Darling-Bagpipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-06 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 46% $-28

Politics

8% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772486100	3	$122	137	135	+2	open	—	03-02 21:23
btc updown 5m 1772488500	4	$93	328	22	+306	open	—	03-02 21:57
btc updown 5m 1772487600	3	$91	110	54	+56	open	—	03-02 21:45
btc updown 5m 1772489100	5	$76	988	16	+972	open	—	03-02 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	9	$57	39	39	+0	Up	+$19	05-05 11:38
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	3	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	01-11 18:27
btc updown 5m 1772488800	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	03-02 22:04
btc updown 5m 1772488200	3	$38	273	0	+273	open	—	03-02 21:54
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$37	83	73	+10	open	—	01-13 22:26
bitcoin up or down on january 12	3	$35	19	39	-19	open	—	01-12 16:42
btc updown 5m 1772486700	2	$34	36	35	+0	open	—	03-02 21:29
bitcoin up or down on january 13	3	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	01-13 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	11	$28	26	26	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	7	$28	34	0	+34	Up	$-28	05-06 05:30
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	3	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	01-15 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	7	$22	23	18	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	11	$22	71	14	+57	Up	+$49	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$19	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 09:19
bitcoin up or down on january 11	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	01-11 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	9	$16	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:27
btc updown 5m 1772489400	3	$16	47	0	+47	open	—	03-02 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$16	122	0	+122	Down	+$4	05-06 05:34
btc updown 5m 1772500200	4	$15	44	10	+34	open	—	03-03 01:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$14	60	0	+60	open	—	01-13 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	12	$14	83	2	+81	Down	$-12	05-05 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$14	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd93aba…
05-06 22:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x357fa3…
05-06 22:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7a2b40…
05-06 22:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x869b04…
05-06 22:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xde5f81…
05-06 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8b8de8…
05-06 22:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c467a…
05-06 22:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x723b98…
05-06 22:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3270eb…
05-06 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xaee820…
05-06 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa64d9c…
05-06 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x95c0db…
05-06 22:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x39c281…
05-06 22:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1ae7ac…
05-06 22:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe6262d…
05-06 22:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf4666…
05-06 22:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd57844…
05-06 22:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc05e5e…
05-06 22:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x59b7d6…
05-06 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70fb50…
05-06 22:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x533a43…
05-06 22:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xff480f…
05-06 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4a02c5…
05-06 22:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd5bc95…
05-06 22:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5909d8…
05-06 22:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x99ce48…
05-06 22:28:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x0abc16…
05-06 22:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x64ccef…
05-06 22:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x62566d…
05-06 22:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28736a…
05-06 22:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d85f6…
05-06 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10a275…
05-06 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x07ed6e…
05-06 22:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfb5dd0…
05-06 22:19:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x804f01…
05-06 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0eb577…
05-06 11:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x899ef5…
05-06 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33dbd8…
05-06 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29f8b1…
05-06 11:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x34b9a3…
05-06 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xa03c8d…
05-06 10:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa085c4…
05-06 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc1169d…
05-06 10:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x453bdf…
05-06 10:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x95f5ae…
05-06 10:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3a0eae…
05-06 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8ad12e…
05-06 10:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0e2fb1…
05-06 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x75a9fc…
05-06 10:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x89e587…
05-06 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdc2e43…
05-06 10:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e2249…
05-06 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5918e9…
05-06 10:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4b35c3…
05-06 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb1fd2f…
05-06 10:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xddee8f…
05-06 10:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x873c1e…
05-06 10:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb02387…
05-06 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0c8060…
05-06 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x474522…
05-06 10:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x41b9d7…
05-06 10:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x333c22…
05-06 10:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x106de2…
05-06 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x08f711…
05-06 09:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x64a089…
05-06 09:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1fd88b…
05-06 09:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8c885c…
05-06 09:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x703d76…
05-06 09:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6b182a…
05-06 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x54f130…
05-06 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcff654…
05-06 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xab5833…
05-06 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb9b4f9…
05-06 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42f9c0…
05-06 09:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xfd9676…
05-06 09:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe73e21…
05-06 09:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xac557a…
05-06 09:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xfa9ce7…
05-06 09:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47bb9c…
05-06 09:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa9b6de…
05-06 09:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xea0c23…
05-06 09:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d7f76…
05-06 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb7b83c…
05-06 09:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd2cb4f…
05-06 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfde233…
05-06 09:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xab3148…
05-06 09:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa053a4…
05-06 09:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	895	0¢	$1	0x603a45…
05-06 09:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	606	0¢	$1	0x0daa62…
05-06 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x376456…
05-06 09:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e7cee…
05-06 09:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x14ccf1…
05-06 09:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x783c1b…
05-06 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x47bc05…
05-06 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xdd9045…
05-06 09:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe7cb67…
05-06 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x030c8c…
05-06 09:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xabb8c1…
05-06 09:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbdc1e8…
05-06 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f8094…