Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$412

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-19 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

92% 67% -$80

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No		+304	$280	95¢	$288	+$8	10-19 10:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No		+128	$100	97¢	$124	+$24	10-05 15:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	1	$416	418	+418	No	+$2	09-30 07:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	2	$280	304	+304	open	—	10-19 10:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	2	$260	280	+280	No	+$20	10-05 15:02
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	17	$102	178	+178	Yes	-$102	10-13 09:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	128	+128	open	—	10-05 15:00
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	2	$55	75	+75	open	—	10-05 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 10:54:59	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	174	90¢	$156	0xb8185f…
10-16 20:44:03	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	130	95¢	$124	0x65daeb…
10-13 09:19:44	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xafa3c0…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xdc5d3c…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xb18081…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x99c59c…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x81918c…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6a27e0…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a582d…
10-13 07:41:32	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x1669ed…
10-13 07:41:31	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf9720c…
10-13 07:41:31	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf2b94e…
10-13 07:41:31	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x7d1b3f…
10-13 07:41:31	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x5df6b1…
10-13 07:41:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf5ec4c…
10-13 07:41:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xe3d4ce…
10-13 07:41:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x7e5fac…
10-13 07:41:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x4e1f5f…
10-13 07:41:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x1458f4…
10-05 15:02:50	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x31c2f0…
10-05 15:00:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf20758…
10-05 14:58:10	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x271f27…
10-05 14:57:46	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xbbe18c…
10-05 14:54:28	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x668f87…
09-30 07:59:56	Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	418	99¢	$416	0x27cf46…