Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$182

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

$677

1 position

First seen

2026-10-25

last 11-14 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 60% -$147

Politics

26% 50% +$2,234

Other

12% 67% -$180

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	—	+709	$495	96¢	$677	+$182	11-14 13:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	6	$3.5K	5,759	0	+5,759	Yes	+$2,254	10-25 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$1.3K	1,535	534	+1,001	Down	-$265	11-13 22:11
Partizan vs. Kosner Baskonia	1	$594	762	0	+762	Partizan	+$168	11-11 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$594	619	0	+619	Up	+$25	11-13 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$594	698	0	+698	Down	+$104	11-14 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$512	612	87	+526	Down	+$47	11-14 11:13
Will Germany win on 2026-11-13?	1	$495	643	0	+643	Yes	+$148	11-12 10:56
Panathinaikos vs. Barcelona	1	$495	604	0	+604	Barcelona	-$495	11-13 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$495	966	0	+966	Down	+$471	11-13 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$495	709	0	+709	open	—	11-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$446	521	0	+521	Up	+$75	11-14 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$446	526	0	+526	Up	-$446	11-14 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$396	524	0	+524	resolved	-$396	11-14 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$377	511	180	+331	Up	-$316	11-14 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$347	513	0	+513	Up	+$166	11-14 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$329	283	283	+0	Up	+$32	11-14 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$306	328	180	+148	Up	-$130	11-14 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$297	450	0	+450	resolved	-$297	11-14 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$277	331	0	+331	Up	+$54	11-14 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$241	3,124	154	+2,970	Up	-$17	11-14 11:59
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	2	$233	123	123	+0	open	—	11-13 21:56
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	2	$213	122	122	+0	open	—	11-13 21:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	1	$198	248	0	+248	Down	+$50	11-14 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$198	241	0	+241	Down	+$43	11-14 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$149	236	0	+236	Down	+$87	11-14 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$149	165	0	+165	Down	+$17	11-13 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$89	134	0	+134	Down	-$89	11-14 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$50	95	0	+95	Down	-$50	11-14 12:01
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	2	$25	276	276	+0	open	—	11-12 17:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	-$20	10-25 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 13:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	279	71¢	$198	0x5d48db…
11-14 13:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	430	69¢	$297	0xab3df8…
11-14 12:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$99	0x05f429…
11-14 12:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	139	71¢	$99	0xe4f5c4…
11-14 12:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	138	72¢	$99	0x069627…
11-14 12:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	67¢	$99	0x09072d…
11-14 12:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0x5a5803…
11-14 12:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x70961e…
11-14 12:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0x08319f…
11-14 12:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0x2d8991…
11-14 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0x5a9f1e…
11-14 12:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	218	91¢	$198	0x9ca3ce…
11-14 12:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	127	78¢	$99	0x9f87fb…
11-14 12:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0x355516…
11-14 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xa21cf8…
11-14 11:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2,970	1¢	$30	0x0a0d76…
11-14 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	154	73¢	$112	0x67a3f7…
11-14 11:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	154	64¢	$99	0xf996c0…
11-14 11:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	217	91¢	$198	0x0c8c9c…
11-14 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	64	77¢	$49	0x7014fb…
11-14 11:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0xca2101…
11-14 11:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0x8f72a6…
11-14 11:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x07d56a…
11-14 11:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xd8b622…
11-14 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x80fbe6…
11-14 11:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x5152bf…
11-14 11:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	448	84¢	$376	0x80624a…
11-14 11:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	87	19¢	$16	0xe00614…
11-14 11:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x0d9abd…
11-14 10:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0x8be45b…
11-14 10:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x57c639…
11-14 10:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	180	49¢	$88	0xa33948…
11-14 10:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0x63467e…
11-14 10:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0xc2760d…
11-14 10:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	234	76¢	$178	0x88eb0e…
11-14 10:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	180	17¢	$31	0xb336dc…
11-14 10:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0x5bee1c…
11-14 10:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	84	59¢	$49	0x23bcc6…
11-14 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	190	52¢	$99	0xd8f478…
11-14 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	238	83¢	$198	0x5d7a11…
11-14 09:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xeecb52…
11-14 09:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	85¢	$79	0x95d39e…
11-14 09:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	154	77¢	$119	0xff5530…
11-14 09:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	248	80¢	$198	0x0b6312…
11-14 09:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	340	87¢	$297	0x4efb03…
11-14 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	181	82¢	$149	0x083749…
11-14 08:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	236	63¢	$149	0xa73095…
11-14 08:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	241	82¢	$198	0xcc9609…
11-14 08:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	792	1¢	$8	0x284c45…
11-14 07:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	283	64¢	$181	0xafb90c…
11-14 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	283	53¢	$149	0x4c332a…
11-13 22:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	966	51¢	$495	0x83f88d…
11-13 22:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x610a0c…
11-13 22:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	501	99¢	$495	0x24ee73…
11-13 22:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	534	4¢	$21	0x414d6a…
11-13 22:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	534	56¢	$297	0x1188a5…
11-13 21:56:34	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	123	93¢	$114	0x641756…
11-13 21:53:10	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	93¢	$114	0xf02ddb…
11-13 21:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	306	97¢	$297	0x5c0cb5…
11-13 21:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	313	95¢	$297	0x48ee25…
11-13 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	165	90¢	$149	0x47f0bf…
11-13 11:47:27	Panathinaikos vs. Barcelona	Panathinaikos	BUY	604	82¢	$495	0x40fde6…
11-12 17:14:22	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	276	2¢	$5	0x5741b8…
11-12 10:56:27	Will Germany win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	643	77¢	$495	0x31df04…
11-11 11:01:49	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0xbea67a…
11-11 10:59:09	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x9b954f…
11-11 10:54:54	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	276	7¢	$20	0xfae5a9…
11-11 10:40:36	Partizan vs. Kosner Baskonia	Partizan	BUY	762	78¢	$594	0x5e6a58…
10-25 11:17:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,001	49¢	$495	0x5ed87c…
10-25 10:42:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,775	56¢	$990	0x1eaa37…
10-25 10:31:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,455	68¢	$990	0x839b2e…
10-25 10:30:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	204	68¢	$139	0x5ca6d5…
10-25 10:29:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	587	67¢	$396	0xd5dd2c…
10-25 10:29:14	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	737	67¢	$495	0x3b77c9…
10-25 10:27:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x8943f0…