe994ff…
10-27 19:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xab77a9…
10-27 19:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	93	78¢	$73	0xd1a26b…
10-27 19:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xaacbe7…
10-27 19:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xee8de2…
10-27 19:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	40	76¢	$31	0x46b092…
10-27 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf6bc55…
10-27 19:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x892431…
10-27 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xab5402…
10-27 19:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xaa4686…
10-27 19:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x8390d2…
10-27 19:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xdc80f9…
10-27 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe9b29c…
10-27 18:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	143	8¢	$12	0x469c1f…
10-27 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x21eb6d…
10-27 18:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfa7484…
10-27 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x3593a6…
10-27 18:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xdb676c…
10-27 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x92fdb0…
10-27 18:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xcc78cf…
10-27 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0a1411…
10-27 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0x3988ce…
10-27 18:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x4009e2…
10-27 18:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x709d75…
10-27 18:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf849fb…
10-27 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa8e723…
10-27 18:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xcc6eda…
10-27 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	82	18¢	$15	0x365cc8…
10-27 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf452d4…
10-27 18:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x8d88ed…
10-27 18:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x18f187…
10-27 18:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x789ac3…
10-27 18:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x19fad1…
10-27 18:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6e5485…
10-27 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbdb391…
10-27 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x8ef88d…
10-27 18:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x23db47…
10-27 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x621180…
10-27 18:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3aac9d…
10-27 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd6d1a8…
10-27 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x124240…
10-27 17:31:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x58fa7e…
10-27 17:31:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,304	23¢	$300	0xb8ca44…
05-05 22:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x101d34…
05-05 22:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc8e66e…
05-05 22:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x253e8d…
05-05 22:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x5caad4…