Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

2,834

Trades

9,641

lifetime

Volume

$38.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-03 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

100% 73% -$1,766

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No		+61	$24	82¢	$51	+$27	09-28 14:58
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		+33	$42	18¢	$6	-$36	10-01 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	85	$1.4K	1,574	1,434	+140	No	-$127	10-02 16:29
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$405	1,112	0	+1,112	No	-$405	07-14 20:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	24	$392	245	210	+35	No	+$2	07-13 14:42
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	13	$361	398	304	+94	open	—	10-01 02:13
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	187	$258	1,082	1,046	+36	open	—	09-30 19:19
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	46	$200	321	67	+254	open	—	10-03 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?	1	$167	182	0	+182	No	+$15	07-17 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11?	74	$167	184	182	+2	Yes	-$18	09-11 11:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?	8	$145	150	75	+75	No	+$80	09-18 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 11?	47	$138	83	82	+1	No	-$1	09-11 11:00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$136	637	0	+637	No	-$136	07-11 21:58
Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	4	$131	308	0	+308	No	-$48	10-03 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?	8	$119	85	47	+37	Yes	+$13	09-22 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22?	5	$118	71	49	+22	No	+$0	09-22 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?	5	$112	121	5	+116	Yes	-$104	07-16 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 23?	4	$109	73	37	+36	No	+$1	08-22 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?	1	$107	156	0	+156	No	-$107	07-15 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?	2	$106	73	36	+36	No	+$3	08-19 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	2	$105	71	36	+36	No	+$1	08-17 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 20?	2	$105	71	35	+35	No	+$1	08-19 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18?	2	$101	73	31	+42	No	+$3	09-18 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 21?	3	$98	67	33	+34	No	+$1	09-21 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?	9	$97	157	12	+145	Yes	-$56	07-15 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13?	5	$95	56	41	+15	Yes	+$1	07-13 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 25?	8	$93	141	29	+112	No	-$44	08-24 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 7?	10	$93	137	94	+43	No	-$48	09-06 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	7	$90	165	0	+165	Yes	+$27	09-13 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?	6	$89	71	25	+46	Yes	+$7	07-16 15:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23?	11	$86	120	7	+113	No	-$6	08-23 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3?	3	$83	171	27	+144	Yes	+$83	09-02 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 19:23:55	Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc861d4…
10-03 19:23:54	Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0xd906ad…
10-03 19:23:54	Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x8e544f…
10-03 19:23:54	Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0x45e3fc…
10-03 17:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x930eec…
10-03 15:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x985b57…
10-03 15:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xebffaf…
10-03 15:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf21cde…
10-03 15:01:51	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3013a7…
10-03 15:01:50	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5685c2…
10-03 14:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x930783…
10-03 13:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12c4c6…
10-03 13:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x83138b…
10-03 13:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xf52adb…
10-03 13:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x144c6e…
10-03 13:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x69864e…
10-03 13:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xfa24a6…
10-03 12:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x293a15…
10-03 12:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x070d59…
10-03 12:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8a37e9…
10-03 12:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe04774…
10-03 11:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9aee2…
10-03 11:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x679225…
10-03 11:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe337fd…
10-03 11:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x284781…
10-03 11:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x1d5b1f…
10-03 11:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2279f1…
10-03 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x948257…
10-03 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8179a0…
10-03 10:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6c0b01…
10-03 10:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x58de6e…
10-03 09:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda55a3…
10-03 09:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x652af9…
10-03 09:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x79a065…
10-03 08:37:48	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2092b3…
10-03 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc581e7…
10-03 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xc24a30…
10-03 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xad1f86…
10-03 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x373f99…
10-03 08:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf39284…
10-03 08:33:53	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x18a744…
10-03 08:33:50	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x16a289…
10-03 08:19:24	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x31cefb…
10-03 08:13:00	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5bd664…
10-03 08:12:53	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdcaffe…
10-03 08:12:51	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x6331bb…
10-03 08:12:50	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9540c4…
10-03 08:12:41	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf191b3…
10-03 08:12:33	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x5ddab9…
10-03 08:11:56	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xc807b9…
10-03 07:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd4d143…
10-03 07:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8fd32b…
10-03 06:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xad6c49…
10-03 05:34:57	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x468956…
10-03 05:34:45	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x30eebf…
10-03 05:34:44	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x16ab6b…
10-03 05:34:44	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x0fedf0…
10-03 05:34:41	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xafed1e…
10-03 05:34:32	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xecb90d…
10-03 05:34:32	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc307a3…
10-03 05:34:32	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x6e70a8…
10-03 05:34:32	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x3f3282…
10-03 05:34:30	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb4bd23…
10-03 05:34:05	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbbbea2…
10-03 05:34:05	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa0a27b…
10-03 05:34:05	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x8c54b3…
10-03 05:34:05	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3a621c…
10-03 05:34:03	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xc9e8d1…
10-03 05:34:03	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb9f222…
10-03 05:34:03	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa28d35…
10-03 05:34:03	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x19546a…
10-03 05:34:03	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x085980…
10-03 05:34:02	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xbb05a7…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x959197…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x83a819…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x602963…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x50f982…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x465778…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x416719…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x37f51b…
10-03 04:47:38	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2b4e3f…
10-03 04:47:36	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfac06e…
10-03 04:39:47	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	44¢	$55	0x5936df…
10-02 17:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd656a1…
10-02 17:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc11cc4…
10-02 16:29:47	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x6ed74d…
10-02 16:27:06	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xb37b6d…
10-02 16:25:48	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$1	0x2a9608…
10-02 16:24:14	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	SELL	134	2¢	$2	0x35ca36…
10-02 16:22:59	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	SELL	268	1¢	$3	0x4f241b…
10-02 16:21:00	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x47bae2…
10-02 16:20:54	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x5cbc2a…
10-02 16:20:45	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xa9e853…
10-02 16:20:06	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x75ad41…
10-02 15:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x97233f…
10-02 14:55:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0ef8d8…
10-02 14:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xa7e2b9…
10-02 13:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x69a9ed…
10-02 13:45:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x517fd9…
10-02 13:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcceeed…