Violet-Rationale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

199

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-18 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$267	183	183	+0	Up	+$17	05-19 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:40 UTC	3	$254	221	121	+101	Down	-$71	06-17 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$238	185	185	+0	Up	-$2	05-19 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$231	141	141	+0	Up	-$9	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$173	127	127	+0	Up	+$13	05-20 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$172	98	98	+0	Up	+$12	05-14 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$168	147	35	+112	Down	+$10	05-19 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$167	89	89	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$164	99	99	+0	Down	+$24	05-19 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$163	125	125	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$156	120	68	+51	Up	+$7	05-11 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:45 UTC	3	$149	162	42	+120	Up	-$111	06-17 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$148	124	124	+0	Up	-$12	05-20 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$144	109	109	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$138	106	106	+0	Up	+$8	05-19 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:05 UTC	2	$138	79	79	+0	Up	+$14	06-17 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:25 UTC	2	$135	80	80	+0	Up	+$17	06-17 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$135	102	68	+34	Up	+$9	05-11 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$132	98	98	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:55 UTC	4	$128	70	70	+0	Up	+$7	08-12 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$127	141	141	+0	Up	-$49	05-20 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$126	98	98	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$125	122	21	+101	Down	-$4	05-11 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$123	68	68	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$123	123	123	+0	Down	+$13	05-20 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$122	80	80	+0	Down	-$10	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$122	145	145	+0	Up	-$58	05-20 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$120	77	77	+0	Down	+$20	05-19 23:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:10 UTC	2	$119	124	60	+64	Down	-$27	06-17 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$117	70	70	+0	Down	+$17	05-19 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 23:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x394b41…
08-18 23:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x89d701…
08-18 23:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x6dc2f7…
08-18 23:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe9359e…
08-18 23:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x622658…
08-18 23:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x39e07f…
08-12 21:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	78¢	$60	0x26dd77…
08-12 20:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x51be5c…
08-12 20:57:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0xecf0d8…
08-12 20:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x4737a5…
08-12 20:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x169806…
08-12 20:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x864ae1…
08-12 20:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x04ea3f…
08-12 20:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x487a6f…
08-12 20:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x1a4682…
08-12 20:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x8c0561…
08-12 20:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x95c114…
08-12 20:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfcddb5…
06-17 22:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	88¢	$89	0x0501a2…
06-17 22:41:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	121	76¢	$92	0x673b2a…
06-17 22:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0x4b0af2…
06-17 22:27:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xd5a39b…
06-17 22:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x3399fe…
06-17 22:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	68	89¢	$61	0x041137…
06-17 22:20:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0xc2f7ac…
06-17 22:13:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0xa598c2…
06-17 22:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	124	59¢	$73	0xc598c2…
06-17 22:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	79	95¢	$76	0xb7b0d4…
06-17 22:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	79	78¢	$62	0xe326e8…
06-17 22:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xd9cd98…
06-17 22:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	63	72¢	$45	0x0d186c…
06-17 21:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xb18f88…
06-17 21:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	54	66¢	$35	0xeab4e6…
06-17 21:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xc6e250…
06-17 21:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0xf8f559…
06-17 21:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	42	47¢	$19	0x756323…
06-17 21:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x1c5dc5…
06-17 21:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xbe8271…
06-17 21:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x76d1ac…
06-17 21:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9ec0a3…
06-17 21:36:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0xa0ee25…
06-17 21:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x6b425e…
06-17 21:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x33f6e8…
06-17 21:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb79a50…
06-17 21:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x9c3343…
06-17 21:25:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x96728d…
06-17 21:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x6ecc80…
06-17 21:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x001654…
06-17 21:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xa1c1e9…
06-17 21:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x0555ac…
05-27 15:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xb2091e…
05-27 15:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x00ea24…
05-27 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x107f60…
05-27 15:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5f0507…
05-27 15:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x7dfa26…
05-27 15:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9abbdb…
05-27 15:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x1319b8…
05-27 15:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7b22eb…
05-27 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	80¢	$16	0xf2e390…
05-27 15:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xff1563…
05-27 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0x30b8ed…
05-27 15:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x69681d…
05-27 15:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xa23723…
05-27 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x2b4560…
05-27 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1e15f4…
05-22 20:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0a1d1e…
05-22 20:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x25f837…
05-22 20:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x146137…
05-22 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x3148d6…
05-22 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdf2da1…
05-20 23:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x25d3b4…
05-20 23:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x35a164…
05-20 23:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc51819…
05-20 23:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x256d5a…
05-20 23:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0xe2bb1e…
05-20 23:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x4db9ea…
05-20 23:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	54	26¢	$14	0xdc38ce…
05-20 23:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x40c560…
05-20 23:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	68	78¢	$54	0x196134…
05-20 23:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x656174…
05-20 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	68	60¢	$40	0x22c0e2…
05-20 23:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7f7e5c…
05-20 23:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	57	49¢	$28	0x8bd5f4…
05-20 23:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x8c0f01…
05-20 23:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x8e0a87…
05-20 23:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0xb6d2c7…
05-20 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	65	74¢	$48	0xc830cf…
05-20 22:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0xa3b66f…
05-20 22:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xf59f73…
05-20 17:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x5ea2e3…
05-20 17:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x2e3cda…
05-20 17:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0x551cf4…
05-20 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xac5c5f…
05-20 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xef7088…
05-20 17:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x805e62…
05-20 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	92	20¢	$19	0x3a7954…
05-20 17:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb83274…
05-20 17:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xf09e94…
05-20 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x2d753a…
05-20 17:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0x3748a2…