Quiet-Pancreas — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.69K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved (90d)

333

Trades (90d)

1,228

6,513 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$288.4K

$2.11M lifetime

Avg / trade

$324

Open exposure

$141

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Sports

45% 65% +$3,989

Other

37% 70% -$10,980

Politics

11% 70% -$5,578

Crypto

5% 69% -$4,763

Tech

2% 83% +$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Eagles vs. Commanders	Commanders		+200	$142	70¢	$141	-$1	11-01 17:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	7	$19.9K	10,187	10,187	+0	No	+$222	03-02 03:56
nba chi phx 2026 03 05	29	$19.6K	13,594	13,594	+0	Bulls	-$2,136	03-06 04:32
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	73	$18.9K	10,029	10,029	+0	Hornets	+$1,148	03-04 02:20
nba lac mil 2026 03 29	7	$18.9K	9,875	9,875	+0	Clippers	+$846	03-29 21:53
nba nop uta 2026 02 28	16	$18.0K	9,262	9,262	+0	Pelicans	+$483	03-01 04:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	16	$16.4K	9,000	9,000	+0	No	+$347	03-30 22:43
nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	19	$15.7K	8,151	8,142	+8	Hornets	+$542	04-01 01:20
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	2	$14.2K	7,234	7,234	+0	No	+$220	01-24 20:18
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	21	$13.6K	7,639	7,639	+0	Knicks	+$310	03-16 02:37
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	10	$13.5K	7,177	7,170	+7	Thunder	+$812	04-09 04:06
nba ind cle 2026 04 05	4	$13.5K	7,062	7,045	+17	Cavaliers	+$513	04-06 00:15
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	25	$13.3K	6,945	6,945	+0	Thunder	+$588	03-24 00:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$13.2K	7,128	7,128	+0	No	+$232	03-15 18:34
cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	6	$12.4K	7,500	7,472	+28	Vitality	-$175	04-14 16:30
nba sas gsw 2026 04 01	26	$12.3K	6,472	6,459	+13	Spurs	+$573	04-02 04:21
nba phi was 2026 04 01	6	$12.1K	6,438	6,425	+13	76ers	+$543	04-02 00:44
nba atl mia 2026 04 12	7	$11.7K	6,709	6,688	+21	Heat	+$1,581	04-12 23:50
nba sac cha 2026 03 24	49	$11.6K	6,017	6,017	+0	Hornets	+$344	03-25 00:08
nba mil hou 2026 04 01	35	$11.6K	5,954	5,949	+4	Rockets	+$253	04-02 02:16
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	8	$11.2K	6,507	6,531	-24	No	+$27	01-14 20:07
nba phx mem 2026 03 30	26	$11.2K	6,009	5,988	+20	Suns	+$721	03-31 02:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	35	$11.2K	5,737	5,737	+0	No	+$272	02-01 03:03
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	17	$10.8K	5,628	5,628	+0	Lakers	+$487	03-01 03:17
nhl car van 2026 03 04	40	$10.6K	5,462	5,849	-387	Hurricanes	+$674	03-05 05:41
lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01	9	$10.1K	5,131	5,131	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$80	03-01 12:48
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	36	$10.0K	5,126	5,126	+0	Yes	+$257	01-16 20:02
nba bos mem 2026 03 20	6	$9.9K	5,313	5,313	+0	Celtics	+$362	03-21 02:16
nba dal lac 2026 04 07	21	$9.9K	5,112	5,106	+6	Clippers	+$234	04-08 04:45
nba phi cle 2026 03 09	40	$9.9K	5,420	5,420	+0	Cavaliers	+$806	03-10 00:40
nba mem mil 2026 04 05	20	$9.9K	5,467	5,458	+9	Bucks	+$980	04-05 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:52:48	Eagles vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xd466a1…
11-01 17:06:19	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0xc4558d…
11-01 17:06:10	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	164	12¢	$20	0xdfc278…
11-01 17:03:00	Vikings vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0xe4340f…
11-01 15:19:01	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x2f9e6e…
11-01 15:18:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	305	82¢	$250	0xb11e79…
11-01 01:55:39	Spread: Nebraska (-20.5)	Washington	BUY	557	91¢	$507	0xc79371…
11-01 01:54:46	Spread: Nebraska (-20.5)	Washington	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x28c794…
11-01 01:50:13	CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xc3402b…
10-25 19:13:47	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x736d1a…
10-25 19:13:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xd2e029…
10-25 15:27:08	Spread: 49ers (-4.5)	Falcons	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0x0fcc23…
10-25 15:26:23	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0x5cc70d…
10-24 19:33:02	Spread: Troy (-17.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xb99eda…
10-24 19:31:53	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	South Carolina	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x624b8a…
10-24 16:02:18	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x88e895…
10-24 15:53:11	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	1,941	100¢	$1,939	0x0ad238…
10-24 15:52:54	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8199d0…
10-24 15:52:02	Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xd39501…
10-24 15:47:08	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,971	98¢	$1,931	0x611206…
10-24 02:15:53	Spread: Duke (-16.5)	Virginia	SELL	508	99¢	$503	0xd54097…
10-24 02:15:53	Spread: Duke (-16.5)	Virginia	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80ac24…
10-24 02:15:53	Spread: Duke (-16.5)	Virginia	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3425c5…
10-24 02:15:53	Spread: Duke (-16.5)	Virginia	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0b0ded…
10-24 01:22:21	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 207.5	Over	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x029037…
10-24 00:30:15	nba atl cha 2026 10 23 total 207pt5	Over	BUY	190	77¢	$147	0x3b484f…
10-23 23:35:48	Spread: Duke (-16.5)	Virginia	BUY	549	87¢	$478	0x3dac14…
10-23 22:27:24	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe341f6…
10-23 22:25:27	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x6074ce…
10-23 22:23:35	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	250	65¢	$162	0x78268d…
10-23 22:08:11	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xe0b4da…
