Criminal-Savings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$67.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-24 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

83% 88% +$814

Tech

12% 100% +$300

Sports

4% 100% +$14

Crypto

0% 75% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1	8	$3.6K	2,562	1,392	+1,171	Yes	-$68	01-14 19:51
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	5	$3.1K	1,633	1,633	+0	Yes	+$40	02-11 19:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 36pt5 and 37pt0 million views on day 5	3	$2.9K	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$183	02-26 19:20
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	6	$2.7K	1,796	1,000	+796	No	+$14	02-15 21:14
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	24	$2.6K	1,626	1,387	+238	No	-$276	02-08 11:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	8	$2.5K	1,263	1,263	+0	No	+$27	01-12 13:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 44 and 48 million views on day 2	3	$2.4K	1,201	1,201	+0	No	+$17	02-09 04:21
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	5	$2.4K	1,191	1,191	+0	No	+$0	09-18 22:25
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	19	$2.3K	1,496	1,496	+0	Yes	+$347	02-10 11:38
will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	23	$2.3K	2,351	0	+2,351	Yes	+$53	02-22 12:35
will mrbeasts next video get less than 20 million views on day 1 535	11	$2.1K	1,082	1,082	+0	No	+$86	03-08 04:02
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	23	$2.1K	1,439	719	+720	No	+$58	06-14 15:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	7	$2.0K	2,212	2,212	+0	No	-$1,792	03-10 16:57
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	1	$1.9K	2,140	0	+2,140	Yes	+$214	09-04 19:01
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,934	0	+1,934	Yes	+$29	09-01 17:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	3	$1.8K	1,244	759	+485	Yes	+$70	07-01 22:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	7	$1.7K	1,881	0	+1,881	Yes	+$146	03-08 11:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	9	$1.7K	1,445	500	+945	Yes	+$129	02-08 11:41
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	9	$1.6K	1,733	0	+1,733	No	+$173	02-12 22:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 39pt5 and 40pt0 million views on day 6	1	$1.5K	1,649	0	+1,649	No	+$115	02-26 19:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	3	$1.4K	832	832	+0	No	+$232	02-21 23:45
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	20	$1.3K	700	915	-215	Yes	+$194	02-21 21:14
will mrbeast hit 136 billion views by july 31 20260623145506504	1	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$165	07-17 21:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	7	$1.2K	1,330	0	+1,330	No	+$133	01-29 11:46
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	1	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	Yes	+$1	01-25 16:18
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1?	1	$1.2K	1,190	0	+1,190	No	+$1	09-13 15:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,140	32	+1,107	No	+$11	06-23 13:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	10	$1.1K	1,234	0	+1,234	Yes	+$99	01-08 12:49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?	2	$939	989	0	+989	No	+$49	06-05 18:26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$70	08-19 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:45:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	93¢	$147	0x94c8b6…
10-22 17:50:20	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 be released on november 21 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0xa5b32c…
10-22 17:50:03	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 be released on november 15 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0xbaa2f4…
10-22 17:49:47	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 be released on november 14 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0x35ca0a…
10-22 17:49:38	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 be released on november 8 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0x07e980…
10-22 17:49:33	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 be released on november 7 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0xf7c3dc…
09-27 11:19:03	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xc001ac…
09-23 23:05:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0x1bf07e…
09-23 12:38:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6024a6…
09-21 22:11:15	Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x1a6ee5…
09-21 22:10:58	Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	421	99¢	$417	0xb2d565…
09-19 16:00:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	441	86¢	$379	0xa19941…
09-19 16:00:35	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	458	96¢	$441	0x8810ce…
09-19 16:00:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	178	92¢	$164	0x2eddf6…
09-19 10:29:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xef9f7b…
09-19 05:30:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xaf0734…
09-19 03:54:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x41143d…
09-19 02:40:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe9d3b8…
09-18 22:25:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	891	100¢	$891	0xe4a58d…
09-18 15:03:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0x5e3993…
09-18 14:45:04	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x5bd9b7…
09-14 21:16:18	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xdad389…
09-14 19:04:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77ffa3…
09-14 15:05:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 25 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0x08023c…
09-13 15:50:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1?	No	BUY	1,190	100¢	$1,189	0xe460ab…
09-04 19:01:10	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2,140	90¢	$1,926	0x3eaf78…
09-01 17:56:12	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	635	100¢	$632	0xde9aa6…
