Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

439

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$202

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-30 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

48% 47% -$106

Crypto

36% 46% -$118

Politics

7% 50% +$0

Tech

5% 0% -$1

Sports

4% 58% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	+66	$40	99¢	$65	+$25	09-26 04:20
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+86	$41	60¢	$51	+$11	09-30 09:17
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+50	$28	87¢	$44	+$15	09-24 11:06
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+86	$54	40¢	$34	-$20	09-23 04:02
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+50	$26	13¢	$6	-$19	09-22 11:46
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	+66	$29	1¢	$1	-$28	09-26 02:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	25	$333	661	21	+640	Yes	$0	09-30 09:16
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	2	$110	178	178	+0	open	—	09-30 03:31
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	10	$101	179	19	+160	Yes	-$12	09-23 03:18
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	8	$98	176	4	+171	open	—	09-30 09:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$93	258	258	+0	open	—	09-30 03:33
over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	9	$82	160	0	+160	Yes	-$2	09-29 13:01
Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	10	$78	154	0	+154	Yes	-$4	09-27 20:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	8	$76	147	0	+147	Yes	+$3	09-28 00:02
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	10	$69	132	0	+132	open	—	09-26 04:20
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	6	$65	120	0	+120	No	-$5	09-27 16:34
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-20 16:00 UTC	3	$59	84	20	+64	Down	-$7	04-20 16:41
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$58	100	0	+100	Yes	-$8	09-24 11:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	25	$56	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	09-18 07:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	3	$54	100	0	+100	open	—	09-24 11:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 09:17
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-20 12:00 UTC	5	$30	63	0	+63	Up	-$3	04-20 14:40
republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	5	$30	70	70	+0	No	-$12	09-22 05:32
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	5	$29	56	0	+56	Yes	-$1	09-26 02:40
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	2	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	-$14	09-23 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	10	$25	39	20	+20	Down	+$4	04-27 10:53
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	5	$24	45	2	+43	Yes	-$1	09-30 09:16
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	12	$23	39	13	+26	Up	+$1	04-27 11:40
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	3	$21	36	36	+0	open	—	09-30 09:17
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	04-27 13:41
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	09-26 11:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	6	$19	26	13	+13	Up	+$1	04-27 11:52
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	2	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 09:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 15:00 UTC	2	$17	38	0	+38	Down	+$11	04-20 15:01
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 9pm et	9	$16	19	19	+0	Up	+$6	04-13 02:24
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 207pt5	4	$15	15	3	+12	Under	+$2	04-19 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 09:17:35	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xaf3cfc…
09-30 09:17:27	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0xf1c1ff…
09-30 09:17:21	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xcf413d…
09-30 09:17:14	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xb79c4e…
09-30 09:17:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x548a9d…
09-30 09:16:59	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3741c1…
09-30 09:16:47	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd01db4…
09-30 03:33:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	258	17¢	$43	0xd2d969…
09-30 03:31:50	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	178	34¢	$60	0x7ae173…
09-29 13:01:20	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3bcd6c…
09-29 00:05:39	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x90a989…
09-28 20:15:23	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb6d7f3…
09-28 00:02:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8f54fb…
09-27 20:20:20	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc54904…
09-27 18:16:08	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb00a07…
09-27 18:15:35	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xad1733…
09-27 17:53:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa3bd87…
09-27 17:09:26	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0e6a86…
09-27 16:34:33	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x844325…
09-27 16:29:02	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4545d5…
09-27 16:21:36	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd6152c…
09-27 15:42:32	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6d5424…
09-27 15:42:08	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7da46d…
09-27 15:40:23	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd7955f…
09-27 15:06:59	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfa25bb…
09-27 15:04:36	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x73189c…
09-27 14:48:30	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x847c79…
09-27 13:56:29	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x337c93…
09-27 12:30:38	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x94e189…
09-27 11:15:06	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0c8382…
09-27 11:14:56	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4f70b2…
09-27 11:11:08	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x83765e…
09-27 11:09:24	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x6556cd…
09-27 10:45:15	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0x09249c…
09-27 10:44:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x59fe89…
09-27 10:36:27	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x5f7676…
09-27 10:26:51	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc4ad67…
09-27 08:15:51	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0c0791…
09-27 07:59:23	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x525ec9…
09-27 07:01:20	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbb0f1a…
09-27 06:30:50	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xffdb53…
09-27 04:48:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x7626aa…
09-27 03:50:50	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x78de34…
09-27 03:50:48	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x92c608…
09-27 03:01:11	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x03d5fc…
09-27 02:41:33	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xda80ea…
09-27 02:25:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7fdfa8…
09-27 01:19:57	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x38677e…
09-26 11:41:53	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd2246c…
09-26 11:41:41	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfb4d67…
09-26 04:20:12	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x6cf279…
09-26 02:40:54	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x47dcda…
09-26 02:39:30	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc37572…
09-26 02:31:03	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x98be4f…
09-26 02:29:59	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x13ec43…
09-26 02:27:48	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5ca09f…
09-26 02:25:21	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc18186…
09-26 02:25:20	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xdd93b2…
09-26 02:24:11	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbe8177…
09-26 02:21:51	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xaee2dd…
09-26 00:09:54	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x53359b…
09-26 00:09:36	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xe163e2…
09-25 16:36:27	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x8719e7…
09-25 15:51:29	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x003c1c…
09-25 15:51:02	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x147f76…
09-25 13:51:06	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0xbd73de…
09-25 13:50:50	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	258	19¢	$50	0x018645…
09-24 11:42:29	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xd27d57…
09-24 11:06:47	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xd69d00…
09-24 11:06:47	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x64f1ce…
09-24 09:04:57	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbbd4d7…
09-24 02:49:37	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8b8b43…
09-23 06:49:02	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x6cf27e…
09-23 05:26:13	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x8c0baf…
09-23 05:15:08	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe1a58f…
09-23 04:53:32	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7e81a3…
09-23 04:02:38	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x77f87a…
09-23 03:48:53	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x1362d4…
09-23 03:47:26	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd2a76a…
09-23 03:18:05	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb04d3c…
09-23 03:18:04	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x1c5ce6…
09-23 00:16:22	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x7b2c6d…
09-22 20:27:48	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7c5865…
09-22 11:46:12	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x7b4e65…
09-22 05:32:06	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0xbcd4b2…
09-22 05:31:07	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x8d359b…
09-22 03:09:50	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb81e39…
09-22 03:09:39	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7c24ee…
09-22 03:07:41	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xba7bf7…
09-21 21:53:21	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xe517b3…
09-21 20:14:54	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x81c1db…
09-21 17:48:18	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x894c87…
09-21 17:47:39	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x9a44d6…
09-21 15:31:27	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x6967f7…
09-21 15:29:42	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x935816…
09-21 15:27:02	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0be88a…
09-21 15:02:34	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x79c86e…
09-21 15:02:34	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3764bf…
09-21 14:19:56	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x360f2e…
09-21 13:52:41	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa8ee76…