Brilliant-Cribbage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1000

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

2,752

Trades

4,214

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-03 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

63% 30% -$863

Crypto

37% 51% -$136

Sports

0% 20% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?	35	$983	1,117	1,117	+0	Yes	-$127	06-16 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	2	$428	221	221	+0	Yes	+$10	07-03 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	21	$333	217	217	+0	Yes	+$18	06-15 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	7	$327	759	759	+0	No	-$18	06-13 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?	7	$215	161	161	+0	No	-$24	06-17 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	13	$188	509	509	+0	Yes	+$47	07-06 06:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	5	$187	194	194	+0	Yes	+$117	07-05 22:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	16	$171	256	255	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	15	$169	608	527	+81	No	-$51	06-21 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?	4	$156	110	110	+0	No	+$32	07-09 07:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?	5	$141	81	81	+0	No	+$3	06-15 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 17?	2	$138	72	72	+0	No	+$7	06-17 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	3	$131	82	82	+0	Yes	+$30	07-05 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	10	$121	115	115	+0	Yes	+$108	07-06 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?	22	$118	2,247	1,215	+1,031	No	-$56	07-06 04:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	10	$116	195	195	+0	No	+$67	07-05 20:06
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	3	$110	114	94	+20	Yes	+$10	07-02 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	5	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	07-13 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?	18	$101	735	735	+0	No	+$23	06-13 04:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	07-09 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?	4	$98	180	180	+0	No	-$2	07-09 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	8	$95	342	342	+0	Yes	+$68	07-07 08:14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 15?	3	$92	104	56	+48	Yes	-$6	06-15 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	10	$86	73	73	+0	Yes	-$5	06-14 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	4	$84	84	84	+0	Yes	+$75	06-11 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?	6	$80	49	49	+0	No	-$1	06-10 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 17?	15	$80	462	462	+0	No	-$18	06-16 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?	11	$76	580	446	+134	No	-$38	07-07 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?	2	$75	82	0	+82	Yes	+$7	06-11 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?	6	$72	64	64	+0	No	+$5	06-15 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 13:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x940d77…
09-03 13:38:03	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7e0c8a…
09-03 13:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6213c3…
09-03 13:03:10	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9b2bf5…
09-03 09:43:37	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe8ce24…
09-03 09:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe20cd9…
09-03 09:18:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa53aa3…
09-03 09:18:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8f9a63…
09-03 09:13:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x03a35f…
09-03 07:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd411d4…
09-03 07:53:09	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x49d836…
09-03 07:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb8e345…
09-03 07:44:12	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd0c3b1…
09-03 07:28:36	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8556c7…
09-03 05:48:03	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x898fa2…
09-03 05:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb6f9bb…
09-03 03:43:04	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc27740…
09-03 03:18:10	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd8a78b…
09-03 02:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3425cb…
09-03 02:08:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbf4667…
09-03 01:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4c6f05…
09-03 01:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfef42d…
09-03 01:03:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x04af54…
09-02 20:33:46	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x716540…
09-02 16:18:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9a1c6e…
09-02 16:03:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x82a162…
09-02 15:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe2c6a6…
09-02 15:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x434aed…
09-02 14:43:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xee31b0…
09-02 14:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x276bdb…
09-02 14:23:04	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x61850b…
09-02 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb136f4…
09-02 14:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x42443c…
09-02 13:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc26ebf…
09-02 13:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3ed90a…
09-02 13:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x25d581…
09-02 13:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbacc49…
09-02 13:08:07	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x38323e…
09-02 12:23:25	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6fdadb…
09-02 12:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe93def…
09-02 11:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4e05e7…
09-02 11:09:12	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x876612…
09-02 10:43:18	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe6c038…
09-02 10:08:09	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc35372…
09-02 10:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x913e2f…
09-02 10:03:18	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2cc753…
09-02 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x77f2c0…
09-02 08:53:28	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5d031b…
09-02 08:48:10	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7f67df…
09-02 08:08:28	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5d8546…
09-02 08:03:28	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf6d186…
09-02 06:28:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x09f424…
09-02 00:53:49	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x387d87…
09-02 00:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc3dc80…
09-02 00:23:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xdda1cf…
09-01 22:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x340a78…
09-01 19:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6a1f14…
09-01 19:18:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x08a69b…
09-01 18:48:30	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x565752…
09-01 18:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcc3ce8…
09-01 18:43:42	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x90b4f7…
09-01 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x207d07…
09-01 17:48:57	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x5b14fe…
09-01 17:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x234610…
09-01 17:18:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x87adb1…
09-01 16:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x44dbc1…
09-01 16:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2cd211…
09-01 16:38:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd965a6…
09-01 16:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6e879e…
09-01 16:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe04377…
09-01 16:23:42	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x524553…
09-01 16:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4d5579…
09-01 16:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4810bd…
09-01 14:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe72b79…
09-01 14:48:45	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x27a1e0…
09-01 14:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9dae71…
09-01 13:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x19d7b2…
09-01 13:43:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf9299a…
09-01 13:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd3042a…
09-01 13:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xefade1…
09-01 12:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc40109…
09-01 09:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xab178b…
09-01 08:48:36	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe5e317…
09-01 08:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x671d77…
09-01 08:38:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4a74a0…
09-01 08:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xee7e0a…
09-01 06:08:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfe8727…
09-01 03:38:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x286f24…
09-01 01:08:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x627705…
08-31 19:28:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbeb23c…
08-31 19:23:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe0f380…
08-31 16:53:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x74c515…
08-31 16:23:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x30e949…
08-31 16:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfcd135…
08-31 16:18:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x004751…
08-31 16:18:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x34c40a…
08-31 16:13:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x75f23d…
08-31 16:03:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc9a27a…
08-31 16:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa325b6…
08-31 15:34:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc7909e…