Cultured-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

297

Trades

722

lifetime

Volume

$6.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-15 07:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

100% 43% +$1,000

Sports

0% 100% +$12

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+5	$3	39¢	$2	-$1	09-15 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	3	$1.1K	1,173	1,116	+57	Yes	+$1,130	04-11 10:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	2	$239	248	236	+12	Yes	+$244	04-11 10:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 29c	1	$80	420	0	+420	No	-$80	04-11 10:24
highest temperature in singapore on april 14 2026 33corhigher	3	$79	110	0	+110	Yes	-$79	04-12 17:57
highest temperature in singapore on april 15 2026 32c	3	$79	122	0	+122	Yes	-$79	04-13 14:40
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 28c	4	$77	140	0	+140	No	+$63	04-12 09:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 28corhigher	8	$69	156	0	+156	No	-$69	04-12 06:11
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 31c	3	$69	103	0	+103	No	+$33	04-10 21:22
highest temperature in los angeles on april 13 2026 62 63f	3	$68	96	0	+96	No	+$28	04-12 08:41
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 26c	4	$68	96	0	+96	Yes	-$68	04-11 15:56
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 62forhigher	9	$67	255	0	+255	No	-$67	04-11 15:56
highest temperature in miami on april 12 2026 78 79f	4	$67	111	0	+111	No	+$44	04-11 14:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	5	$67	76	0	+76	Yes	-$67	04-18 14:09
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 31c	9	$67	95	0	+95	No	+$28	04-18 15:39
highest temperature in tokyo on april 19 2026 24c	11	$65	114	0	+114	No	+$49	04-18 14:39
highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 23corhigher	5	$64	143	0	+143	Yes	-$64	04-12 10:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 4 2026 29corhigher	1	$63	80	0	+80	No	+$17	03-30 08:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	3	$59	130	0	+130	No	+$70	04-14 05:08
highest temperature in atlanta on april 13 2026 80 81f	3	$59	106	0	+106	No	+$47	04-12 16:35
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	2	$59	91	0	+91	Yes	+$32	04-10 10:56
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 16c	6	$59	101	0	+101	No	+$43	04-13 06:31
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 19corhigher	8	$58	196	0	+196	Yes	-$58	04-13 15:01
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 30c	1	$58	79	0	+79	No	+$21	04-10 11:26
highest temperature in atlanta on april 12 2026 84 85f	2	$58	94	0	+94	Yes	-$58	04-10 22:23
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	3	$55	75	0	+75	No	+$20	04-14 05:08
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	5	$54	66	0	+66	No	+$12	04-18 18:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 14corbelow	3	$50	522	0	+522	No	-$50	04-10 11:26
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 16c	1	$50	72	0	+72	No	+$22	04-10 10:25
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 15corhigher	5	$49	268	0	+268	No	-$49	04-11 16:26
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	4	$49	128	0	+128	No	-$49	04-13 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 07:23:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc8b5ed…
09-15 07:15:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x566a54…
09-15 07:02:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xafc3a3…
09-15 06:51:10	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x54fad5…
06-03 06:59:07	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x6d5b8e…
06-02 09:43:08	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x49d801…
06-02 09:43:04	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c78bf…
06-01 22:10:55	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf7e1d3…
06-01 21:52:25	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x161083…
05-28 13:03:15	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2910b1…
05-28 13:03:01	Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x764c03…
05-28 13:02:55	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x37f2eb…
05-28 13:02:50	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x5482e0…
05-28 12:59:11	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x24ca5b…
05-28 12:59:03	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x5bfba7…
05-28 12:58:57	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x99d1d5…
05-28 12:58:49	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x87eb86…
05-28 12:58:42	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x009d4a…
05-28 12:58:35	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5a08f3…
05-28 12:58:28	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfe2f48…
05-28 12:58:21	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbe05dd…
05-28 12:58:14	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x06c2a3…
05-28 12:58:07	Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7c7eb0…
05-28 12:53:09	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x1bfb2d…
05-27 18:51:34	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xd971e6…
05-26 18:31:30	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcd31a4…
05-26 18:31:30	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc523f6…
05-26 18:31:30	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbf1df5…
05-26 17:42:07	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xf3af22…
05-26 17:35:54	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf1bc6c…
04-18 22:42:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x83feb0…
04-18 22:42:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x5ffa29…
04-18 22:42:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x18e102…
04-18 22:42:12	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 17c	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb24ebc…
04-18 22:42:12	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 29c	No	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x39aafc…
04-18 22:42:12	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1d3dfe…
04-18 22:42:12	highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x107ca6…
04-18 22:42:12	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x06aaa8…
04-18 22:42:10	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x7eb1e0…
04-18 22:42:10	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1442a8…
04-18 22:42:08	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xe4fc8e…
04-18 22:12:02	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xa53111…
04-18 22:12:02	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 23c	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x1bdd91…
04-18 22:12:00	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 17c	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x9ec165…
04-18 22:12:00	highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x447156…
04-18 21:41:52	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x4a78d3…
04-18 21:41:52	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x46e5c7…
04-18 20:11:24	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5bb846…
04-18 19:41:12	highest temperature in atlanta on april 19 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc705fe…
04-18 19:11:04	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x067518…
04-18 18:40:58	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa236ea…
04-18 18:40:56	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d5b22…
04-18 18:40:56	highest temperature in atlanta on april 19 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x0a67bf…
04-18 18:10:50	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x130545…
04-18 18:10:48	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xf1becd…
04-18 18:10:48	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd79134…
04-18 17:40:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfee4b4…
04-18 17:40:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xef61f5…
04-18 17:40:40	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x324641…
04-18 17:40:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd42933…
04-18 17:40:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xbb2f27…
04-18 17:40:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x6d2a31…
04-18 17:40:36	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb45231…
04-18 17:40:36	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0xa626c9…
04-18 17:40:36	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x890dcd…
04-18 17:10:26	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xdc8940…
04-18 17:10:26	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc91291…
04-18 17:10:26	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x913b54…
04-18 17:10:26	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x209116…
04-18 17:10:24	highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd3ed77…
04-18 17:10:24	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x88249b…
04-18 17:10:24	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2ef3c5…
04-18 17:10:22	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xab47fa…
04-18 17:10:22	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	28	76¢	$22	0x2916de…
04-18 17:10:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xb3d241…
04-18 17:10:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x77208c…
04-18 17:10:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x6a46d2…
04-18 16:40:04	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xc06361…
04-18 16:40:04	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x9b42d9…
04-18 16:40:04	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x60a366…
04-18 16:40:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xe93431…
04-18 16:40:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xe5ccd0…
04-18 16:40:02	highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 23c	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x54073c…
04-18 16:40:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4bd0af…
04-18 16:40:00	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0xa67f29…
04-18 16:40:00	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x0bcaa0…
04-18 16:39:58	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xd65835…
04-18 16:39:58	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x3bd80e…
04-18 16:39:58	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x0f5e71…
04-18 16:09:50	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x8819da…
04-18 16:09:48	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0xc57660…
04-18 16:09:48	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa32ac9…
04-18 16:09:48	highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 23c	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x988f5b…
04-18 16:09:48	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x807e71…
04-18 16:09:46	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc8ae21…
04-18 16:09:46	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x410ac5…
04-18 16:09:46	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x3ccc42…
04-18 16:09:46	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x184b2b…
04-18 16:09:44	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x79f862…
04-18 16:09:44	highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	156	5¢	$7	0x164fb4…