Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

104

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-29 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

65% 97% +$5

Politics

21% 80% -$12

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+34	$32	99¢	$33	+$1	10-29 17:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+2	$2	58¢	$1	$0	10-27 12:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	7	$118	62	62	+0	No	+$1	08-31 21:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$118	80	40	+40	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-07 03:13
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	08-13 16:24
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-15 23:31
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-04 03:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	10-01 03:40
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$33	35	0	+35	Yes	+$2	08-04 21:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	10-29 17:44
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	08-13 18:08
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	09-28 20:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	7	$22	37	37	+0	open	—	10-17 16:19
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 04:34
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	07-30 16:11
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-31 16:28
will spy reach 790 in june 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-30 00:23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$16	20	0	+20	No	-$16	10-15 08:16
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-20 21:33
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-28 23:05
amzn above 190 on january 30 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	01-23 15:41
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 16:52
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-25 06:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-29 14:08
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-19 21:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 22:47
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-22 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-21 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-26 02:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-25 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:44:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x746a10…
10-27 12:52:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x93f068…
10-26 04:34:09	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d7b56…
10-25 22:57:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x5d3043…
10-25 22:57:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x139b98…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x48773a…
10-17 16:19:14	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x6d4a7a…
10-15 08:16:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x2b4df0…
10-12 00:41:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x3d8979…
10-11 23:32:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xce8543…
10-11 21:38:31	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x1cddb4…
10-11 21:25:01	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xb4fb61…
10-11 21:23:32	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x98bd7b…
10-11 05:02:14	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e4d4a…
10-10 21:25:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6f6426…
10-01 03:40:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x526c2f…
09-28 20:26:35	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe72004…
09-26 02:45:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf538bf…
09-25 07:45:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xdf2af8…
09-23 09:57:53	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xce172a…
09-15 23:31:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7e5034…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x77e719…
09-12 05:40:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x7ebe12…
09-10 22:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x955a3f…
09-07 03:13:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd84f1f…
09-07 03:08:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x490333…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x3c2a9c…
09-04 03:49:40	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf94c38…
09-04 03:21:55	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4bd856…
08-31 21:43:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb8a0a1…
08-29 16:07:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc15f0f…
08-29 16:05:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23c809…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8cabdb…
08-26 01:08:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0xa0f67c…
08-24 04:39:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3eabfc…
08-23 05:00:01	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x912f20…
08-20 21:33:57	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x916b8e…
08-20 15:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xd29cda…
08-20 15:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x9cff64…
08-20 15:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa23b5a…
08-20 15:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdc2d9d…
08-18 15:06:39	will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50e067…
08-18 06:06:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x339d89…
08-17 19:13:55	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa4524…
08-13 18:08:22	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x038746…
08-13 16:24:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x224636…
08-10 18:57:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc161d1…
08-10 05:49:34	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd06016…
08-10 05:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x50527e…
08-06 09:59:47	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b132d…
08-05 22:50:35	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x713169…
08-04 21:40:20	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x0b9eae…
08-04 20:33:08	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded53f…
08-03 18:49:44	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b6801…
07-30 16:11:51	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb0acdb…
07-30 14:05:23	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xfa0fd0…
07-29 21:49:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9b945…
07-27 19:49:15	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0c059…
07-27 06:42:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0af592…
07-26 05:19:04	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca38cd…
07-24 16:40:46	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e7062…
07-23 22:36:13	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6b3f7…
07-22 08:29:39	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d3742…
07-22 07:23:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf8da6…
07-20 21:17:10	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x150f17…
07-20 14:42:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x034682…
07-17 09:30:16	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6a9ce7…
07-03 15:53:10	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x65e7e9…
06-30 00:23:32	will spy reach 790 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x061728…
06-28 23:05:40	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf2037f…
06-27 11:03:04	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf42ff9…
06-27 10:09:56	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x106c02…
05-22 13:18:25	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7772af…
05-15 16:52:53	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x900159…
05-11 19:53:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x704bda…
05-10 04:08:06	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcac8b8…
05-09 12:27:15	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbab653…
05-09 00:02:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x98a46f…
05-08 19:37:59	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5a3df…
05-06 15:35:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f3d42…
05-05 22:47:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x599bd5…
05-05 19:12:28	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x37b81c…
05-05 13:59:12	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa9c4df…
05-05 07:27:14	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x712a93…
04-29 14:08:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x472a05…
04-25 16:52:42	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x040503…
04-22 21:13:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0a00a…
04-21 18:41:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c2835…
04-19 17:45:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x231c64…
04-19 05:54:38	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4821c4…
04-18 15:10:24	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfc7569…
04-18 11:15:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x197dda…
04-17 16:27:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdffefc…
04-13 19:34:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x00cab6…
04-06 06:03:13	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7d2758…
03-31 16:28:17	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa8b03b…
03-30 07:14:46	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce38e3…
03-29 05:39:52	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1e1bb…
03-28 11:43:39	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61bd5c…
03-27 09:12:53	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x482afb…