Truthful-Bath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$266

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.2%

Resolved

Trades

941

lifetime

Volume

$6.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-07 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 20% $-23

Other

39% 0% $-243

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	3	$725	640	622	+18	open	—	04-27 13:18
spx up or down on april 21 2026	3	$538	573	466	+107	open	—	04-21 18:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$479	1,111	556	+556	open	—	04-30 14:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$194	2,340	0	+2,340	Up	$-194	05-06 13:45
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	2	$125	1,722	0	+1,722	open	—	04-20 12:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	1	$100	390	0	+390	open	—	05-01 13:17
btc updown 5m 1777036200	4	$63	84	40	+44	open	—	04-24 13:11
btc updown 5m 1775681100	5	$62	68	35	+34	open	—	04-08 20:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	1	$60	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	05-01 13:07
btc updown 5m 1775681400	7	$51	483	15	+469	open	—	04-08 20:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$50	145	0	+145	open	—	04-24 13:37
spx up or down on april 22 2026	1	$50	232	0	+232	open	—	04-22 11:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	1	$49	1,287	0	+1,287	Up	$-49	05-07 13:22
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	1	$40	286	0	+286	open	—	04-07 12:22
spx up or down on april 20 2026	2	$35	73	71	+2	open	—	04-20 18:05
btc updown 5m 1777031700	3	$35	71	0	+71	open	—	04-24 11:54
btc updown 5m 1775682300	5	$30	1,446	0	+1,446	open	—	04-08 21:09
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	1	$30	273	0	+273	open	—	04-21 13:07
btc updown 5m 1777007700	2	$29	62	0	+62	open	—	04-24 05:14
btc updown 5m 1777019100	2	$29	62	0	+62	open	—	04-24 08:24
btc updown 5m 1775846100	5	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-10 18:41
btc updown 5m 1775847000	5	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-10 18:55
btc updown 5m 1775681700	6	$29	75	0	+75	open	—	04-08 20:59
btc updown 5m 1775885700	5	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-11 05:39
btc updown 5m 1777029300	2	$28	70	0	+70	open	—	04-24 11:14
btc updown 15m 1777045500	4	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 15:44
btc updown 5m 1777032600	2	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 12:09
btc updown 5m 1777033200	2	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 12:19
btc updown 5m 1777033500	2	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 12:24
btc updown 15m 1775874600	3	$22	44	0	+44	open	—	04-11 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:22:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1,287	4¢	$49	0x576d54…
05-06 13:45:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	2,340	8¢	$194	0x5b4a32…
05-06 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x03ebe2…
05-06 04:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x349136…
05-06 02:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe28db6…
05-05 20:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb3e56b…
05-05 18:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc325f5…
05-05 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe32439…
05-05 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xe2af8c…
05-05 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x1ade41…
05-05 07:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5b6ea7…
05-04 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x12a7d4…
05-04 10:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd0a9c5…
05-04 06:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xab38a0…
05-03 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x1517ca…
05-03 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0bfa5e…
05-03 14:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x7b299e…
05-03 09:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0ad91b…
05-03 09:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x023032…
05-02 12:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x477096…
05-02 12:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5ca6db…
05-02 12:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x888939…
05-02 12:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa4a04c…
05-02 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc01d56…
05-02 12:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6962a1…
05-02 12:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x475a76…
05-02 12:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x60da32…
05-02 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb52371…
05-02 11:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5a59ee…
05-02 11:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2722b7…
05-02 11:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8bbd3e…
05-02 10:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa34de6…
05-02 10:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4566ae…
05-02 10:26:56	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb6c909…
05-02 10:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd69485…
05-02 09:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f9c92…
05-02 06:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x05301f…
05-02 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb9d058…
05-01 23:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf59c15…
05-01 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc99cdc…
05-01 20:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xea3812…
05-01 18:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x61c702…
05-01 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8df31c…
05-01 17:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x911bc2…
05-01 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x655d92…
05-01 17:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc09f34…
05-01 16:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa7d1fd…
05-01 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa3b180…
05-01 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x48cbad…
05-01 13:17:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xc29518…
05-01 13:07:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	1,130	5¢	$60	0xab1aba…
05-01 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf98891…
05-01 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x427095…
05-01 10:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7205a8…
04-30 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf9ac1e…
04-30 19:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb1ea72…
04-30 18:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x31cb41…
04-30 17:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5f7a0a…
04-30 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe34d76…
04-30 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x917ca0…
04-30 16:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x141d94…
04-30 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x0b27c8…
04-30 14:01:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	556	32¢	$179	0xea4f42…
04-30 13:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xed31e8…
04-30 12:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8e5563…
04-30 12:40:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0xe44ed3…
04-30 11:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x382aa2…
04-30 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa6deaf…
04-30 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x10a1ff…
04-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb762ff…
04-30 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc96488…
04-30 06:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9bc750…
04-30 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xde032f…
04-30 04:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x040388…
04-30 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x355511…
04-30 03:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe9591c…
04-29 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x19e203…
04-29 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x62bd32…
04-29 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4e73ab…
04-29 20:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x40ebbf…
04-29 19:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9d0e35…
04-29 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x45e08b…
04-29 17:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x84d9cc…
04-29 17:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8e9e7a…
04-29 17:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x84baf8…
04-29 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x58e05c…
04-29 16:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x87edab…
04-29 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x73511f…
04-29 15:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x84c9ac…
04-29 13:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4d436f…
04-29 13:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfce502…
04-29 11:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2ad88d…
04-29 10:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc77ce4…
04-29 09:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x526dfc…
04-29 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9e291f…
04-29 08:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6c5f64…
04-29 08:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2805f0…
04-29 07:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xabff95…
04-29 07:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8c01f2…
04-29 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd65164…