Wasteful-Fulfillment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

1,866

Trades

2,530

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-28 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% +$113

Other

1% 29% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$39	76	+76	Up	-$39	09-03 12:04
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	29	$29	47	+47	Down	-$29	08-25 09:46
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$27	58	+58	Up	+$31	09-03 12:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$19	162	+162	Up	-$19	09-03 12:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$19	45	+45	Down	+$9	09-03 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	19	$19	32	+32	Up	-$19	09-12 13:46
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$19	1,232	+1,232	Down	-$19	09-03 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	18	$18	30	+30	Up	-$18	09-12 07:48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	16	$16	26	+26	Down	+$10	09-12 15:45
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	16	$16	27	+27	Down	-$16	08-25 09:37
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	16	$16	28	+28	Up	+$12	09-07 11:50
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$16	31	+31	Down	-$16	09-03 09:37
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$16	73	+73	Up	+$57	09-03 11:31
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$16	44	+44	Down	-$16	09-03 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	15	$15	23	+23	Up	+$8	09-08 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	15	$15	23	+23	Down	+$8	09-10 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	15	$15	23	+23	Up	+$8	09-12 21:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	15	$15	27	+27	Up	+$12	08-29 07:33
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 00:00 UTC	15	$15	23	+23	Up	+$8	08-21 00:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC	14	$14	23	+23	Down	+$9	08-22 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	13	$13	24	+24	Down	-$13	09-10 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	13	$13	22	+22	Down	+$9	09-08 11:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC	13	$13	21	+21	Down	-$13	08-28 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$13	115	+115	Down	-$13	09-03 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$12	20	+20	Down	-$12	09-11 17:17
XRP Up or Down - September 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$12	16	+16	Up	+$4	09-03 11:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:20 UTC	4	$12	19	+19	Down	+$7	09-03 09:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	11	$11	18	+18	Down	+$7	08-25 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	11	$11	16	+16	Up	+$5	09-12 11:29
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 04:00 UTC	11	$11	18	+18	Up	+$7	08-27 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8c6875…
10-28 13:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x144f4f…
10-28 12:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x21e7ef…
10-28 11:38:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x24c862…
10-28 11:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0dcb47…
10-28 04:44:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3521a3…
10-28 02:38:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x99c1bc…
10-28 02:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x730985…
10-27 23:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd9d3aa…
10-27 16:14:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x03ca76…
10-27 13:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x46309e…
10-26 19:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x84cd1e…
10-26 19:38:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x04eaa6…
10-26 19:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x079f28…
10-26 19:04:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1bed84…
10-26 12:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb93284…
10-26 12:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb68a5e…
10-26 11:33:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x38b9b9…
10-26 09:23:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xeb0ccc…
10-26 07:48:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2fb8b7…
10-26 06:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x519be9…
10-26 06:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x91ebd0…
10-26 06:14:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xed61ce…
10-26 04:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x277f77…
10-26 03:38:30	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd79a88…
10-26 02:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xab5dcb…
10-25 23:07:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xda111f…
10-25 21:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb1fc09…
10-25 14:58:30	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4624f6…
10-25 14:48:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x735c79…
10-25 14:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbb1ead…
10-25 09:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3d73dc…
10-25 08:33:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x68d2a0…
10-25 06:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa18b50…
10-25 02:53:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xccfee3…
10-25 02:48:44	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xee4f31…
10-24 22:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6065f1…
10-24 17:13:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1377ff…
10-24 15:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4d855e…
10-24 12:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x371caf…
10-24 10:23:59	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3e13fe…
10-24 09:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf19259…
10-24 08:48:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xce4659…
10-24 08:23:36	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x88eb25…
10-24 08:08:32	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x48671e…
10-23 19:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xce9bd7…
10-23 18:53:42	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8f496b…
10-23 13:18:33	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0cccb0…
10-23 12:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x05846c…
10-23 11:13:54	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xde0835…
10-23 10:48:47	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4bf86b…
10-23 06:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7dd1e0…
10-23 03:44:05	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb67541…
10-23 03:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc95ec5…
10-23 00:13:57	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdd73f6…
10-22 22:53:48	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbe3776…
10-22 22:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8a5164…
10-22 20:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9edada…
10-22 19:58:35	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x095009…
10-22 19:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x853ce3…
10-22 17:44:12	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfbf5a4…
10-22 14:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x79d5c2…
10-22 14:33:35	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x495820…
10-22 14:04:00	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9177e0…
10-22 13:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4a985f…
10-22 12:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbf0d14…
10-22 11:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x758850…
10-22 11:18:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe10b11…
10-22 09:08:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8ccebe…
10-22 07:24:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x761b32…
10-22 00:34:08	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe278be…
10-21 22:09:05	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x864129…
10-21 21:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfca105…
10-21 19:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc7378e…
10-21 17:18:48	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4b446d…
10-21 14:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc90809…
10-21 12:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x98c989…
10-21 07:43:45	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x39cba4…
10-21 06:23:51	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x791cf7…
10-21 01:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf21543…
10-20 20:48:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe45c89…
10-20 18:54:00	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdc0cc2…
10-20 16:08:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfc0ec1…
10-20 15:53:48	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x43228d…
10-20 15:28:30	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcfce7b…
10-20 12:53:47	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa203f5…
10-20 12:49:06	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xff7a8b…
10-20 12:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x718b5d…
10-20 10:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd7e22…
10-20 09:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7d4272…
10-20 07:48:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc64869…
10-20 07:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcf356a…
10-20 06:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x140efe…
10-20 02:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x988114…
10-20 01:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9541a0…
10-20 00:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4b24d1…
10-20 00:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1d110b…
10-19 23:43:44	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa357cc…
10-19 20:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xce705e…
10-19 18:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x665000…