Basic-Spandex — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-09 03:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$2

Tech

18% 100% +$1

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	05-23 08:16
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$93	94	+94	Yes	+$1	03-23 02:32
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	03-05 07:42
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	1	$83	84	+84	No	+$1	06-07 10:03
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	04-24 08:16
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-27 09:07
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	1	$76	76	+76	No	+$0	04-19 01:42
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$65	65	+65	No	+$0	04-19 01:46
will openai ipo by july 31 2026	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	07-08 02:04
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	05-01 06:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$39	39	+39	Yes	+$0	01-14 14:16
iran leadership change by august 22	1	$39	39	+39	No	+$0	08-20 07:55
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	02-18 13:32
msft close above 390 on april 8 2026	2	$37	38	+38	No	+$0	04-08 08:00
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in july 2026	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	07-08 02:06
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	Yes	+$0	09-09 03:12
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	01-14 14:02
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 14 2026	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	01-14 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 03:12:49	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x293ed9…
08-20 07:55:13	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xfefc23…
07-08 02:06:58	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8972b7…
07-08 02:04:28	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x05cf0d…
06-27 09:07:58	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc23eaa…
06-07 10:03:45	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xbad1a8…
05-23 08:16:07	Will any other model have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x18ceaa…
05-01 06:07:46	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xb105a7…
04-24 08:16:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xca95ac…
04-19 01:46:18	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x418433…
04-19 01:42:52	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x85ee99…
04-08 08:00:05	msft close above 390 on april 8 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x28bddb…
04-08 07:58:05	msft close above 390 on april 8 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xed16a4…
03-23 02:32:21	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x0e5209…
03-05 07:42:21	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x67b7cd…
02-18 13:32:16	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x31326d…
01-14 14:16:52	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 14 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdb11bf…
01-14 14:16:16	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1da89c…
01-14 14:02:30	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x663140…