All-Contrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-07 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 10:39
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 01:56
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 04:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:38
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:24
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:54
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xffc7b2…
11-06 10:05:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0472bf…
11-05 00:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf16f52…
11-04 12:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5dcf2…
11-03 09:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x503f46…
11-02 13:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd05cf7…
10-31 17:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe39a6…
10-31 09:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16a413…
10-30 09:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x454374…
10-29 07:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb557db…
10-28 04:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d18a1…
10-27 07:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee02f1…
10-26 05:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9904d…
10-24 06:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9241fe…
10-23 07:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4166…
10-21 08:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f694…
10-19 06:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdee8ea…
10-18 07:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf37656…
10-17 07:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5180…
10-16 05:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x386d03…
10-15 07:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe14178…
10-14 07:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0f146…
10-13 05:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20ccf3…
10-12 04:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x313b8b…
10-11 03:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0cbff…
10-08 07:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdefd4…
10-07 08:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea0e3…
10-06 07:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab2090…
10-04 08:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e0815…
10-03 04:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54e2b…
10-02 07:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1435ed…
10-02 03:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8fe9e…
10-01 07:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949de1…
09-30 09:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf01bd6…
09-29 08:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x239176…
09-28 08:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c8e4…
09-27 02:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f16ca…
09-25 07:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc432c…
09-24 06:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x263e0e…
09-23 05:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ff91…
09-22 06:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a8620…
09-21 08:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbb061…
09-20 03:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e83a5…
09-19 06:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d7d69…
09-18 01:12:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4a077…
09-17 03:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d5d92…
09-16 08:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfec693…
09-15 23:36:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d734e…
09-15 02:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3920b…
09-14 02:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ebd7…
09-13 12:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x753bd6…
09-12 08:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cc37f…
09-11 06:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f7578…
09-10 01:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c7401…
09-09 01:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86fe87…
09-08 01:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x211b60…
09-07 01:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed5227…
09-06 01:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa98b8e…
09-05 09:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed038c…
09-04 08:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85c095…
09-03 01:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa99862…
09-01 01:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8968ab…
08-30 01:01:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70d1cc…
08-29 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7728df…
08-28 01:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2009cf…
08-27 01:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb0912…
08-26 02:04:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd092ad…
08-25 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25063b…
08-24 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96e27a…
08-23 07:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x888973…
08-22 06:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x066b1f…
08-21 01:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875df5…
08-20 05:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d295d…
08-19 07:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42ccd…
08-18 01:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb42ef3…
08-17 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd1240…
08-16 10:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x653ab2…
08-15 02:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x516267…
08-14 06:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa5324…
08-13 00:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x326e34…
08-12 06:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47b195…
08-11 00:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18cd59…
08-10 00:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2869d8…
08-09 00:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec3cf9…
08-08 07:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0de3e7…
08-07 00:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93f46d…
08-06 00:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bbc3c…
08-05 00:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349e0e…
08-04 03:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcd414…
08-03 01:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfba09…
08-02 00:24:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2829…
08-01 00:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc61df8…
07-31 07:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30f1ac…
07-30 00:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54613e…
07-29 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4c297…
07-28 00:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078233…
07-27 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71ee5d…
07-26 01:10:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5ea2…
07-25 00:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a41f8…
07-24 06:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce0ff1…