Well-Off-Anticipation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

366

Trades

787

lifetime

Volume

$9.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

76% 79% +$1

Crypto

17% 75% +$0

Politics

4% 85% $0

Sports

3% 71% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	10-27 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-01 12:56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-03 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 27?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-27 00:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 3?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 4?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 23:59
bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 17:49
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-04 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 30?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-02 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 4?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 22:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 23:15
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 16:15
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-28 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 8?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-08 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 24?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 6?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-05 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-02 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 15?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-14 11:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 27?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-27 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 29?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-29 00:50
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-14 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:58
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 08:56
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 25?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	06-25 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 28?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-28 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:37:32	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41218a…
10-24 00:25:24	Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1c33cb…
10-13 17:14:34	Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x812a20…
10-07 07:24:48	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x0e4205…
10-07 07:23:56	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xf782cf…
09-20 14:40:43	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x7f8a7e…
09-14 02:45:57	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xc6f0e2…
09-04 13:59:21	Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dcb8a…
09-02 21:50:21	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8b55dc…
09-02 21:49:06	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9fe775…
08-31 22:24:42	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x471e69…
08-25 14:30:40	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b293e…
08-06 13:30:32	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf9f5ae…
08-06 13:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x013ed9…
08-06 13:27:23	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa57afb…
08-05 13:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc15e7…
08-05 12:54:21	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x41ca54…
08-05 10:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x12b2f5…
08-05 06:08:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x08201a…
08-05 01:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe033ba…
08-05 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x86aa87…
08-05 00:54:02	ethereum above 2100 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1413cb…
08-05 00:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfc7361…
08-05 00:04:18	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf18fb0…
08-04 22:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xea598b…
08-04 22:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1d6675…
08-04 19:35:20	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 4	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x767487…
08-04 16:15:33	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fa94e…
08-04 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3a436d…
08-04 15:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x22a558…
08-04 13:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74214a…
08-04 09:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x092a07…
08-04 08:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe1f6d2…
08-04 06:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbf271e…
08-04 06:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe5cf01…
08-04 06:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb7ba48…
08-04 06:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0a2c4a…
08-04 05:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 4?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x43c2dc…
08-04 00:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x227969…
08-03 23:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6e6048…
08-03 23:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0c20fb…
08-03 22:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x862499…
08-03 21:41:30	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x86b954…
08-03 19:05:54	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x4bbc8e…
08-03 15:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaeb391…
08-03 15:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 4?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x97c11e…
08-03 15:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 4?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc888d0…
08-03 15:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 4?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0xbdc703…
08-03 11:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x98a012…
08-03 09:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x01ed88…
08-03 07:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x932d58…
08-03 06:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21c912…
08-03 06:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 3?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x2da2fd…
08-03 06:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x9443e4…
08-02 23:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa29124…
08-02 22:17:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x47f8a0…
08-02 19:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd1d1d4…
08-02 19:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9d360d…
08-02 19:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x826df4…
08-02 19:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x44cc27…
08-02 17:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfec788…
08-02 14:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5b1ff9…
08-02 11:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xddbdbb…
08-02 10:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x50a45d…
08-02 10:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3b1333…
08-02 10:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x7da208…
08-02 08:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x50e579…
08-02 08:22:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe40cf7…
08-02 06:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x933738…
08-02 05:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a7587…
08-02 05:20:02	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe7df09…
08-02 04:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xec15cc…
08-02 04:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc19df4…
08-02 03:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06ec52…
08-02 03:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5bee0d…
08-02 03:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb1e959…
08-02 02:30:20	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb0908c…
08-01 23:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb2264b…
08-01 22:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x119993…
08-01 19:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd93325…
08-01 16:37:20	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x32855e…
08-01 16:36:08	Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x80b91e…
08-01 13:20:44	Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa35214…
08-01 13:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on August 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x420b53…
08-01 12:56:32	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x1a5c07…
08-01 11:17:17	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x137bd7…
08-01 09:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x13f1cb…
08-01 05:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb18ab9…
08-01 03:15:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on August 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdb6233…
08-01 02:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcfcd9c…
08-01 00:32:48	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad5d0a…
07-31 23:42:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfb25ca…
07-31 16:39:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on August 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8f217f…
07-31 16:00:05	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbdbae7…
07-31 16:00:03	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x565d47…
07-31 15:51:20	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7074d4…
07-31 14:11:36	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe2e1d…
07-31 12:53:33	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9b2dd…
07-31 11:09:41	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc31d44…
07-31 10:25:56	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xce79da…