Esteemed-Cliff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

136

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$736

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-29 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 67% -$45

Sports

16% 55% +$5

Other

4% 62% -$9

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$42	118	103	+15	Down	-$10	05-18 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$28	42	42	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$27	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$23	146	71	+74	Down	-$7	05-13 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$22	90	17	+73	Down	+$3	05-15 01:28
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:34
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$17	12	12	+0	Dooho Choi	+$7	05-17 02:59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$16	11	11	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$6	05-16 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$15	18	10	+7	Up	-$3	05-18 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$13	33	6	+27	Down	-$5	05-16 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$12	39	0	+39	Up	-$12	05-18 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$11	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-28 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$10	107	47	+60	Up	-$2	05-17 18:11
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 02:39
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 05:21
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	2	$10	12	12	+0	Down	$0	05-22 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$9	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-28 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$9	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-17 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-16 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Down	+$1	05-16 23:23
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	3	$8	6	6	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$2	05-21 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$7	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-28 15:52
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$7	4	4	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$1	05-17 23:23
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	6	$7	15	15	+0	Canadiens	-$1	05-22 02:48
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-18 20:15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$6	3	3	+0	Karmine Corp	+$0	05-17 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 03:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa81652…
05-29 03:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xab180b…
05-29 03:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1a0e66…
05-29 02:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x651acf…
05-29 02:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2609ca…
05-29 02:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x219008…
05-29 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa5ac8…
05-29 02:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xb031d3…
05-29 02:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x247098…
05-28 18:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a9a49…
05-28 17:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6822e6…
05-28 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x485ba9…
05-28 17:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x656782…
05-28 17:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb1b301…
05-28 15:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x8c8ac4…
05-28 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xef0f01…
05-28 15:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0xc8be96…
05-28 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd9c29c…
05-28 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x60356b…
05-28 05:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x9988f8…
05-28 05:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfdcccf…
05-28 05:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xab5811…
05-28 05:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xbe5782…
05-28 05:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xd9ad45…
05-28 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc87fd4…
05-28 05:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9d8950…
05-28 05:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd4cff8…
05-28 05:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x92e0e6…
05-28 05:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x4dd774…
05-28 05:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x00b371…
05-28 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xa3962e…
05-28 05:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8ebbb7…
05-28 05:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x728aa7…
05-28 04:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x5ca025…
05-28 04:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x8b34cc…
05-28 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc55f7b…
05-27 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xc0c55f…
05-27 03:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x590600…
05-27 02:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x5bfbf0…
05-27 02:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x0162a1…
05-27 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x2eef77…
05-27 02:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3ed506…
05-27 02:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xaa9c53…
05-27 02:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6b406c…
05-27 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x24c8f1…
05-27 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x21a0c5…
05-27 02:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3a665f…
05-27 02:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2ad6d5…
05-22 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xb4d4c6…
05-22 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x64eb26…
05-22 22:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c89b8…
05-22 22:01:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x34280c…
05-22 02:48:51	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbfa425…
05-22 02:24:53	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x4176c2…
05-22 01:18:26	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8c233a…
05-22 01:18:21	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x05a5d1…
05-22 01:18:10	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8ef09f…
05-22 01:17:42	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x46e868…
05-22 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x2cef3a…
05-22 00:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9d8be6…
05-22 00:51:41	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x203e72…
05-21 05:13:28	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x65b7f8…
05-21 05:09:32	Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	NRG	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa9c4aa…
05-21 05:07:16	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Liquid	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d3291…
05-21 03:30:54	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x7cc0de…
05-21 03:30:03	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc2ca44…
05-20 23:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x571196…
05-20 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5b5019…
05-20 23:38:17	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x37bd53…
05-20 23:35:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x568701…
05-20 23:34:16	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbf05e3…
05-20 03:13:45	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5759c1…
05-19 04:54:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0ef2ad…
05-19 04:51:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3dd625…
05-18 20:23:10	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc00111…
05-18 20:22:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x615b2e…
05-18 20:21:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54534b…
05-18 20:20:22	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c3e8a…
05-18 20:15:42	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xaf3c3a…
05-18 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xeb85e9…
05-18 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x74d04a…
05-18 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x104bf2…
05-18 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1a89a8…
05-18 20:05:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xa60f71…
05-18 18:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe3976c…
05-18 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x17e9b2…
05-18 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4ffb40…
05-18 18:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc59bd5…
05-18 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x7754a5…
05-18 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x71e7fc…
05-18 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x51fa43…
05-18 18:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3be50e…
05-18 18:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x926ff1…
05-18 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x072a68…
05-18 17:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x319d3a…
05-18 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x195a80…
05-18 17:35:52	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb00bb5…
05-18 05:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x51996a…
05-18 05:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8624d8…
05-18 05:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1f0917…