Nervous-Impress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

3,567

Trades

4,029

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-07 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 91% -$17

Other

1% 87% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:30 UTC	4	$13	8	8	+0	Down	-$2	02-24 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:20 UTC	4	$13	8	8	+0	Down	-$2	02-18 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:05 UTC	3	$11	8	4	+4	Down	+$0	02-16 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:10 UTC	3	$11	9	5	+4	Up	$0	02-23 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 08:00 UTC	3	$11	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-24 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:50 UTC	3	$11	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-18 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 02:00 UTC	3	$10	8	4	+4	Up	-$1	02-25 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:00 UTC	3	$10	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-24 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:55 UTC	3	$10	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-20 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:35 UTC	3	$10	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-25 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:30 UTC	3	$10	8	4	+4	Down	-$1	02-20 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:45 UTC	4	$10	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	02-27 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 14:30 UTC	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	-$3	02-18 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 03:45 UTC	3	$9	10	0	+10	Up	-$9	02-27 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC	3	$9	6	3	+3	Down	+$0	02-28 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:45 UTC	3	$9	6	4	+2	Down	-$1	02-17 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:50 UTC	3	$8	6	4	+2	Up	-$1	02-17 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:50 UTC	3	$8	6	4	+2	Up	-$1	02-23 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:05 UTC	3	$8	6	4	+2	Down	-$1	02-20 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:10 UTC	3	$8	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-01 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:05 UTC	4	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-08 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:10 UTC	4	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-07 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 10:35 UTC	3	$8	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-02 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:05 UTC	3	$8	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-04 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:25 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	02-15 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 15:20 UTC	3	$8	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-02 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 08:10 UTC	3	$8	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-02 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:00 UTC	3	$7	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	03-01 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:30 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	02-18 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:10 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	-$1	02-18 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad90be…
11-02 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x08bdea…
11-01 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x9fb6b1…
10-30 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xbe4802…
10-29 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdf07a2…
10-28 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8c448…
10-27 18:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90d932…
10-26 20:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0fad8a…
10-25 16:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffcabf…
10-24 16:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xc07291…
10-23 18:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xc2d8ef…
10-22 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x4f4ae7…
10-22 12:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc3cb8f…
10-19 11:08:38	European Open: Federico Cina vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe0fd16…
10-18 13:22:33	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb1570e…
10-16 00:00:22	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe69ae4…
10-08 17:03:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e7730…
10-06 13:27:13	Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb3b127…
09-28 06:01:45	wta ribera nicholl 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedfe63…
09-27 16:30:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x67edf9…
09-16 15:10:27	itf basing1 tabacc2 2026 09 16	Giorgio Tabacco	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9d4acf…
09-16 13:00:27	spy closes above 750 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x61447e…
09-01 06:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x063d04…
08-30 15:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x59e87c…
08-29 15:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcce576…
08-28 15:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x615a9e…
08-27 14:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3a578c…
08-26 13:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4eae9b…
08-25 16:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb890ed…
08-24 11:54:42	wta boluda zhu 2026 08 24	Lin Zhu	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb6bc33…
08-24 00:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfaba06…
08-23 04:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x775059…
08-22 07:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd50d6f…
08-22 02:57:10	wta gauff kostyuk 2026 08 21	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd719ba…
08-21 09:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x68e45c…
08-20 12:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x20b7ef…
08-20 12:15:36	Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-20?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4558f4…
08-19 15:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x735758…
08-18 17:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x90f071…
08-18 00:00:37	mlb mia phi 2026 08 17	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x69d138…
08-17 12:46:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb02b7e…
08-14 23:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe2763a…
08-14 16:09:34	wta maneiro bondar 2026 08 13	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4b0503…
08-13 17:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x82411d…
08-12 18:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x200dfa…
08-11 14:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f3d2b…
08-10 11:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x111101…
08-10 09:58:10	atp pankin palan 2026 08 10	Semen Pankin	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x0a775f…
08-08 01:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xde6a63…
08-07 19:03:24	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x85d580…
08-06 22:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x5b71b1…
08-06 06:28:56	wta golubic swiatek 2026 08 05	Iga Swiatek	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xeac6b4…
08-06 00:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e98d3…
08-05 01:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe6ffa2…
08-04 14:47:56	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0df2fb…
08-04 00:33:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x898935…
08-03 04:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x460399…
08-02 02:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3e576d…
08-01 15:22:12	clf rma fio 2026 08 01 spread away 2pt5	Real Madrid	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7a069…
08-01 02:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0b3f41…
07-31 05:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf05779…
07-30 03:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8034cc…
07-29 05:00:42	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x610a68…
07-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f5284…
07-28 03:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcfc30c…
07-27 09:28:03	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0c5c19…
07-27 01:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7f977e…
07-25 14:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xac8d0a…
07-25 11:57:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa0472d…
07-24 17:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xed6d79…
07-23 23:43:57	val nv2 mibr 2026 07 23	MIBR	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x934bc1…
07-23 08:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x88603b…
07-22 11:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54315d…
07-22 05:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa634bb…
07-21 10:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x006e63…
07-20 15:48:24	dota2 z10 nemiga 2026 07 20	Zero Tenacity	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd702cc…
07-20 14:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x75ab5b…
07-19 16:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x09f16e…
07-18 14:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd5d7e7…
07-17 15:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1352b8…
07-16 18:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf3e02f…
07-15 19:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa05bfc…
07-14 19:22:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdb2d83…
07-13 13:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa99b85…
07-12 15:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa2de63…
07-11 16:57:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x894583…
07-10 18:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x745e46…
07-03 19:16:46	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4f497b…
06-29 06:07:26	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x358dee…
06-27 17:47:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x96c837…
06-23 04:21:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x065aa0…
06-23 00:27:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5bdfa9…
06-22 19:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x628ffd…
06-22 16:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x68e94b…
06-22 08:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x1970ab…
06-22 04:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xb7dfa2…
06-21 16:06:10	Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbe194e…
06-21 10:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x3213d4…
06-21 01:00:55	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb9f45c…
06-20 19:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf50524…