Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 10-19 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% -$13

Crypto

17% 0% -$8

Tech

8% 0% -$3

Politics

5% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+7	$2	22¢	$2	$0	09-30 19:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+56	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-01 17:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+56	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-01 17:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+7	$2	13¢	$1	-$1	10-01 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	10-13 21:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$1	1¢	$1	$0	09-30 19:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+8	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-01 17:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+19	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-14 23:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+67	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-12 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 05:54:17	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x502277…
10-19 05:51:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x3457ad…
10-13 21:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x6b7016…
10-12 14:53:17	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x8a05b5…
10-12 14:52:48	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x432f3d…
10-01 17:31:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xc03dc0…
10-01 17:31:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb13174…
10-01 17:30:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x6ee0e0…
10-01 17:29:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x70ea69…
09-30 19:11:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe08237…
09-30 19:10:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74d293…
09-29 19:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x44f092…
09-28 19:05:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc3bae3…
09-15 00:17:12	Astra removed from public access by September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xcd01c6…
09-15 00:15:19	us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xdcba3f…
09-15 00:09:58	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x754480…
09-15 00:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f35d5…
09-14 23:31:48	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x064699…
09-14 23:31:27	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1f2f05…
09-14 23:29:30	Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9a7fd7…
09-14 23:27:42	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36696e…
09-14 23:27:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xad6f63…
09-14 23:26:55	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x64968d…
09-14 23:26:43	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x32c26e…
09-12 05:29:25	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x6a40f9…
09-12 05:25:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x027d67…
09-12 05:19:49	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x49599c…
09-12 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd5f1d9…
09-12 05:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbb84cc…
09-12 05:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x76f84d…
09-12 04:57:46	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3f6cbb…
09-12 04:57:36	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x35e863…
09-12 04:57:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbe4c3a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	10-19 05:51
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	2	$4	23	23	+0	open	—	10-12 14:52
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	10-12 14:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$3	14	0	+14	No	-$3	09-12 04:57
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	09-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Down	-$2	09-12 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	09-12 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	09-12 05:01
Astra removed from public access by September 30?	1	$2	32	0	+32	No	-$2	09-15 00:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	09-30 19:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	10-01 17:31
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$2	18	0	+18	Yes	-$2	09-12 05:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	10-13 21:42
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	10-19 05:54
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	-$1	09-14 23:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-15 00:09
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	09-12 04:57
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	09-14 23:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	10-01 17:31
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	09-14 23:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	67	0	+67	open	—	09-12 05:25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	19	0	+19	open	—	09-14 23:27
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	-$1	09-14 23:31
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	09-12 04:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	09-14 23:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	09-30 19:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-29 19:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	56	0	+56	open	—	10-01 17:29
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	09-14 23:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	56	0	+56	open	—	10-01 17:30