Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$564

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

139

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 03-18 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 37% +$693

Other

16% 34% +$190

Politics

7% 50% -$299

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	2	$2.4K	1,236	1,236	+0	Up	+$25	01-22 18:05
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	6	$722	623	623	+0	Yes	+$522	01-23 21:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:15 UTC	3	$700	2,608	0	+2,608	Down	-$700	01-21 20:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	2	$600	2,255	0	+2,255	Down	-$600	01-21 16:21
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	6	$520	624	624	+0	No	-$46	01-29 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	3	$499	4,810	0	+4,810	Down	-$499	01-21 16:38
bitcoin up or down on january 21	6	$436	2,018	219	+1,799	Down	+$2	01-21 17:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:45 UTC	3	$410	1,150	0	+1,150	Up	-$1	01-21 19:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:45 UTC	2	$381	1,266	0	+1,266	Down	+$885	01-22 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:45 UTC	2	$377	1,425	0	+1,425	Down	+$1,048	01-21 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:30 UTC	4	$367	7,969	0	+7,969	Down	+$303	01-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:45 UTC	4	$350	1,086	0	+1,086	Up	-$350	01-21 20:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:00 UTC	6	$343	1,236	0	+1,236	Down	+$70	01-21 19:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$342	588	588	+0	Yes	+$10	01-29 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:15 UTC	5	$330	848	0	+848	Up	+$116	01-21 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:00 UTC	5	$300	1,027	0	+1,027	Down	-$151	01-21 20:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:00 UTC	3	$300	2,047	0	+2,047	Down	-$300	01-21 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:45 UTC	4	$288	2,314	0	+2,314	Up	+$202	01-21 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:15 UTC	3	$260	642	0	+642	Up	+$7	01-21 07:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 12:00 UTC	2	$239	839	0	+839	Down	+$70	01-21 12:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:15 UTC	3	$202	1,023	0	+1,023	Up	-$202	01-21 19:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 17:45 UTC	2	$200	781	0	+781	Up	+$200	01-21 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 15:00 UTC	2	$200	725	0	+725	Up	-$200	01-21 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:30 UTC	2	$200	972	0	+972	Up	-$200	01-21 18:42
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$197	4,319	0	+4,319	No	-$197	03-06 05:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:45 UTC	3	$190	1,897	0	+1,897	Up	-$190	01-21 18:52
ethereum up or down on january 21	3	$169	576	95	+482	Down	+$21	01-21 17:39
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	2	$161	403	403	+0	No	+$61	01-29 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 10:45 UTC	2	$160	637	0	+637	Down	-$160	01-21 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:15 UTC	2	$153	1,265	0	+1,265	Up	+$1,112	01-21 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-18 17:13:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	24,800	0¢	$50	0x899622…
03-18 17:13:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0xfc8877…
03-06 05:06:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2,124	5¢	$97	0x4c3a07…
03-06 04:59:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	11,285	1¢	$100	0x3e189b…
03-06 04:57:37	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2,196	5¢	$100	0x9c2b5f…
01-29 16:13:56	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	634	12¢	$77	0x8a1072…
01-29 15:51:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	SELL	403	27¢	$111	0x50ce0f…
01-29 15:51:30	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	Yes	SELL	2,372	4¢	$83	0x59d384…
01-29 15:51:30	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	Yes	SELL	795	12¢	$97	0x0eb667…
01-29 15:51:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	Yes	SELL	231	26¢	$60	0xbca74d…
01-29 15:51:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	769	7¢	$55	0x7ddec2…
01-29 15:51:28	gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	684	16¢	$112	0x0bcde6…
01-29 15:51:26	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xfce14a…
01-29 15:51:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	588	30¢	$176	0x5c93b1…
01-29 15:51:24	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	624	38¢	$237	0xd82960…
01-29 15:51:24	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	Yes	SELL	1,335	7¢	$93	0xb9e1d7…
01-29 15:48:24	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	1,441	1¢	$13	0xc105ad…
01-28 19:41:12	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	Yes	BUY	2,372	1¢	$33	0x44d563…
01-28 19:40:58	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	Yes	BUY	1,335	4¢	$50	0x45f0d5…
01-28 19:40:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	Yes	BUY	795	6¢	$50	0x6f713d…
01-28 19:40:46	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	BUY	403	12¢	$50	0x22d4ed…
01-28 19:40:44	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	Yes	BUY	231	22¢	$50	0x2794ff…
01-28 14:07:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x03215c…
01-28 14:06:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x5e24bb…
01-28 14:06:27	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0xfb6179…
01-28 14:04:53	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xd4d350…
01-28 14:04:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x942744…
01-28 14:03:21	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x6fa292…
01-28 14:02:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xafb7ba…
01-28 14:01:41	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x027e50…
01-28 13:57:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	769	6¢	$50	0x2c2d3b…
