Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

$267

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$69

Other

31% 100% +$21

Tech

11% 100% +$8

Sports

5% 100% +$8

Crypto

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+272	$270	98¢	$267	-$2	10-29 05:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$270	272	+272	open	—	10-29 05:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$256	270	+270	Yes	+$13	10-25 21:58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$249	256	+256	Yes	+$7	08-28 06:39
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	3	$215	250	+250	No	+$35	08-16 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$205	205	+205	No	+$0	07-05 14:06
ferran torres 20260609173616760	1	$205	205	+205	Yes	+$0	06-15 15:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$199	199	+199	Yes	+$0	05-25 04:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$191	198	+198	No	+$7	05-22 04:49
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	1	$190	191	+191	No	+$2	05-13 03:46
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$189	190	+190	No	+$1	04-30 03:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$177	178	+178	Yes	+$1	03-12 03:03
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$173	177	+177	Yes	+$4	03-11 13:10
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	1	$105	107	+107	Yes	+$2	07-17 11:00
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	1	$103	105	+105	Yes	+$2	07-15 03:56
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$103	103	+103	Yes	+$0	07-15 03:56
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$101	101	+101	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:43
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$99	103	+103	No	+$4	06-05 08:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$99	101	+101	No	+$2	06-05 08:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$93	95	+95	Yes	+$2	04-05 13:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$91	100	+100	Yes	+$9	01-05 08:00
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$86	87	+87	No	+$2	01-29 16:17
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$85	86	+86	No	+$0	01-29 16:17
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$71	71	+71	No	+$0	01-05 08:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$47	47	+47	No	+$0	04-05 13:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$47	47	+47	No	+$0	04-05 13:07
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$36	39	+39	No	+$3	03-27 02:51
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$36	39	+39	No	+$3	03-27 02:51
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$36	37	+37	No	+$1	03-27 02:59
will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	03-27 02:52
will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$1	03-27 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:44:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x0fa874…
10-25 21:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	270	95¢	$256	0xdbd324…
08-28 06:39:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	256	97¢	$249	0x78b820…
08-16 18:50:52	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	161	86¢	$138	0x3d92e3…
08-16 16:11:39	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	74	86¢	$64	0x613620…
08-16 13:48:22	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xd394dd…
07-25 09:14:34	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xf3c8d4…
07-25 09:14:21	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0xace292…
07-17 11:00:45	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x26ac0b…
07-15 03:56:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x4f30d8…
07-15 03:56:46	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbb8df4…
07-05 14:06:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x2a3a4b…
06-15 15:30:57	ferran torres 20260609173616760	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x0323a0…
06-08 08:43:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf15ef2…
06-05 08:58:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x7d2b3f…
06-05 08:06:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x4205fb…
05-25 04:46:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xe3edf4…
05-22 04:49:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	198	97¢	$191	0xda5e2e…
05-13 03:46:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0xbbb526…
04-30 03:51:26	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x9aa0c3…
04-05 13:07:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x304266…
04-05 13:07:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xa6c4ee…
04-05 13:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x5d8d10…
03-27 03:07:05	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0xe3468f…
03-27 02:59:13	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xd78b68…
03-27 02:52:07	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xe18446…
03-27 02:51:43	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x4d1621…
03-27 02:51:07	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xaf9c46…
03-12 03:03:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	178	99¢	$177	0xec79d6…
03-11 13:10:55	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x0bd065…
03-09 12:29:51	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x6fc474…
01-29 16:17:54	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x1a9967…
01-29 16:17:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0xdb2714…
01-05 08:00:49	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0xbf72b7…
01-05 08:00:27	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x1896e5…