Natural-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved (90d)

359

Trades (90d)

376

2,440 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.4K

$107.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-01 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$11

Sports

15% 100% +$17

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	11	$100	50	50	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-18 05:00
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ddaf7…
11-01 01:38:36	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5a003…
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x197927…
11-01 00:43:09	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3c7510…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf0ba9…
11-01 00:04:13	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xa46506…
10-31 23:42:16	Purdue vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f703c…
10-31 23:20:33	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd7aff1…
10-31 23:14:46	Kansas vs. TCU	TCU	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb04204…
10-31 16:00:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x514091…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x315c18…
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6a2f54…
10-30 04:33:55	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x117c77…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb3bb87…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xae1c99…
10-29 15:14:22	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x321ecc…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39f79b…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x346562…
10-28 15:38:16	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd84565…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb7d8db…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0af86a…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c78c8…
10-25 15:52:41	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0874b2…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2354db…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x368498…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdfde49…
10-24 16:56:00	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf36fcd…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe982c6…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x468432…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe20cc9…
10-23 19:53:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdef6be…
10-23 19:50:48	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb3ffcd…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdcf758…
10-23 07:21:18	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4bdac9…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x176dab…
10-22 20:15:35	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb249b4…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xff7ee3…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbcc318…
10-21 17:04:06	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5270b5…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ac6e9…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x07c710…
10-20 18:37:44	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x41d7cd…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x705617…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab896a…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8d5ae3…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3c1a00…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5827b…
10-18 17:09:11	Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc820d…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f9669…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52498b…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd6835b…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4cba7c…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0325b0…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f5fe1…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x28c9c8…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0cf80f…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0d2c1b…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9dcfb5…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd04819…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3785b0…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x212a2d…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b84cd…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x152e01…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xebb7b5…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0adf6f…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x577e50…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbdea45…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc45ff…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbb9c19…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5dda95…
10-11 09:21:13	Jinan: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov	Omar Jasika	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x408660…
10-11 05:33:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c0ca6…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe14225…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75c04b…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bc0bb…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4f01da…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x97ddff…
10-09 15:02:04	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd5eba9…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x85e0d0…
10-08 05:28:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdea6cb…
10-07 19:16:34	W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato	Anastasia Abbagnato	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ae12b…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xeb9359…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5f034b…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0fe1a5…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x418e32…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a086a…
10-06 20:36:56	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x55b746…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d096b…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde2d0a…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x98cb52…
10-06 06:16:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Qatar vs Thailand	Qatar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b30c4…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe90562…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x61aee6…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf7034…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b5ce9…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x265735…
10-03 18:26:24	atp justo barrios 2026 10 03	Guido Justo	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x15ab2e…
10-03 18:24:02	atp justo barrios 2026 10 03	Guido Justo	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xafcd40…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd79bdc…