09-01 17:54:09	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	590	98¢	$578	0x7b3827…
09-01 17:54:09	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	98¢	$685	0x551433…
09-01 17:54:07	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2dac83…
08-22 19:32:37	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xd76959…
08-19 19:52:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x8ba73a…
08-19 19:51:58	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xe3ae38…
08-04 08:30:29	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	507	73¢	$372	0x854548…
07-17 21:57:10	will mrbeast hit 136 billion views by july 31 20260623145506504	No	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,335	0xf403a0…
07-01 22:16:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	759	90¢	$680	0x2fe059…
07-01 22:16:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	429	91¢	$391	0x6d7a7f…
06-30 08:17:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	541	87¢	$471	0x09d5f4…
06-29 21:53:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	703	89¢	$624	0x298cf1…
06-29 21:53:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	429	88¢	$380	0x0bb5f5…
06-27 21:24:35	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	100¢	$375	0x38f8ea…
06-26 18:08:31	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	SELL	333	84¢	$280	0x42b7f8…
06-26 17:24:20	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x5dfff8…
06-26 17:12:25	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x44d340…
06-26 15:04:37	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0xfd0c3b…
06-26 15:04:37	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x86c606…
06-26 15:03:34	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x87cccd…
06-26 15:01:44	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x18ae5a…
06-26 14:57:52	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x65e5b6…
06-26 14:51:04	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260616145800199	No	BUY	209	84¢	$175	0x91eac1…
06-23 13:58:25	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	SELL	583	50¢	$291	0x6f2f19…
06-23 13:58:04	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xd3f7c6…
06-23 13:57:56	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x256109…
06-23 13:57:26	Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd81932…
06-23 13:51:38	Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb4dc88…
06-23 11:42:11	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa15ef7…
06-23 11:41:05	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	171	50¢	$86	0xb09002…
06-23 11:41:05	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x6240a8…
06-23 11:40:02	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x565954…
06-23 11:32:58	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	149	45¢	$67	0xde09b6…
06-23 11:32:02	Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?	Yes	BUY	268	44¢	$119	0xdc4670…
06-23 10:27:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,140	99¢	$1,128	0x46307d…
06-19 00:35:56	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	345	96¢	$331	0x8d6343…
06-19 00:34:50	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	309	96¢	$296	0x0e86dc…
06-14 15:30:18	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2a584e…
06-14 14:52:22	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	186	98¢	$182	0x3d18de…
06-14 13:27:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x8a9402…
06-14 13:26:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xa44d58…
06-14 10:51:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xe254ad…
06-14 09:03:16	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x763099…
06-14 09:03:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x996cef…
06-14 01:02:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xddec3f…
06-14 00:03:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xdb9083…
06-14 00:03:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc47544…
06-14 00:03:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x67d93b…
06-14 00:03:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x53c805…
06-14 00:03:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x4ca966…
06-14 00:03:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xca68a9…
06-14 00:03:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2ad1b2…
06-14 00:03:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x22c800…
06-13 14:02:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x7654bf…
06-11 21:32:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0x6e90de…
06-11 20:44:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x11fcfb…
06-11 20:24:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xa6c42e…
06-11 20:20:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xed7df0…
06-11 20:07:24	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	138	95¢	$131	0x63c0a5…
06-11 20:05:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	581	95¢	$552	0xcbd796…
06-09 16:20:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	923	91¢	$840	0xf25d2e…
06-09 16:20:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xe9b7be…
06-09 09:48:39	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	43	83¢	$36	0x22be3e…
06-09 09:48:13	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	110	84¢	$92	0xa80063…
06-09 09:47:39	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	275	85¢	$233	0x69aa2c…
06-05 18:26:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	340	95¢	$323	0xf35ee2…
06-05 18:06:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	649	95¢	$616	0x970d6c…
06-02 20:08:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	230	89¢	$204	0x65041b…
05-31 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc605e2…
05-31 19:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xd7a801…
05-31 19:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xc78fcd…
05-31 19:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	72	70¢	$51	0x7a2ec7…
05-31 19:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	119	68¢	$81	0x1d5e04…