01-28 13:56:41	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	648	8¢	$50	0xf90b87…
01-28 13:56:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x6382c3…
01-28 13:56:23	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xc78983…
01-27 13:25:05	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$50	0xd479b1…
01-27 10:00:43	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xf8dd76…
01-27 10:00:37	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x9a27bc…
01-27 09:59:11	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,628	1¢	$16	0x4fae20…
01-26 18:36:49	si settle below 70 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	241	0¢	$0	0x73fa8f…
01-26 18:36:45	si settle 70 72 5 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	324	0¢	$0	0x7e4fa2…
01-26 18:36:33	si hit 150 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	829	5¢	$42	0xc6a29a…
01-26 18:36:29	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	Yes	SELL	227	56¢	$128	0x1edf40…
01-26 18:36:21	si above 120 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	263	19¢	$49	0xaa76bc…
01-26 18:36:11	si above 110 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	78	60¢	$47	0x05c3ea…
01-23 21:24:36	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	SELL	623	100¢	$622	0xcd4c83…
01-23 16:38:26	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	Yes	BUY	996	10¢	$100	0xacb691…
01-23 04:37:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x4e2b17…
01-23 04:17:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0xa9d6dd…
01-23 04:08:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xc6b95d…
01-23 04:07:18	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	Yes	BUY	933	2¢	$14	0x60f004…
01-23 04:06:02	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0xb6dd1e…
01-23 04:03:50	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	Yes	BUY	677	1¢	$10	0x03eca8…
01-22 18:32:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x20c861…
01-22 18:32:28	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xccdbba…
01-22 18:30:54	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x4cd413…
01-22 18:28:08	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	154	16¢	$25	0xf7c009…
01-22 18:26:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	Yes	BUY	189	34¢	$65	0x15dc8b…
01-22 18:20:16	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	Yes	BUY	369	12¢	$45	0x9379f6…
01-22 18:19:04	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	Yes	BUY	670	3¢	$20	0x502798…
01-22 18:16:06	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x154a94…
01-22 18:13:14	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x058b45…
01-22 18:13:02	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	176	14¢	$25	0x986c08…
01-22 18:10:24	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xa31444…
01-22 18:07:58	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	Yes	BUY	108	14¢	$15	0x20adcd…
01-22 18:06:32	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	Yes	BUY	360	3¢	$10	0xcec65c…
01-22 18:06:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 360 379	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xfa56a4…
01-22 18:05:34	bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	Up	SELL	1,236	100¢	$1,235	0xf26242…
01-22 17:57:44	bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	Up	BUY	1,236	98¢	$1,210	0x04faed…
01-22 17:55:58	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xbf8791…
01-22 17:55:52	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x860e13…
01-22 17:55:46	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,088	1¢	$10	0xd9aa80…
01-22 17:55:42	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x6f85a5…
01-22 17:09:24	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xcc51b7…
01-22 17:09:06	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,333	2¢	$20	0x0a0d30…
01-22 17:08:50	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x22eb90…
01-22 17:08:38	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xde46e6…
01-22 17:07:24	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xee5499…
01-22 17:02:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xd216e5…
01-22 16:50:48	bitcoin up or down january 22 11am et	Down	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0xc4d983…
01-22 16:46:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-22 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	825	4¢	$30	0xb7b491…
01-22 16:35:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	27¢	$16	0x43dc0f…
01-22 16:33:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xb27438…
01-22 16:31:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0xbcd3c5…
01-22 16:25:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xa2dee3…
01-22 16:20:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	191	22¢	$42	0xedcc44…
01-22 16:15:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x7b9444…
01-22 16:11:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1cb95a…
01-22 16:09:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	115	27¢	$31	0x18d6e5…
01-22 16:04:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5268ae…
01-22 15:49:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,052	31¢	$331	0x2a115e…
01-22 15:47:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0x11fb7b…
01-22 15:43:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x46ac7e…
01-22 15:38:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	367	9¢	$33	0xbe78bb…
01-22 15:37:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x25b96d…
01-22 15:36:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xacfe88…
01-22 15:36:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x4c2a42…
01-22 15:35:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x5bfc8e…
01-22 15:30:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x747ea6…
01-22 15:18:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x0f36c5…
01-22 15:17:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x74a42d…