Numb-Director — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

63% 80% -$136

Other

18% 84% +$3

Tech

14% 83% +$4

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 33% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	No	+$80	02-01 05:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$379	191	191	+0	No	+$3	04-29 08:02
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$305	161	161	+0	Yes	+$5	05-27 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$300	353	0	+353	Yes	-$300	06-02 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$223	297	0	+297	No	+$74	05-27 03:19
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$195	104	104	+0	Yes	+$5	05-27 03:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$54	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	01-15 11:47
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$1	01-19 02:57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$1	06-29 07:26
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	02-20 06:55
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$50	37	37	+0	Yes	-$10	04-17 08:24
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-18 06:38
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	2	$45	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	02-05 13:03
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	02-20 06:55
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$43	42	21	+21	Yes	+$6	02-26 08:57
will xai have the 2 ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$37	39	0	+39	Yes	+$2	01-28 05:59
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	2	$34	30	30	+0	No	-$18	02-01 05:09
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?	1	$32	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	01-09 02:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$25	40	0	+40	No	+$15	05-27 03:19
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$25	28	0	+28	No	+$3	04-29 08:04
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-05 10:12
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-24 02:26
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$22	24	0	+24	No	+$2	03-10 08:25
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	03-03 05:34
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	1	$22	24	0	+24	No	+$2	06-08 11:06
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-31 02:34
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	04-29 08:03
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$21	27	0	+27	Yes	+$6	03-24 02:26
us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-20 06:56
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-05 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:18:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x89c303…
07-21 03:18:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb08f1f…
06-29 07:31:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xceffa4…
06-29 07:30:35	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf6e53c…
06-29 07:26:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2c1cd4…
06-08 11:08:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x6dc014…
06-08 11:06:18	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x260bb9…
06-02 01:53:48	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa239fb…
06-02 01:53:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x4c9577…
05-27 03:19:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x05df68…
05-27 03:19:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	297	75¢	$223	0xce9d70…
05-27 03:19:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x657edd…
05-27 03:18:24	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0xfdf22c…
05-18 06:39:35	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0xe2c6ad…
05-18 06:38:55	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x09ee0c…
05-18 06:38:48	Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xf45bbf…
05-18 06:38:37	Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x6d478a…
05-18 06:38:28	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x75969b…
05-13 07:50:43	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5fa0cf…
05-06 02:35:44	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xaad1aa…
04-29 08:04:50	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0x9969d3…
04-29 08:04:24	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xae1c1e…
04-29 08:03:24	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x2dbc6e…
04-29 08:03:06	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xb3d458…
04-29 08:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0xef9070…
04-17 08:25:32	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x72e2f6…
04-17 08:24:50	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xe2fd52…
04-10 02:41:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	191	98¢	$188	0x4f9c73…
04-07 08:56:17	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x9e3e2d…
03-31 02:34:05	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf84eb8…
03-24 02:26:51	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xfc0857…
03-24 02:26:21	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xcfcacb…
03-10 08:26:09	will bnb reach 800 in march	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x40e669…
03-10 08:25:25	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xf8d8ba…
03-03 05:35:31	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$17	0xa3b53f…
03-03 05:34:31	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x356dbc…
02-26 08:58:00	will west indies win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3aff44…
02-26 08:57:22	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xe01aa3…
02-20 06:56:08	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd66899…
02-20 06:55:50	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x594c14…
02-20 06:55:38	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x90ec57…
02-20 06:55:34	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0cc55b…
02-10 01:50:51	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xe40f31…
02-10 01:47:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 500 519	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31915e…
02-05 13:07:17	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xbe8717…
02-05 13:06:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 500 519	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa33e3…
02-05 13:05:41	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x338fd1…
02-05 13:05:09	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x63032d…
02-05 13:03:19	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x4e5910…
02-05 10:12:27	lol jdg tes 2026 02 05	JD Gaming	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x9c38b8…
02-05 10:12:07	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd0b0c7…
02-01 05:14:48	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	2,050	96¢	$1,970	0x8d1b13…
02-01 05:09:44	Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xb5d939…
01-28 05:59:13	will xai have the 2 ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x1c653f…
01-28 05:56:53	Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xc8524f…
01-19 02:57:30	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x221150…
01-15 11:47:18	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x692acc…
01-09 02:18:58	Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xccba70…
01-09 02:18:46	Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x2936df…
01-06 05:44:09	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	Yes	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x946da7…
01-06 05:43:57	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x595f00…
01-03 11:57:21	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x332043…