Full-Lieu — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

291 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$669

$3.43K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:58
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:40
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48ccf1…
10-31 15:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb219e1…
10-30 14:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5fe4…
10-29 17:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x105f71…
10-29 09:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x020aa0…
10-28 07:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4cf13…
10-27 08:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc40a71…
10-26 09:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3581ba…
10-24 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4f8a9…
10-22 10:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164aef…
10-20 07:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4649f2…
10-19 09:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe07565…
10-18 09:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7db47a…
10-17 15:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d7450…
10-16 09:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26bfc3…
10-15 09:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75cc50…
10-14 09:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f9f8a…
10-13 14:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x353b80…
10-13 09:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d24cb…
10-12 09:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39c65a…
10-11 08:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfe737…
10-08 09:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaafd53…
10-07 15:21:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9303c7…
10-06 08:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4465cb…
10-04 15:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30f53c…
10-03 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b9c87…
10-02 11:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8364d1…
10-01 08:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82bee5…
09-30 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3624c4…
09-29 14:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0ad78…
09-28 09:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349faa…
09-27 08:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x908306…
09-25 12:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0f04c…
09-24 08:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x412b96…
09-23 07:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d2ad5…
09-22 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x672c60…
09-21 09:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42c551…
09-20 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x008731…
09-19 08:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc80b58…
09-18 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9cb72…
09-17 04:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2f0eb…
09-16 08:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b084b…
09-15 09:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94d345…
09-14 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85dd28…
09-12 16:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b512c…
09-11 07:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf89c1d…
09-10 08:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe88a89…
09-09 09:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa34e6e…
09-08 15:38:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6b285…
09-08 06:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d5232…
09-07 08:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca5e0e…
09-06 17:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf75e9c…
09-06 09:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a1c54…
09-05 01:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70df89…
09-03 09:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7aa4ed…
09-02 07:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x325cad…
08-30 09:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19c109…
08-29 08:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce88c4…
08-28 08:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec7366…
08-27 08:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca7d38…
08-26 08:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54a87d…
08-25 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bc916…
08-24 10:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d2ce1…
08-23 14:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2099a9…
08-22 08:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71ec5d…
08-21 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f83f4…
08-20 08:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd16453…
08-19 11:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97ce7f…
08-18 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8652e7…
08-17 07:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd91b74…
08-16 11:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x446ec7…
08-15 09:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84ae80…
08-14 06:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f177c…
08-13 07:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf78d22…
08-12 07:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96c72d…
08-11 06:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd63fa2…
08-10 07:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb47404…
08-09 01:25:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e5349…
08-08 07:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4f2fb…
08-07 01:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x438a61…
08-06 06:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbfbbd…
08-05 07:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x793270…
08-04 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28d633…
08-03 07:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0678b…
08-02 01:41:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8da06b…
08-01 07:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8d31…
07-31 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0bfb7…
07-30 06:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb523ba…
07-29 07:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5101c…
07-28 06:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f4757…
07-27 08:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d7950…
07-26 07:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61928f…
07-25 08:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ae60…
07-24 10:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8496d…
07-23 08:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3ec6a…
07-22 02:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d51d6…
07-21 09:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67e1e9…
07-21 00:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2180fc…
07-20 07:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf913a7…
07-18 23:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b413…