Watery-Disability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-02 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$5

Politics

2% 75% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:33
highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 26c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 12:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:29
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-02 03:29
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-01 15:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 08:30
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 01:45
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-30 09:21
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-30 01:43
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-29 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:02:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b95cd…
11-01 09:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94ad3a…
10-31 15:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x130042…
10-30 10:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x670b17…
10-29 17:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05770c…
10-29 09:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7a94a…
10-28 07:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa554c7…
10-27 08:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43fc6c…
10-26 09:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68b983…
10-24 11:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ed6fa…
10-22 10:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd890bc…
10-20 07:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48f0cd…
10-19 09:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93b631…
10-18 09:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae65fa…
10-17 14:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b8adc…
10-16 09:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06b42f…
10-15 09:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9500a1…
10-14 09:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11dff3…
10-13 09:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89795d…
10-12 08:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x756782…
10-11 08:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5597b5…
10-08 08:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2256dc…
10-07 14:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb37767…
10-06 07:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b00b6…
10-04 15:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000810…
10-03 08:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x409aca…
10-02 11:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9651b…
10-01 08:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x584a3e…
09-30 15:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d759d…
09-30 12:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa20f4a…
09-29 14:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fa6f7…
09-28 09:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78e708…
09-27 08:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29e047…
09-25 12:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x168d24…
09-24 08:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00e545…
09-23 07:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3022d5…
09-22 08:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb3f3d…
09-21 09:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc742ff…
09-20 05:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e4ea0…
09-19 08:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x673158…
09-18 06:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbee13…
09-17 04:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8f70b…
09-16 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbf71d…
09-15 09:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9c5f8…
09-14 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e47cd…
09-12 16:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe31c8c…
09-11 07:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2de5dd…
09-10 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x945c27…
09-09 02:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fbee9…
09-08 02:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eceef…
09-07 08:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63a17c…
09-06 17:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780e44…
09-06 09:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x668268…
09-05 01:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1983a5…
09-03 09:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7ee77…
09-02 07:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dcb2e…
08-30 08:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5d34…
08-29 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b9393…
08-28 08:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86b2b6…
08-27 08:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf99234…
08-26 08:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7e2e2…
08-25 09:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x090342…
08-24 09:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15f829…
08-23 14:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34f06c…
08-22 08:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ce024…
08-21 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bdb71…
08-20 08:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bb32…
08-19 11:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe515a0…
08-18 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6096d…
08-17 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec8bed…
08-16 11:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c8445…
08-15 09:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1cbd7…
08-14 06:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x867ab8…
08-13 07:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8620…
08-12 07:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x320b82…
08-11 06:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45f1f5…
08-10 07:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2c3d9…
08-09 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa33fc3…
08-08 07:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x331bc6…
08-07 01:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50e4dd…
08-06 06:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x646d7b…
08-05 07:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb682…
08-04 08:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2652d5…
08-03 07:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d814…
08-02 01:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24ab9c…
08-01 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65f0d9…
07-31 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d6a50…
07-30 06:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe3302…
07-29 06:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949660…
07-28 06:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6bc06…
07-27 08:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe695d8…
07-26 06:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x785b1e…
07-25 07:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x083542…
07-24 09:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe01129…
07-23 08:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07536a…
07-22 01:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2c87e…
07-21 09:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34b2e8…
07-21 00:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8408d1…
07-20 07:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f206c…
07-18 23:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45e8d9…