10-23 21:37:45	Spread: NC State (-2.5)	NC State	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x321bca…
10-23 21:34:44	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5	Over	SELL	512	99¢	$507	0xd312f1…
10-23 20:54:24	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	350	88¢	$308	0x77b01b…
10-23 20:51:02	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	162	78¢	$126	0x30b8f2…
10-23 20:50:32	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0xe5001f…
10-22 22:32:53	Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Patriots	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x0f2936…
10-22 19:04:38	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x230f34…
10-22 19:04:11	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	147	67¢	$99	0xe7ad26…
10-21 23:47:15	Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xd3cf8d…
10-21 22:02:54	Spread: Wizards (-8.5)	Bucks	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1c967b…
10-21 21:20:54	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x492ca4…
10-21 21:20:06	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston	New Mexico State	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x1f16f1…
10-21 18:14:26	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0xcdb85f…
10-21 17:41:08	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x9d2e33…
10-20 20:48:17	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xa8e19d…
10-20 20:44:51	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xe68cb9…
10-20 18:44:09	South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xf1bcd0…
10-20 18:43:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,500	65¢	$975	0x52eced…
10-20 18:34:38	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	1,075	10¢	$108	0xf95e0d…
10-20 16:59:23	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xa2536b…
10-19 20:53:33	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x379c67…
10-19 20:53:33	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1,520	100¢	$1,518	0x1d1ea1…
10-19 19:34:09	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,522	92¢	$1,400	0xe98482…
10-19 14:35:45	Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xc2c327…
10-19 14:35:24	Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0x03b538…
10-18 21:14:26	Spread: Packers (-17.5)	Cowboys	BUY	610	94¢	$574	0xfc246e…
10-18 21:13:45	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x5d037d…
10-18 20:19:06	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5	Under	SELL	310	98¢	$304	0x8c4325…
10-18 20:04:47	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x524dbe…
10-18 20:00:27	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5	Under	SELL	190	29¢	$55	0x62dc3d…
10-18 19:41:32	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0xe7d4c0…
10-18 19:30:11	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x6bb37c…
10-18 18:57:56	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x23a0cc…
10-18 18:57:39	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x41f1f5…
10-18 17:56:17	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	1,181	100¢	$1,179	0x203713…
10-18 17:48:12	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	181	85¢	$154	0x717201…
10-18 17:36:23	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x56f841…
10-18 17:33:15	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xb6d4f0…
10-18 17:32:26	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xa8493e…
10-18 16:25:30	Spread: Steelers (-4.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0xe16b37…
10-18 16:24:05	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)	FC Lorient	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x0b7310…
10-18 15:26:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x809f72…
10-17 23:50:50	Louisville vs. Syracuse	Louisville	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x4c86f3…
10-17 23:50:50	Louisville vs. Syracuse	Louisville	BUY	242	72¢	$175	0x47f3ea…
10-17 23:50:48	Louisville vs. Syracuse	Louisville	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfe229e…
10-17 20:44:44	Louisville vs. Syracuse	Louisville	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x0fa74c…
10-17 20:43:50	Spread: Louisville (-9.5)	Louisville	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0x135566…
10-17 20:30:15	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	106	12¢	$13	0xe0685f…
10-17 20:30:15	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc811ae…
10-17 20:30:15	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xb2e175…
10-17 20:30:14	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xf5d622…
10-17 20:30:14	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xbeb8b4…
10-17 20:30:12	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x86e16a…
10-17 20:30:11	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0xcb4b39…
10-17 20:29:39	Spread: Temple (-24.5)	Charlotte	SELL	249	100¢	$248	0x4f3f85…
10-17 20:28:12	Spread: Temple (-24.5)	Charlotte	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff30e9…
10-17 20:28:12	Spread: Temple (-24.5)	Charlotte	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe8ef56…
10-17 20:28:12	Spread: Temple (-24.5)	Charlotte	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6aed2b…
10-17 20:26:44	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xab76ae…
10-17 20:20:29	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x5760de…
10-17 20:18:38	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9a5268…
10-17 20:18:00	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xccda0d…
10-17 20:17:17	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbd29fb…
10-17 20:09:56	UMass vs. Buffalo	Buffalo	SELL	207	90¢	$186	0xaae570…
10-17 19:21:03	Spread: Kansas State (-7.5)	Kansas	SELL	355	18¢	$64	0x9bd5e1…
10-17 19:20:47	Spread: LSU (-13.5)	LSU	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x0e49b1…
10-17 19:20:44	Spread: LSU (-13.5)	LSU	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x14bd93…
10-17 19:19:30	Spread: LSU (-13.5)	LSU	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf16a5e…
10-17 19:19:29	Spread: LSU (-13.5)	LSU	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x36bba3…