Demanding-Accomplishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-27 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$30

Other

45% 0% $-109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$4.5K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	05-01 11:50
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	5	$2.6K	1,355	1,355	+0	open	—	03-31 08:58
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	13	$2.6K	2,856	2,856	+0	open	—	02-28 03:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	20	$2.5K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-14 23:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 02:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$1.7K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-04 17:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$1.5K	3,986	2,180	+1,806	open	—	03-22 15:39
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	24	$1.1K	1,029	1,045	-16	open	—	03-29 15:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$927	500	500	+0	open	—	04-16 17:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$912	550	550	+0	open	—	03-26 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$830	700	700	+0	open	—	04-07 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$805	836	836	+0	open	—	05-27 16:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$740	500	500	+0	open	—	04-03 12:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$708	500	500	+0	open	—	04-23 22:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	11	$684	1,035	400	+635	open	—	04-16 01:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$663	500	500	+0	open	—	04-20 17:38
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$657	904	904	+0	open	—	04-16 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	9	$635	1,217	400	+817	open	—	05-20 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	5	$575	883	216	+667	open	—	05-22 18:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$555	500	500	+0	open	—	04-29 17:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$550	500	500	+0	open	—	05-23 21:44
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$434	292	292	+0	open	—	04-15 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$390	500	500	+0	open	—	04-20 17:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$380	300	295	+5	open	—	04-20 17:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$380	215	215	+0	open	—	03-28 14:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$316	327	327	+0	open	—	05-07 15:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$266	200	200	+0	No	+$30	05-05 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 17:22
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	13	$232	8,000	3,000	+5,000	open	—	02-28 06:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$220	185	185	+0	open	—	04-20 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 16:01:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	159	60¢	$96	0xafa4fa…
05-27 12:49:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x244fee…
05-27 12:49:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	114	42¢	$48	0xa10a9b…
05-26 12:09:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	427	69¢	$295	0x410ec1…
05-25 17:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x6a5c68…
05-25 17:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xac713a…
05-24 17:44:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xd99add…
05-24 17:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xabb9a5…
05-23 21:44:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x3456ff…
05-23 21:02:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x924a47…
05-22 18:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	598	48¢	$287	0x880ccb…
05-20 15:24:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x825592…
05-20 14:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x69fbe7…
05-20 14:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10dade…
05-20 14:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0x049a33…
05-20 14:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf7521f…
05-18 15:23:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0xe545b5…
05-18 15:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	262	55¢	$144	0xf0ab15…
05-18 11:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	216	68¢	$147	0x5b6847…
05-17 23:11:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	400	47¢	$188	0x91a9f0…
05-17 16:51:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x412d2b…
05-14 23:32:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	130	44¢	$57	0x037f90…
05-14 19:02:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0x503736…
05-14 19:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0x2b0307…
05-07 15:22:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	327	48¢	$157	0x963229…
05-07 15:22:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0x7271e5…
05-07 14:30:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0xb4caee…
05-07 14:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeeba23…
05-07 14:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	98	48¢	$47	0xa8794f…
05-07 14:24:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	219	49¢	$107	0xaac6de…
05-07 14:23:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd3acb5…
05-05 00:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xe0f1b3…
05-05 00:04:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x688f39…
05-04 16:35:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	146	31¢	$45	0x80f684…
05-04 16:32:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x95ad0e…
05-01 11:50:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x3ddcb0…
04-30 16:08:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xf6fa89…
04-30 06:52:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x1fe6c6…
04-29 18:26:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xc92394…
04-29 17:57:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	56¢	$280	0x104b5b…
04-29 14:11:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x0038f8…
04-29 12:45:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x27730d…
04-29 12:11:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x196139…
04-28 17:22:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x422266…
04-28 13:35:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a439c…
04-23 22:39:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x6a80df…
04-23 21:42:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xaad1ba…
04-23 21:40:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	268	73¢	$196	0x1ea5dc…
04-23 21:40:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x36fb40…
04-22 14:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xc34b69…
04-20 18:38:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x290e49…
04-20 17:55:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x506166…
04-20 17:52:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	32	80¢	$26	0x6047be…
04-20 17:52:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xa693ee…
04-20 17:40:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x65f7e5…
04-20 17:39:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	295	73¢	$215	0xdb26a5…
04-20 17:38:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xef27d5…
04-20 17:38:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	492	78¢	$384	0x923c4d…
04-20 17:38:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,300	71¢	$923	0xe53032…
04-20 14:41:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x9296cf…
04-20 14:41:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x2ed261…
04-20 14:17:32	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	185	64¢	$119	0x75d70d…
04-20 13:53:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xf46cc0…
04-20 13:48:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	170	55¢	$94	0x5179a5…
04-20 13:46:50	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x248c33…
04-20 13:42:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xf9ccf4…
04-20 13:41:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x28258c…
04-20 13:40:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x639855…
04-20 13:39:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x892c4b…
04-20 13:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x89b957…
04-20 07:27:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3d7e4f…
04-20 01:15:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe767b8…
04-20 00:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xf33d36…
04-19 22:18:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x1896b0…
04-19 22:17:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x982bfb…
04-19 22:17:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x310c1c…
04-19 22:17:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xc5baa1…
04-19 22:17:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xabe6bc…
04-19 22:17:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x52cd4e…
04-19 22:17:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xb6da3c…
04-19 22:17:00	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x3ef27b…
04-19 22:16:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4efab2…
04-19 22:16:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xeb014c…
04-19 18:07:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b3d2a…
04-19 10:44:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x6aa7bc…
04-19 05:42:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6be9f8…
04-19 05:40:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf2544d…
04-19 04:55:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x010cfd…
04-19 03:02:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xc6342c…
04-19 01:55:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa1f5f3…
04-19 01:55:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x062330…
04-19 01:45:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x68d350…
04-19 01:45:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6ecb92…
04-19 01:45:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xbaa4af…
04-19 01:44:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x5b39b7…
04-19 01:44:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd333c0…
04-19 01:43:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0cdbac…
04-19 01:43:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8aadd2…
04-19 01:43:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x7782c4…
04-19 01:42:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0e97b4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	45	$15.7M	22,981	06-01 06:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	44	$378.7K	27,602	06-01 00:54
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	43	$27.1K	5,774	05-06 11:19
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	42	$588.4K	9,785	05-31 23:31
Strict-Candy 0x627d…7d68	40	$36.3K	311	05-27 15:49
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	39	$189.6K	14,868	05-31 21:58
Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936	36	$831	494	05-29 21:06
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	34	$6.09K	2,562	05-06 11:59