Costly-Dugout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

795

Trades

1,553

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-31 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$1,037

Other

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:35 UTC	10	$365	288	288	+0	Up	+$205	09-26 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$318	330	330	+0	Up	+$68	09-11 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	11	$289	191	191	+0	Down	+$89	10-09 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$287	283	283	+0	Down	+$75	05-07 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$282	474	0	+474	Up	+$192	09-18 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$277	189	189	+0	Down	+$77	05-14 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$262	189	189	+0	Down	+$62	09-14 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$258	195	195	+0	Up	+$58	09-22 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:55 UTC	9	$254	192	192	+0	Up	+$54	10-05 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:25 UTC	2	$243	217	217	+0	Up	+$43	06-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$239	239	239	+0	Up	+$39	09-18 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$238	141	141	+0	Down	+$38	09-08 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:15 UTC	2	$236	152	152	+0	Down	+$36	09-19 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$233	189	189	+0	Down	+$33	09-13 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$227	185	185	+0	Down	+$27	05-16 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:15 UTC	2	$222	149	149	+0	Up	+$22	09-16 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$219	179	179	+0	Up	+$19	09-18 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:35 UTC	2	$216	220	220	+0	Up	+$16	06-11 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:10 UTC	2	$211	112	112	+0	Up	+$11	06-09 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:00 UTC	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	09-17 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$208	125	125	+0	Down	+$8	09-15 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:40 UTC	2	$205	187	187	+0	Up	+$5	06-09 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	9	$204	155	155	+0	Up	+$44	10-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:40 UTC	2	$200	294	0	+294	Up	+$94	09-19 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:05 UTC	3	$168	149	149	+0	Up	+$68	08-21 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$162	103	103	+0	Down	+$42	09-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	22	$154	103	103	+0	Down	+$31	09-25 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	16	$141	126	126	+0	Up	+$61	10-07 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:00 UTC	7	$136	91	91	+0	Up	+$36	09-26 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$132	117	117	+0	Down	+$12	09-29 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xff6b9e…
11-01 16:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0607e4…
10-31 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	65	84¢	$54	0x12856f…
10-31 14:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5f15fe…
10-31 14:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x95ed3a…
10-31 14:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc50b9b…
10-31 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2e94dd…
10-31 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x38d667…
10-31 13:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x6bee94…
10-31 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbbff34…
10-31 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x1598ea…
10-31 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe28425…
10-31 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x21b57e…
10-31 13:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdea47a…
10-31 13:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f0dac…
10-31 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa29105…
10-31 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x76e782…
10-30 22:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4903ab…
10-30 16:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe518d4…
10-30 16:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9a9d87…
10-29 10:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x3102cf…
10-29 10:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0xafe00e…
10-29 10:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb84405…
10-29 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x761b2e…
10-29 10:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf1585e…
10-29 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0a76d…
10-29 10:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x19ce92…
10-28 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7acbbc…
10-28 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xbb9ae8…
10-28 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x92fa4a…
10-28 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x8ce56a…
10-28 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x37e0d1…
10-28 22:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcd6c13…
10-28 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3db911…
10-28 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5e98ec…
10-28 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb2463…
10-28 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xbbc2e9…
10-28 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xad0442…
10-28 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x38d40d…
10-28 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5ce087…
10-28 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0xc034f7…
10-28 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1f7940…
10-28 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x037b6c…
10-28 22:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x061b6e…
10-28 22:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x89444f…
10-28 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb5e9fb…
10-28 21:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdde598…
10-28 21:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc5b969…
10-28 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x539e16…
10-28 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x731455…
10-28 21:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x217e42…
10-28 21:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd987e8…
10-28 21:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x439da4…
10-28 21:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1a18e3…
10-28 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x309dc3…
10-28 21:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2958f0…
10-28 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb8c535…
10-28 21:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x20217e…
10-28 21:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x388584…
10-28 21:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xadca21…
10-28 10:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x779da7…
10-28 10:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5d8b88…
10-28 09:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x751f75…
10-28 09:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$9	0x5338c4…
10-28 09:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1f9445…
10-27 14:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2870d7…
10-26 22:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa5beda…
10-25 18:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x670e29…
10-25 18:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x733c75…
10-25 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x19b384…
10-25 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x307d71…
10-25 16:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x30092d…
10-24 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9a6a3b…
10-24 21:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9be86a…
10-24 21:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa4df0f…
10-24 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x653b21…
10-24 21:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8ee086…
10-24 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfa988f…
10-24 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x402931…
10-24 21:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xbb8d1f…
10-24 21:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x96363b…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xfd38f2…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c9cbe…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6b906c…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66b4b0…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x6456c7…
10-24 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x35c0f0…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe30301…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd80eb9…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa4d74a…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6d5170…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3deaf1…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x325296…
10-24 21:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x16d6fb…
10-23 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x1fb045…
10-23 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3856a8…
10-23 12:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe033ca…
10-23 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbbe5e2…
10-23 12:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7485dd…
10-22 18:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x84f52f…