Fickle-Mine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

125

Trades

5,099

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-09 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-20

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772918100	6	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	03-07 21:28
bitcoin up or down march 7 12pm et	13	$38	32	32	+0	open	—	03-07 17:41
btc updown 15m 1772932500	9	$32	31	24	+8	open	—	03-08 01:29
bitcoin up or down march 7 11am et	12	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	03-07 16:51
bitcoin up or down march 6 8pm et	14	$29	28	27	+0	open	—	03-07 01:49
btc updown 15m 1772922600	9	$28	19	18	+0	open	—	03-07 22:45
btc updown 15m 1772926200	5	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 23:44
btc updown 15m 1772846100	7	$24	18	16	+1	open	—	03-07 01:29
btc updown 5m 1774836600	4	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 02:14
btc updown 15m 1772931600	8	$22	15	14	+0	open	—	03-08 01:15
bitcoin up or down march 13 8pm et	13	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	03-14 00:49
btc updown 5m 1772928600	4	$21	17	16	+0	open	—	03-08 00:15
btc updown 5m 1774919100	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-31 01:09
btc updown 5m 1774915200	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-31 00:04
bitcoin up or down march 2 8pm et	18	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	03-03 01:57
btc updown 5m 1772898000	8	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 15:44
btc updown 15m 1772921700	9	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 22:29
btc updown 5m 1772934300	5	$19	13	12	+2	open	—	03-08 01:50
btc updown 15m 1772930700	10	$18	118	118	+0	open	—	03-08 00:59
bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	8	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$17	15	9	+6	open	—	05-24 12:29
btc updown 15m 1772929800	8	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-08 00:43
btc updown 5m 1772934000	5	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-08 01:44
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	12	$17	41	41	+0	open	—	03-10 01:57
btc updown 5m 1772903700	8	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-07 17:20
bitcoin up or down march 1 12pm et	16	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	03-01 17:59
bitcoin up or down march 14 3pm et	7	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 19:54
btc updown 15m 1772844300	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-07 00:59
btc updown 15m 1773417600	9	$16	17	14	+3	open	—	03-13 16:14
btc updown 15m 1773423900	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:43:46	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x027a8f…
06-10 02:43:18	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd1891b…
06-09 23:03:16	btc updown 5m 1781046000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x388c0c…
06-09 12:07:22	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8bca51…
06-09 11:52:52	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbd3590…
06-09 11:49:21	btc updown 5m 1781005500	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1a3705…
06-08 23:52:49	btc updown 15m 1780962300	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xee3105…
06-08 23:42:22	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0fe02d…
06-08 12:01:09	btc updown 5m 1780920000	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6fa889…
06-07 22:12:18	btc updown 5m 1780870200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72c821…
06-07 22:11:45	btc updown 5m 1780870200	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x556e21…
06-07 19:46:52	btc updown 5m 1780861500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb952b4…
06-07 19:44:30	btc updown 5m 1780861200	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x646243…
06-07 19:43:39	btc updown 5m 1780861200	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf7ab06…
06-07 19:27:01	btc updown 5m 1780860300	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa3b1e3…
06-07 19:16:45	btc updown 5m 1780859700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb9cf31…
06-07 19:16:07	btc updown 5m 1780859700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcc15b7…
06-07 19:07:27	btc updown 15m 1780858800	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6acca1…
06-07 19:06:46	btc updown 5m 1780859100	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x8223ea…
06-07 19:06:06	btc updown 5m 1780859100	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x903d1a…
06-07 14:43:43	btc updown 15m 1780842600	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x360a51…
06-07 14:41:52	btc updown 15m 1780842600	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x14643d…
06-07 14:36:46	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea5fb5…
06-07 13:24:58	btc updown 15m 1780838100	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x24ae0b…
06-07 13:02:51	btc updown 5m 1780837200	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd43d7b…
06-07 12:57:30	btc updown 5m 1780836900	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x857d9b…
06-07 02:21:19	btc updown 5m 1780798800	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc13d92…
06-07 02:06:22	btc updown 5m 1780797900	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaabc82…
06-07 01:57:04	btc updown 5m 1780797300	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5332b6…
06-06 20:31:19	btc updown 5m 1780777800	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x271c30…
06-06 20:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780776600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x070e90…
06-06 20:10:45	btc updown 5m 1780776600	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ceb21…
06-06 19:54:19	btc updown 5m 1780775400	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef47a9…
06-06 17:19:51	btc updown 5m 1780766100	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb1ba76…
06-06 17:17:48	btc updown 5m 1780766100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1fb838…
06-06 16:31:54	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4a4bbb…
06-06 16:28:12	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8c2308…
06-01 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4189db…
06-01 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe484c8…
06-01 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa49694…
06-01 01:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf55d2d…
05-31 18:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeb20c5…
05-31 18:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93e4be…
05-31 17:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdb8e6b…
05-31 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x20dcc2…
05-31 15:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xc98928…
05-31 15:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0b642e…
05-31 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x49ba57…
05-31 14:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xef572e…
05-31 11:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x976382…
05-31 11:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5fd421…
05-31 11:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xbe7889…
05-31 11:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3caff0…
05-31 04:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8838f6…
05-31 03:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99c2bf…
05-31 03:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xad7c48…
05-31 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x13e48e…
05-31 03:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb328f7…
05-31 03:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9ea6d…
05-31 03:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa60a06…
05-31 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x81d73b…
05-31 03:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x351a20…
05-31 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x999943…
05-31 03:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2398d8…
05-31 02:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x47a006…
05-31 02:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x75235f…
05-31 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x469f64…
05-30 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x033bba…
05-30 23:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9596a0…
05-30 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cf87a…
05-30 23:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd7224d…
05-30 22:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb21c10…
05-30 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x97ecb5…
05-30 22:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c4f9f…
05-30 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdced84…
05-30 19:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2b99b9…
05-30 18:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2fa6fc…
05-30 18:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe348ab…
05-30 18:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb8ab9c…
05-30 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe4e528…
05-30 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9d01dd…
05-30 18:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x68c1e5…
05-30 12:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6edf04…
05-30 03:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x11a0af…
05-30 03:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd2fee3…
05-30 02:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb50b93…
05-30 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x62ba55…
05-30 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0e66d1…
05-29 23:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a1486…
05-29 23:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x6a1772…
05-29 23:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1eba62…
05-25 02:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf12393…
05-25 01:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x34da96…
05-25 00:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x82c663…
05-25 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2fa6d1…
05-24 21:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1c2ecb…
05-24 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81a40a…
05-24 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1a256…
05-24 21:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x95efc2…
05-24 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf539b2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	792	$71.4K	10,981	05-17 04:54
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	770	$37.7K	5,825	06-10 02:40
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	733	$25.3K	2,703	05-01 04:03
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	665	$384.5K	16,514	06-07 19:15
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	636	$331.6K	28,882	05-31 18:32
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	628	$1.33K	2,802	06-07 19:17
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	618	$467.8K	64,089	04-07 15:49
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	614	$584	1,561	05-31 18:34