Wasteful-Smoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$124

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$18	32	+32	Up	+$14	05-07 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$9	17	+17	Up	+$8	05-07 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$9	17	+17	Up	+$8	05-08 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Down	$-4	05-07 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-07 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Down	$-4	05-08 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-09 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-07 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-08 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x236b89…
05-09 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaf8b69…
05-09 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x48ffcc…
05-09 00:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa10028…
05-08 09:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbeef6e…
05-08 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b9549…
05-08 07:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x80746a…
05-08 06:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x49fef1…
05-08 06:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x320b2e…
05-08 06:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x58d156…
05-08 05:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x118b91…
05-08 05:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x793090…
05-08 05:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x566b37…
05-08 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ca93f…
05-07 22:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf4b638…
05-07 12:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x54999c…
05-07 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6eab7d…
05-07 11:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd79d77…
05-07 11:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x951ab9…
05-07 10:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x6d9544…
05-07 10:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc8cd72…
05-07 09:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x32ed61…
05-07 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6f8910…
05-07 08:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9639b6…
05-07 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x888586…
05-07 07:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x063e05…
05-07 07:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x068bfc…
05-07 06:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3b4ee6…
05-07 06:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x84fad4…
05-07 06:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x04e395…
05-07 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa43c2d…
05-07 05:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x996561…
05-07 05:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfcbcd8…
05-06 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x41c847…
05-06 07:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x47478c…
05-06 06:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcbf205…
05-06 06:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4f96c6…
05-06 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb09457…
05-06 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd83a21…
05-06 05:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x71740b…
05-06 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa927c2…
05-06 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x1c6e3e…
05-06 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17f129…
05-06 03:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeb9f49…
05-06 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb6835b…
05-06 02:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b7fca…
05-06 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b05ac…
05-06 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6e2e3f…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaecb27…
05-06 01:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf5afb3…
05-06 00:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08e561…
05-06 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf95a4b…
05-06 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x6d0ec8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	53	$18.1K	753	05-09 12:34
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	49	$1.59K	342	05-09 03:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	48	$36.2K	405	05-09 03:44
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	48	$7.50K	658	05-09 03:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	46	$4.16K	366	05-09 03:44
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	45	$1.24K	182	05-09 03:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	44	$11.0K	162	05-09 03:44
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	43	$1.68K	169	05-09 03:43