Naive-Sailor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-08 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$30

Politics

20% 100% +$12

Crypto

20% 100% +$16

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Sports

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+49	$48	96¢	$47	-$1	10-08 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$604	318	318	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$4	05-10 12:30
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 90 114	1	$450	451	0	+451	No	+$1	01-23 08:00
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	1	$450	459	0	+459	Down	+$9	03-27 12:26
will ethereum dip to 1500 february 2 8	1	$332	338	0	+338	No	+$6	02-04 13:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$300	305	0	+305	Yes	+$5	03-08 13:19
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$280	285	0	+285	No	+$5	05-10 13:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$280	182	100	+82	No	+$2	06-30 05:23
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$269	272	0	+272	No	+$3	04-14 07:21
will solana reach 180 january 12 18	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	01-16 11:47
will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	04-14 07:22
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	1	$190	193	0	+193	No	+$3	01-16 11:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$188	192	0	+192	No	+$4	05-10 07:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$160	163	0	+163	Yes	+$3	06-07 13:22
cs2 faze mnte 2026 03 08	1	$150	154	0	+154	FaZe	+$4	03-08 13:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$144	146	0	+146	No	+$2	06-07 13:19
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	09-07 08:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	08-22 06:58
meta close above 730 on february 4 2026	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	02-04 13:32
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	09-07 08:22
will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	08-22 06:57
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	06-30 05:24
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	07-28 06:13
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$80	83	0	+83	Yes	+$3	07-07 10:58
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-07 10:59
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	10-08 08:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	10-08 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:50:59	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xf33002…
10-08 08:50:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x708883…
09-07 08:22:40	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xa94800…
09-07 08:22:07	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x020974…
08-22 06:58:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xa7015a…
08-22 06:57:51	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xb82141…
07-28 06:13:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x191ab6…
07-07 10:59:13	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xca94a8…
07-07 10:58:41	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x0a508f…
06-30 05:24:37	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe363b3…
06-30 05:23:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xff0f91…
06-07 13:22:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x854bb2…
06-07 13:22:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x5c30eb…
06-07 13:19:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xd2e372…
05-10 13:33:28	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	285	98¢	$280	0x65ef1c…
05-10 12:30:25	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	318	96¢	$304	0x85b018…
05-10 07:38:57	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x256478…
05-10 07:37:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x16243d…
04-14 07:22:15	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd0b9e8…
04-14 07:21:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$269	0x2c56d8…
03-27 12:26:53	bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	459	98¢	$450	0x05afa5…
03-08 13:19:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0xa9d107…
03-08 13:18:35	cs2 faze mnte 2026 03 08	FaZe	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x1631e0…
02-04 13:33:28	will ethereum dip to 1500 february 2 8	No	BUY	338	98¢	$332	0x84bff9…
02-04 13:32:42	meta close above 730 on february 4 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6b8e8a…
01-23 08:00:38	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 90 114	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x86ae0a…
01-16 11:47:40	will solana reach 180 january 12 18	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xbd4de3…
01-16 11:47:06	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	No	BUY	193	99¢	$190	0x36e0ad…