Sizzling-Migration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

1,190

Trades

2,339

lifetime

Volume

$43.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-14 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 49% -$1,706

Other

14% 36% -$227

Politics

5% 14% -$140

Tech

2% 0% -$13

Sports

0% 50% +$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	16	$1.9K	2,013	2,008	+4	Howard Bison	-$30	03-17 22:50
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Texas Longhorns	-$8	03-17 02:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$890	600	600	+0	Yes	-$18	02-22 21:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$826	600	600	+0	Yes	-$13	02-16 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:55 UTC	6	$553	423	412	+11	Up	+$18	04-08 00:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$431	298	398	-100	No	+$59	03-16 00:11
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$395	200	400	-200	No	-$77	03-01 21:25
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$318	200	200	+0	No	-$2	02-23 05:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:30 UTC	6	$283	262	253	+9	Up	+$20	04-03 09:41
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	19	$283	600	600	+0	No	-$9	02-14 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$273	189	189	+0	Up	+$20	05-03 11:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$252	133	133	+0	No	+$0	02-17 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:30 UTC	2	$250	353	0	+353	Down	+$13	04-08 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	6	$247	232	232	+0	Down	-$9	05-03 23:16
will nvda reach 200 in february	5	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$22	02-17 21:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 23:00 UTC	9	$226	149	146	+3	Down	+$9	04-07 23:14
spx up or down on march 4 2026	4	$217	150	250	-100	Up	-$42	03-04 04:59
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	2	$212	100	300	-200	Down	-$94	02-22 23:02
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$206	150	150	+0	Yes	-$4	03-04 02:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 10:30 UTC	2	$206	141	136	+5	Up	+$67	04-06 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	3	$202	198	61	+137	Up	-$81	05-04 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:15 UTC	2	$201	101	101	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 03:00 UTC	3	$192	222	94	+129	Down	-$28	04-08 03:14
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6am et	3	$191	103	102	+1	Up	+$12	04-22 10:59
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 2am et	3	$185	113	110	+3	Up	+$37	04-23 07:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	2	$181	125	124	+2	Down	+$55	03-08 23:39
us issues do not travel warning for jalisco state by february 28 2026 348	9	$179	120	120	+0	No	-$1	02-23 10:16
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 6pm et	7	$179	188	180	+8	Up	+$24	04-05 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:45 UTC	7	$171	135	82	+53	Down	+$2	04-08 07:49
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$170	100	200	-100	No	-$42	02-24 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 23:23:11	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3b2f4b…
07-14 20:29:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xe5c129…
07-11 01:09:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2c23d6…
07-11 01:07:41	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x9d8197…
07-10 12:55:34	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9acefa…
07-09 10:12:55	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xa9e99f…
07-07 06:51:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xae8c93…
07-06 21:59:11	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x49eddc…
07-06 03:51:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x671f9b…
07-06 03:50:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8b521b…
07-05 21:58:56	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x0a7509…
07-05 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xb7278e…
07-05 00:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9556c5…
07-04 05:34:28	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x5f7dbb…
07-03 23:01:16	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2a3494…
07-03 01:34:35	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xb61d7f…
07-02 11:34:52	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe49eb0…
07-02 11:34:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xb5bb63…
07-01 05:10:52	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x74ddc1…
06-29 21:36:44	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xd5c504…
06-29 07:01:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9c8dba…
06-19 03:41:41	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe40e2c…
06-10 01:07:01	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf77d62…
06-10 00:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x97a23c…
06-08 09:08:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf0696b…
06-06 07:25:24	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x2fe39a…
06-06 07:24:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa21e5a…
06-05 05:02:27	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4c191c…
06-05 05:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc51a22…
06-04 01:27:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xebaf23…
06-04 01:26:01	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0xe190e8…
06-04 00:34:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x89157b…
06-02 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd9c06b…
06-01 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3f29fb…
06-01 02:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x3ec519…
05-31 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc6aba5…
05-30 03:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xa7e759…
05-29 03:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x07ea06…
05-29 03:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe039f1…
05-29 03:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe7cf7c…
05-28 07:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xde9da3…
05-28 05:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3f987a…
05-28 05:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xbdee73…
05-28 02:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x213456…
05-27 03:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcc4393…
05-27 02:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2ac4fb…
05-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x859542…
05-26 10:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1a7a2a…
05-25 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x582ec7…
05-25 01:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x306c4a…
05-24 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x706235…
05-24 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x51c161…
05-24 02:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x801917…
05-24 02:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xc758ed…
05-24 02:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x53b40b…
05-24 02:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4ac593…
05-22 22:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8aba38…
05-22 12:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xadeb85…
05-22 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xaeef58…
05-22 11:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf53ab8…
05-22 11:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x1bd43f…
05-22 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x40b575…
05-22 10:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf553fe…
05-22 10:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xf69618…
05-22 02:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc23454…
05-22 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	148	26¢	$39	0x344079…
05-22 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7ab869…
05-22 02:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd1d3c7…
05-22 02:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	98	25¢	$25	0x509ea0…
05-22 01:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x705235…
05-22 01:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xbdd9ca…
05-22 01:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x66008e…
05-04 04:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x8afe9b…
05-04 04:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	77¢	$16	0x7f2c55…
05-04 04:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6eb74f…
05-04 04:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xd1b76b…
05-04 04:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x62071b…
05-04 04:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8743e0…
05-04 04:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1e689d…
05-04 04:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xd1d9b0…
05-04 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd2f968…
05-04 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	137	72¢	$98	0x7a2d02…
05-04 03:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1cac34…
05-04 03:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	61	71¢	$43	0xbdc107…
05-03 23:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	77	80¢	$62	0x838b83…
05-03 23:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x1fedcf…
05-03 23:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc353a4…
05-03 23:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	155	37¢	$57	0x97df1e…
05-03 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x4e63b0…
05-03 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x229ba7…
05-03 23:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x1647a4…
05-03 11:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	111	96¢	$106	0x3d034e…
05-03 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	79¢	$87	0x5d489d…
05-03 11:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	79	51¢	$40	0x2898b6…
05-03 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	50¢	$39	0xd8c7a0…
05-03 11:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0xa99a10…
05-03 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	114	33¢	$38	0xc01234…
05-03 11:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	17¢	$19	0x186b1b…
05-03 11:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0x9ea2aa…
05-03 11:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x138cbb…