Flickering-Rhythm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$122

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-27 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

66% 67% $-3

Other

19% 100% +$13

Sports

10% 100% +$51

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		+900	$133	14¢	$122	$-11	06-22 19:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	32	$1.9K	1,291	1,345	-53	open	—	04-10 05:35
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	11	$955	633	583	+50	open	—	04-03 16:24
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	12	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	04-01 20:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$660	500	500	+0	open	—	05-17 19:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$629	428	428	+0	Yes	+$13	05-12 06:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$584	307	307	+0	No	+$20	05-08 14:25
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	12	$486	346	346	+0	open	—	04-09 06:52
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$461	251	251	+0	open	—	03-20 21:52
will iran strike bahrain again in march	5	$453	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 18:05
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	21	$374	321	430	-109	open	—	06-27 00:12
another sp 500 all time high by april 20	6	$352	392	0	+392	open	—	04-20 18:10
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	9	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 21:18
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	14	$327	441	0	+441	open	—	05-01 21:32
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$286	331	0	+331	Thunder	+$45	05-05 20:59
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	8	$250	133	133	+0	open	—	03-19 16:23
will iran strike lebanon in march	4	$219	150	150	+0	open	—	03-23 15:36
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$210	111	111	+0	open	—	03-19 21:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-19 21:29
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	3	$198	204	0	+204	No	+$6	05-09 21:02
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	6	$176	145	145	+0	open	—	03-20 12:37
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$174	0	600	-600	open	—	06-18 18:44
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$151	80	80	+0	open	—	03-27 18:37
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	4	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 11:37
another sp 500 all time high by april 21	3	$142	153	0	+153	open	—	04-21 17:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$133	900	0	+900	open	—	06-22 19:18
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	5	$121	150	0	+150	open	—	05-10 14:01
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$119	200	125	+75	open	—	05-23 02:47
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$105	86	86	+0	open	—	03-18 20:58
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	6	$101	152	97	+55	open	—	04-20 13:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	5	$97	150	0	+150	open	—	05-21 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 00:12:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x907c69…
06-26 19:04:22	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xa4979b…
06-26 18:46:23	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x0b7c97…
06-26 18:36:11	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0xd90139…
06-26 18:32:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0x901205…
06-26 18:08:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xbd39ff…
06-25 11:29:55	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb934e6…
06-25 11:20:22	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0xc17600…
06-25 10:36:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x50a185…
06-23 17:25:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe3988c…
06-23 16:42:23	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe858e5…
06-22 19:18:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x3e4baf…
06-22 19:18:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8573ca…
06-19 15:19:47	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	61	35¢	$21	0x3d3655…
06-19 14:17:14	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa3fd5e…
06-19 14:14:32	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x365160…
06-19 14:14:08	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	16	35¢	$5	0x376e8b…
06-18 18:44:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	29¢	$174	0x2cbdb4…
06-16 05:21:27	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	76	15¢	$11	0xf41257…
06-16 05:16:24	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xd09eb7…
06-15 17:59:03	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x394891…
06-15 14:25:30	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc5c7df…
06-12 07:16:21	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xfbc669…
06-07 01:03:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0x520285…
05-30 11:59:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xde748b…
05-23 02:47:32	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	28¢	$21	0x2a39f9…
05-21 23:38:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x63e8b9…
05-21 12:52:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x77a69a…
05-21 12:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xed6872…
05-21 12:44:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x564c37…
05-21 12:39:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x6068f4…
05-19 11:32:07	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x08b993…
05-19 10:49:30	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	125	53¢	$66	0x55f963…
05-19 10:07:05	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1ba616…
05-18 23:37:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x150afb…
05-17 19:51:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x922df5…
05-17 19:49:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	462	64¢	$296	0x7b3388…
05-17 15:20:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	101	67¢	$68	0xd6f1b2…
05-17 14:39:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7989cb…
05-17 14:35:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x2dc5a0…
05-17 10:58:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x027779…
05-17 10:58:32	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0xf8c3bf…
05-17 10:56:09	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf2cd04…
05-17 10:53:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf471ab…
05-17 10:53:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xf93db1…
05-17 03:37:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x4e99a5…
05-17 03:09:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc21848…
05-17 03:06:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xd9fb97…
05-17 01:23:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdd1e1c…
05-16 05:25:02	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xc5cc6c…
05-14 14:09:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd93b35…
05-14 00:54:42	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x88ded6…
05-12 06:17:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	428	75¢	$321	0x4e8da9…
05-11 04:51:50	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xadbb98…
05-11 04:19:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x76af63…
05-11 00:13:30	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xce6040…
05-10 22:04:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$53	0x6aa42b…
05-10 14:01:23	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1bc752…
05-10 13:41:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x92b752…
05-10 13:40:39	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	140	73¢	$102	0x472d4f…
05-10 10:43:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	73¢	$101	0x60e66b…
05-09 21:02:23	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x80552b…
05-09 18:17:58	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x5e9370…
05-09 12:23:52	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xc869d5…
05-08 23:42:17	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x8a92c9…
05-08 23:25:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xfa578a…
05-08 23:19:17	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc211ce…
05-08 23:19:15	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2a52cd…
05-08 14:25:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$302	0x010539…
05-07 21:11:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x92c3a5…
05-07 20:58:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9590cb…
05-06 20:32:53	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xae3e96…
05-06 20:32:24	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xac5917…
05-06 05:47:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6e7d23…
05-06 05:31:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0fb561…
05-06 05:31:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1483c7…
05-05 22:09:20	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xe2116f…
05-05 20:59:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x8720aa…
05-05 19:50:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x06da00…
05-05 17:36:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x13368e…
05-04 17:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x597566…
05-04 07:45:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xb48cbb…
05-01 21:32:36	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9da45b…
05-01 19:13:48	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x22a7fb…
05-01 19:12:20	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x651f9f…
05-01 14:28:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x389e54…
05-01 14:21:48	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x8cb5ca…
05-01 14:17:52	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	135	75¢	$101	0x3bc342…
05-01 12:20:40	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3a6ef3…
05-01 12:16:24	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x015744…
05-01 12:15:12	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcb8651…
05-01 12:11:14	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6468c6…
05-01 12:10:26	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x67b05f…
04-30 17:42:02	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xbd48b4…
04-30 05:54:42	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x316570…
04-30 05:45:38	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc2e82d…
04-28 02:28:26	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd86677…
04-24 20:42:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xfbe44a…
04-24 20:41:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf36d77…
04-23 01:24:22	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xbe2ce0…