Good-Natured-Destiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$296

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

317

Trades

641

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-31 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 46% -$33

Politics

23% 0% -$180

Other

7% 0% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$269	427	427	+0	open	—	10-27 22:21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	15	$75	382	33	+349	Up	-$25	04-30 18:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$59	295	0	+295	Yes	-$59	07-29 21:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$44	149	149	+0	Yes	-$36	07-25 15:45
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$40	110	0	+110	No	-$40	07-15 18:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	1	$30	300	0	+300	Yes	-$30	10-16 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$30	419	0	+419	Down	+$13	04-28 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	5	$30	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	05-24 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$25	31	17	+14	Down	+$7	05-23 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:10 UTC	6	$23	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	06-04 10:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$20	80	0	+80	Yes	-$20	07-29 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$20	66	0	+66	Up	-$20	04-28 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$20	92	0	+92	Down	-$20	04-28 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$20	134	0	+134	Down	+$114	04-28 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$20	74	0	+74	Up	+$17	04-28 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$20	200	0	+200	Up	-$20	04-28 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$20	49	0	+49	Down	-$6	04-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$20	54	0	+54	Up	-$20	04-28 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$20	42	0	+42	Down	-$2	04-28 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Up	-$7	04-28 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$20	21	14	+7	Up	+$8	05-23 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	05-24 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	Down	+$16	04-30 14:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$17	92	0	+92	Yes	-$17	10-16 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-22 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$16	16	14	+3	Down	+$4	05-05 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$16	76	0	+76	Down	-$16	04-28 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$15	114	14	+100	Up	+$11	10-28 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfb7413…
10-31 09:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x5d46c8…
10-31 09:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d8af4…
10-31 09:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74aefa…
10-31 09:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x407ecb…
10-31 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3b56b8…
10-30 21:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x2fadeb…
10-30 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x132496…
10-30 21:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcce859…
10-30 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x62df13…
10-30 21:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xb69e22…
10-30 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff0ff7…
10-30 21:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf29239…
10-30 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x760fa4…
10-30 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xa63ab2…
10-30 21:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc5f23e…
10-30 21:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdcdb5f…
10-30 20:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xac18c0…
10-30 18:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x1fca04…
10-30 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2253ff…
10-30 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x11522b…
10-30 17:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaca1f2…
10-30 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b6549…
10-30 16:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x313b06…
10-30 16:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9201ef…
10-30 16:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7aa9f7…
10-30 16:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3b8025…
10-30 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x97f0e6…
10-30 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1e564d…
10-30 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc0596c…
10-30 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x49928e…
10-30 15:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6e7a20…
10-30 15:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfde697…
10-30 14:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c04e5…
10-30 14:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29836a…
10-30 14:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6166a7…
10-30 14:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x978749…
10-30 13:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd233b3…
10-30 13:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb52ec2…
10-29 12:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdb261a…
10-29 12:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x99c4b4…
10-29 08:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1bf13d…
10-29 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x93eb49…
10-29 06:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x236fdd…
10-29 06:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb32363…
10-29 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4eecd…
10-29 06:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x082c1f…
10-28 22:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4333c7…
10-28 22:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfd5b85…
10-28 22:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8578b5…
10-28 21:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5eb43…
10-28 21:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xff44ab…
10-28 21:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36aeb7…
10-28 21:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x25d705…
10-28 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xd1d28a…
10-28 21:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x582dbf…
10-28 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x3f085a…
10-28 21:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4af99f…
10-28 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b4096…
10-28 21:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaff33f…
10-28 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfce606…
10-28 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x334b4b…
10-28 21:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x168fe1…
10-28 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5c30f0…
10-28 20:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd0202…
10-28 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x699902…
10-28 20:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f333d…
10-28 20:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x18df1e…
10-28 20:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba4b83…
10-28 20:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcc512e…
10-28 20:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac12be…
10-28 20:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x399a02…
10-28 20:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2549c…
10-28 20:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x653aa8…
10-28 20:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd15fa2…
10-28 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x847583…
10-28 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc6c5a1…
10-28 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1efa13…
10-28 20:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x26b9bf…
10-28 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x67bbf7…
10-27 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x693872…
10-27 22:21:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	427	37¢	$158	0x269a29…
10-27 19:29:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	427	26¢	$111	0x8860de…
10-16 21:27:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	92	18¢	$17	0xe83068…
10-16 21:27:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xc037c8…
08-05 17:04:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc9c1e9…
08-05 17:04:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbc5310…
07-29 21:55:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x898026…
07-29 21:55:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x395940…
07-25 15:46:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x48682f…
07-25 15:45:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	149	2¢	$4	0xa4de1f…
07-21 19:15:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	113	34¢	$39	0x37b1d1…
07-21 19:14:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	149	27¢	$40	0xc17235…
07-19 06:48:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0xe56dab…
07-15 18:31:55	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0x315c81…
06-04 10:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x95f054…
06-04 10:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x049498…
06-04 10:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6ee702…
06-04 10:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb00dc9…
06-04 10:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x1c0584…