First-Being — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-03 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Sports

39% 57% +$38

Politics

32% 0% -$1

Other

26% 57% +$79

Crypto

3% 0% -$31

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$381	191	191	+0	No	$0	01-22 19:19
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$365	188	188	+0	No	-$1	01-22 20:56
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	1	$29	78	0	+78	Washington Mystics	-$29	08-27 23:55
Capitals vs. Lightning	1	$27	41	0	+41	Lightning	+$14	10-03 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	1	$27	39	0	+39	No	+$12	09-16 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$26	48	0	+48	No	+$23	05-04 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 15?	1	$25	69	0	+69	Yes	+$44	08-14 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	1	$25	38	0	+38	No	+$13	08-23 18:56
will ethereum reach 2150 on august 19 2026	1	$23	33	0	+33	Yes	-$23	08-19 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?	1	$22	44	0	+44	No	+$22	10-01 12:25
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 31?	1	$21	36	0	+36	Yes	+$15	08-31 01:40
LSU vs. Ole Miss	1	$20	35	0	+35	Ole Miss	-$20	09-18 03:50
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$18	32	0	+32	Sabres	+$14	05-06 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 6?	1	$17	30	0	+30	No	-$17	09-05 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?	1	$15	27	0	+27	No	-$15	09-14 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	1	$13	19	0	+19	Yes	+$6	09-09 19:27
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury	1	$11	37	0	+37	Phoenix Mercury	+$25	09-21 05:30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$10	16	0	+16	Spurs	+$5	05-13 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	1	$8	30	0	+30	No	-$8	08-21 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$8	26	0	+26	Yes	-$8	05-15 23:53
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	-$8	08-25 19:53
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$8	21	0	+21	Timberwolves	+$13	05-10 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	1	$7	19	0	+19	No	+$12	08-08 07:54
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$7	14	0	+14	Lightning	-$7	05-01 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 27?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	09-26 21:56
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	09-21 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?	1	$4	13	0	+13	No	-$4	08-18 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?	1	$4	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	08-11 00:34
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$2	6	0	+6	Tampa Bay Rays	-$2	10-03 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 2?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	09-02 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 19:16:48	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xd2e757…
10-03 19:14:54	Capitals vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x8d2613…
10-01 12:30:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf64fba…
10-01 12:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xa237f7…
09-26 21:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x199c11…
09-21 05:32:15	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfae875…
09-21 05:30:18	Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0x13ef7c…
09-18 03:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7a15ed…
09-18 03:50:22	LSU vs. Ole Miss	LSU	BUY	35	59¢	$20	0xfea1f7…
09-16 04:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	No	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xd7e6f8…
09-14 06:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x93045c…
09-09 19:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xeebea7…
09-05 12:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x9e4949…
09-02 05:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xfc1c98…
08-31 01:40:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x8341af…
08-27 23:55:25	Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	78	38¢	$29	0x38f918…
08-25 19:53:52	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xaf40ae…
08-23 18:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x4d1190…
08-21 10:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xf2a148…
08-19 16:19:15	will ethereum reach 2150 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x2c3f7f…
08-18 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xed501e…
08-14 18:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	69	37¢	$25	0x7b8c4f…
08-12 09:38:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x7e4ccd…
08-11 00:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x6ec4c6…
08-08 07:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x46f49e…
05-15 23:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0xd081e7…
05-13 07:45:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xbff2a1…
05-12 03:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xdc12f3…
05-10 01:20:27	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xea9083…
05-06 11:27:30	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0xcc5e98…
05-04 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	No	BUY	48	53¢	$26	0x700578…
05-01 16:40:48	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7c6cb0…
01-22 20:56:58	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	188	97¢	$182	0x7a4dba…
01-22 19:23:48	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$183	0x4d4911…
01-22 19:19:36	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x9700f7…
01-22 18:15:50	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xc27ed2…