Common-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-21 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

96% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Other

2% 22% $-9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-21 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	2	$2.5K	1,639	1,639	+0	open	—	05-03 22:39
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	2	$48	111	0	+111	open	—	05-03 17:38
btc updown 5m 1782029400	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-21 08:12
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 22:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 22:15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 18:38
Francavilla: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Nishesh Basavareddy	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 21:25
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 18:29
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 15?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 18:54
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 17:43
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 22:16
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 22:15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 17:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	1	$2	6	0	+6	Hamad Medjedovic	$-2	05-10 18:46
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 17:46
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:06
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Yufei Ren	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 21:26
Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 21:38
kbo kia kt 2026 06 21	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 07:59
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 00:20
Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 21:23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 17:42
ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:06
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz	1	$2	4	0	+4	Tristan Boyer	$-2	05-10 18:45
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 18:38
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$2	3	0	+3	Spurs	+$1	05-03 21:46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 15:25:47	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8000ac…
06-21 08:12:28	btc updown 5m 1782029400	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xd98dc9…
06-21 08:10:34	btc updown 5m 1782029400	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xec6133…
06-21 07:59:49	kbo doo lg 2026 06 21	Doosan Bears	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb7fc2f…
06-21 07:59:37	kbo sam han 2026 06 21	Samsung Lions	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xff83d4…
06-21 07:59:25	kbo kia kt 2026 06 21	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x713806…
06-06 17:06:48	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Gabriel Bonfim	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd33be9…
06-06 17:06:01	ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	Édgar Cháirez	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xed7b70…
06-06 17:05:45	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	Alessandro Costa	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x56ec2c…
05-21 00:20:00	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	DRX	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7d9ad0…
05-21 00:19:48	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbd6359…
05-21 00:19:18	Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Sentinels	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6c80b0…
05-21 00:18:59	Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Vexa	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb0a86c…
05-18 21:22:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe90853…
05-18 21:22:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x585b6d…
05-18 21:22:26	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x865497…
05-18 21:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1eef80…
05-18 21:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x17771d…
05-17 19:46:34	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd951fa…
05-17 19:46:24	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4974a8…
05-17 19:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x40833f…
05-17 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3e34af…
05-16 17:46:32	Valorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	Team Secret	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb60bd1…
05-16 17:46:13	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1d3435…
05-16 17:45:43	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3ebd3a…
05-16 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0831a5…
05-16 17:43:09	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Heretics	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xef4512…
05-16 17:42:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5e7de7…
05-16 17:42:27	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D	XI Esport	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8e3767…
05-16 17:42:11	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0bd849…
05-16 17:41:45	Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group D	NAVI Junior	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x274dc2…
05-16 17:41:36	Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	Yawara Esports	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x783829…
05-16 17:41:22	Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	ex-KRÜ Esports	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x865c08…
05-16 17:41:13	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc51bef…
05-16 17:41:05	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	BESTIA Academy	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xba3dc2…
05-14 18:55:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf32712…
05-14 18:54:59	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4ad67b…
05-13 18:25:23	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf5baa6…
05-13 18:25:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3709d…
05-13 18:24:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a18fe…
05-13 18:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x187871…
05-13 18:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x868ded…
05-10 18:46:59	Zagreb: Stefan Dostanic vs Chris Rodesch	Stefan Dostanic	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x309588…
05-10 18:46:41	Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a3a5c…
05-10 18:46:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	Mariano Navone	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x69686e…
05-10 18:45:59	Tunis: Niels McDonald vs Daniil Glinka	Niels McDonald	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd7b6b4…
05-10 18:45:05	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz	Aziz Dougaz	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x810ac8…
05-10 18:44:49	Tunis: Kaichi Uchida vs Max Houkes	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe73f4f…
05-10 18:44:39	Zagreb: Lukas Neumayer vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x383839…
05-03 22:39:24	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	SELL	1,639	91¢	$1,492	0x2d304d…
05-03 22:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3527fd…
05-03 22:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb230cd…
05-03 22:17:06	BNB Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfe5eb0…
05-03 22:16:44	HYPE Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8d3cc0…
05-03 22:16:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x12509b…
05-03 22:16:10	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd9fb7f…
05-03 22:15:56	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x946d32…
05-03 22:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x25bd07…
05-03 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x15e12e…
05-03 22:10:40	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	FlyQuest	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xb10b82…
05-03 22:10:14	Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Cloud9	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfeb009…
05-03 22:09:50	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdaebf6…
05-03 21:46:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6d85cb…
05-03 21:46:00	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x13184b…
05-03 21:38:36	Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a1a70…
05-03 21:38:20	Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x41c26b…
05-03 21:26:58	Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Yufei Ren	Yufei Ren	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa0c307…
05-03 21:26:32	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7c5992…
05-03 21:25:36	Francavilla: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x655398…
05-03 21:23:46	Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8b7169…
05-03 21:22:58	Francavilla: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Guy Den Ouden	Juan Pablo Ficovich	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa12aa5…
05-03 21:11:44	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2c6e47…
05-03 21:10:50	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfa2c9e…
05-03 18:47:40	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfaa6c9…
05-03 18:41:38	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs The World (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	The World	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8c3cc8…
05-03 18:41:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The Soulless Team vs Kings Crown (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	Kings Crown	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x37d6fe…
05-03 18:38:58	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8be3c2…
05-03 18:38:10	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x069bed…
05-03 18:29:06	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4af0de…
05-03 18:28:48	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x74bebd…
05-03 17:58:22	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0x975f1a…
05-03 17:38:42	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x1513da…
05-03 15:33:56	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	83	43¢	$36	0xe5858b…