Discrete-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-07 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

94% 20% +$1,365

Crypto

5% 29% -$41

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$2.0K	6,447	6,447	+0	No	+$887	06-07 23:32
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	5	$725	697	697	+0	Yes	+$587	06-07 23:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$424	2,321	2,321	+0	No	-$50	03-22 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	18	$67	59	59	+0	Up	+$33	06-04 02:19
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$34	1,777	0	+1,777	No	-$34	03-08 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	9	$33	223	0	+223	Down	-$33	06-04 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	27	$27	324	0	+324	Up	-$27	06-04 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	5	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	06-04 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-29 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	6	$6	756	0	+756	Up	-$6	06-04 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$6	31	6	+25	Down	+$2	05-29 01:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$5	2,345	0	+2,345	Yes	-$5	05-28 17:39
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$5	227	0	+227	No	-$5	03-08 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$5	62	0	+62	Down	-$5	05-29 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-29 02:16
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$4	800	0	+800	No	-$4	03-08 09:09
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$4	213	0	+213	No	-$4	03-08 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$4	163	0	+163	Up	-$4	06-01 18:53
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$4	1,950	0	+1,950	No	-$4	03-08 09:19
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$3	915	0	+915	No	-$3	03-08 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	110	0	+110	Down	-$2	05-29 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$2	37	0	+37	Up	-$2	05-28 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-29 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	-$1	05-29 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	-$1	05-29 01:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	1	$1	55	0	+55	Down	-$1	05-29 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	06-01 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	05-29 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	-$1	05-29 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	05-29 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:34:07	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	650	100¢	$647	0x7178f4…
06-07 23:32:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	6,447	22¢	$1,433	0x6220d7…
06-04 02:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x15dd92…
06-04 02:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd969da…
06-04 02:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1116ba…
06-04 02:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xffe060…
06-04 02:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce5689…
06-04 02:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7df0c1…
06-04 02:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4b604d…
06-04 02:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0df107…
06-04 02:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x41a4ee…
06-04 02:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa04637…
06-04 02:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x84189a…
06-04 02:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x897d9b…
06-04 02:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x253104…
06-04 02:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8220fd…
06-04 02:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x52e039…
06-04 02:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3420d7…
06-04 02:21:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4a89e3…
06-04 02:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc6d314…
06-04 02:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a822f…
06-04 02:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x027c6e…
06-04 02:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2ec56c…
06-04 02:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa44beb…
06-04 02:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7800b0…
06-04 02:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x669604…
06-04 02:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b9f3e…
06-04 02:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfcb41f…
06-04 02:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe16d01…
06-04 02:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa5638c…
06-04 02:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x264b3b…
06-04 02:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7415b9…
06-04 02:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb11f24…
06-04 02:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeca2a5…
06-04 02:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb48d94…
06-04 02:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xea38ea…
06-04 02:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a6f13…
06-04 02:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6c9ebc…
06-04 02:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0xaae60a…
06-04 02:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd2e3da…
06-04 02:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x491d77…
06-04 02:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1d5ea1…
06-04 02:16:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x097827…
06-04 02:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9fdfcb…
06-04 02:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2dd098…
06-04 02:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b80e0…
06-04 02:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6f8af3…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe39f69…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc3bf4d…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x975d33…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33c51f…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x264f31…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0fb9e1…
06-04 02:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x083a8e…
06-04 02:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x64ddd5…
06-04 02:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbc4441…
06-04 02:14:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4a33fe…
06-04 02:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x484948…
06-04 02:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xebdf54…
06-04 02:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xca9c08…
06-04 02:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x23e029…
06-04 02:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	506	0¢	$1	0x4b4694…
06-04 02:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe4a8d…
06-04 02:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c41f9…
06-04 02:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5336d4…
06-04 02:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb37eee…
06-04 02:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfe8cd8…
06-04 02:03:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0xc10bc0…
06-02 15:16:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0xdbbaf4…
06-02 15:13:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	612	9¢	$56	0x034fa5…
06-01 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2158e6…
06-01 18:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ddaff…
06-01 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe5c84…
06-01 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x82c9c0…
06-01 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5b6afc…
06-01 18:49:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	3,114	11¢	$346	0xcf606f…
05-29 02:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x266563…
05-29 02:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2b1b55…
05-29 02:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd85630…
05-29 02:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae0d98…
05-29 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f5aa8…
05-29 02:26:24	Valorant: Chivas Esports vs FUSION (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season	Chivas Esports	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76fa50…
05-29 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcf4e02…
05-29 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x042e33…
05-29 02:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8c4ef1…
05-29 02:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd6a849…
05-29 02:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd5dd92…
05-29 02:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59ccc1…
05-29 02:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61ee8c…
05-29 02:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x88e158…
05-29 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x26d170…
05-29 01:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x7d66dc…
05-29 01:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x37de90…
05-29 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x24e236…
05-29 01:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xb3086d…
05-29 01:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x16e97e…
05-29 01:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5090c7…
05-29 01:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x65b9d1…
05-29 01:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0d8aa6…
05-29 01:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x707c01…