Flickering-Rhythm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$132

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-07 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

69% 67% $-3

Other

19% 100% +$13

Sports

11% 100% +$51

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		+800	$120	16¢	$132	+$12	06-07 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	32	$1.9K	1,291	1,345	-53	open	—	04-10 05:35
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	11	$955	633	583	+50	open	—	04-03 16:24
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	12	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	04-01 20:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$660	500	500	+0	open	—	05-17 19:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$629	428	428	+0	Yes	+$13	05-12 06:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$584	307	307	+0	No	+$20	05-08 14:25
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	12	$486	346	346	+0	open	—	04-09 06:52
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$461	251	251	+0	open	—	03-20 21:52
will iran strike bahrain again in march	5	$453	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 18:05
another sp 500 all time high by april 20	6	$352	392	0	+392	open	—	04-20 18:10
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	9	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 21:18
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	14	$327	441	0	+441	open	—	05-01 21:32
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$286	331	0	+331	Thunder	+$45	05-05 20:59
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	8	$250	133	133	+0	open	—	03-19 16:23
will iran strike lebanon in march	4	$219	150	150	+0	open	—	03-23 15:36
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$210	111	111	+0	open	—	03-19 21:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-19 21:29
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	3	$198	204	0	+204	No	+$6	05-09 21:02
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	6	$176	145	145	+0	open	—	03-20 12:37
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$151	80	80	+0	open	—	03-27 18:37
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	4	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 11:37
another sp 500 all time high by april 21	3	$142	153	0	+153	open	—	04-21 17:25
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	5	$121	150	0	+150	open	—	05-10 14:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$120	800	0	+800	open	—	06-07 01:03
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$119	200	125	+75	open	—	05-23 02:47
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$105	86	86	+0	open	—	03-18 20:58
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	6	$101	152	97	+55	open	—	04-20 13:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	5	$97	150	0	+150	open	—	05-21 23:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	03-20 21:58
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:03:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0x520285…
05-30 11:59:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xde748b…
05-23 02:47:32	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	28¢	$21	0x2a39f9…
05-21 23:38:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x63e8b9…
05-21 12:52:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x77a69a…
05-21 12:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xed6872…
05-21 12:44:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x564c37…
05-21 12:39:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x6068f4…
05-19 11:32:07	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x08b993…
05-19 10:49:30	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	125	53¢	$66	0x55f963…
05-19 10:07:05	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1ba616…
05-18 23:37:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x150afb…
05-17 19:51:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x922df5…
05-17 19:49:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	462	64¢	$296	0x7b3388…
05-17 15:20:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	101	67¢	$68	0xd6f1b2…
05-17 14:39:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7989cb…
05-17 14:35:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x2dc5a0…
05-17 10:58:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x027779…
05-17 10:58:32	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0xf8c3bf…
05-17 10:56:09	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf2cd04…
05-17 10:53:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf471ab…
05-17 10:53:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xf93db1…
05-17 03:37:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x4e99a5…
05-17 03:09:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc21848…
05-17 03:06:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xd9fb97…
05-17 01:23:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdd1e1c…
05-16 05:25:02	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xc5cc6c…
05-14 14:09:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd93b35…
05-14 00:54:42	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x88ded6…
05-12 06:17:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	428	75¢	$321	0x4e8da9…
05-11 04:51:50	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xadbb98…
05-11 04:19:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x76af63…
05-11 00:13:30	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xce6040…
05-10 22:04:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$53	0x6aa42b…
05-10 14:01:23	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1bc752…
05-10 13:41:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x92b752…
05-10 13:40:39	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	140	73¢	$102	0x472d4f…
05-10 10:43:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	73¢	$101	0x60e66b…
05-09 21:02:23	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x80552b…
05-09 18:17:58	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x5e9370…
05-09 12:23:52	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xc869d5…
05-08 23:42:17	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x8a92c9…
05-08 23:25:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xfa578a…
05-08 23:19:17	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc211ce…
05-08 23:19:15	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2a52cd…
05-08 14:25:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$302	0x010539…
05-07 21:11:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x92c3a5…
05-07 20:58:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9590cb…
05-06 20:32:53	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xae3e96…
05-06 20:32:24	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xac5917…
05-06 05:47:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6e7d23…
05-06 05:31:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0fb561…
05-06 05:31:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1483c7…
05-05 22:09:20	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xe2116f…
05-05 20:59:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x8720aa…
05-05 19:50:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x06da00…
05-05 17:36:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x13368e…
05-04 17:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x597566…
05-04 07:45:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xb48cbb…
05-01 21:32:36	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9da45b…
05-01 19:13:48	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x22a7fb…
05-01 19:12:20	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x651f9f…
05-01 14:28:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x389e54…
05-01 14:21:48	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x8cb5ca…
05-01 14:17:52	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	135	75¢	$101	0x3bc342…
05-01 12:20:40	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3a6ef3…
05-01 12:16:24	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x015744…
05-01 12:15:12	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcb8651…
05-01 12:11:14	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6468c6…
05-01 12:10:26	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x67b05f…
04-30 17:42:02	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xbd48b4…
04-30 05:54:42	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x316570…
04-30 05:45:38	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc2e82d…
04-28 02:28:26	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd86677…
04-24 20:42:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xfbe44a…
04-24 20:41:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf36d77…
04-23 01:24:22	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xbe2ce0…
04-21 18:14:30	spy closes above 705 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3f0cfc…
04-21 17:25:14	another sp 500 all time high by april 21	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9d4179…
04-21 16:42:16	another sp 500 all time high by april 21	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0xddf0f6…
04-21 15:17:04	another sp 500 all time high by april 21	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x7ee31b…
04-20 20:03:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x3be9f3…
04-20 20:02:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xda259b…
04-20 18:10:44	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe37abb…
04-20 18:02:28	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x537231…
04-20 13:28:40	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Up	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0x95e56f…
04-20 13:22:30	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x96b1d8…
04-20 13:19:06	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xf64a73…
04-20 13:18:38	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0xd9f7e1…
04-20 13:18:22	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7aeb24…
04-20 12:08:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xb4ef4a…
04-20 12:08:28	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x14de9e…
04-20 12:07:18	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x733fc8…
04-20 12:05:54	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x66d611…
04-20 12:03:16	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x2d097e…
04-20 11:25:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0xe0f2ca…
04-20 09:35:06	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	57	74¢	$42	0xdd0d82…
04-20 09:19:58	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x336af2…
04-20 08:58:58	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x24a40b…
04-20 08:50:30	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x75bf12…