Demanding-Accomplishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-10 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$30

Other

45% 0% $-109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$4.5K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	05-01 11:50
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	5	$2.6K	1,355	1,355	+0	open	—	03-31 08:58
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	13	$2.6K	2,856	2,856	+0	open	—	02-28 03:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	20	$2.5K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-14 23:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 02:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$1.7K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-04 17:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$1.5K	3,986	2,180	+1,806	open	—	03-22 15:39
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	24	$1.1K	1,029	1,045	-16	open	—	03-29 15:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$927	500	500	+0	open	—	04-16 17:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$912	550	550	+0	open	—	03-26 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$830	700	700	+0	open	—	04-07 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$805	836	836	+0	open	—	05-27 16:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$740	500	500	+0	open	—	04-03 12:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$716	593	593	+0	open	—	06-19 22:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$708	500	500	+0	open	—	04-23 22:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	11	$684	1,035	400	+635	open	—	04-16 01:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$663	500	500	+0	open	—	04-20 17:38
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$657	904	904	+0	open	—	04-16 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	9	$635	1,217	400	+817	open	—	05-20 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	5	$575	883	216	+667	open	—	05-22 18:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$555	500	500	+0	open	—	04-29 17:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$550	500	500	+0	open	—	05-23 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-07 10:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$434	292	292	+0	open	—	04-15 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$390	500	500	+0	open	—	04-20 17:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$380	300	295	+5	open	—	04-20 17:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$380	215	215	+0	open	—	03-28 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$370	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-21 17:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$316	327	327	+0	open	—	05-07 15:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$266	200	200	+0	No	+$30	05-05 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:40:04	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	200	40¢	$81	0xf0ba6b…
08-08 10:37:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8c36e9…
08-08 10:28:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x732662…
07-07 10:22:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	39¢	$390	0x027f2b…
06-21 17:23:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0xc78bce…
06-19 22:48:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	593	95¢	$563	0x750592…
06-19 00:44:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x3680a7…
06-19 00:43:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x7ba923…
06-19 00:40:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf2ea4b…
06-19 00:40:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8dc235…
06-19 00:39:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x22e7da…
06-19 00:39:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1f7ec7…
06-19 00:39:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xeae754…
06-19 00:39:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x837fef…
06-19 00:39:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xfea423…
06-19 00:39:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x01f9bb…
06-19 00:39:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xcf5a07…
06-18 14:01:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x8b600a…
06-18 14:01:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0xecfda8…
06-18 14:01:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	891	12¢	$107	0x67ada5…
06-18 13:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xdab1ed…
06-18 13:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x21fe2a…
06-18 13:53:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	956	13¢	$124	0xd65276…
05-27 16:01:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	159	60¢	$96	0xafa4fa…
05-27 12:49:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x244fee…
05-27 12:49:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	114	42¢	$48	0xa10a9b…
05-26 12:09:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	427	69¢	$295	0x410ec1…
05-25 17:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x6a5c68…
05-25 17:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xac713a…
05-24 17:44:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xd99add…
05-24 17:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xabb9a5…
05-23 21:44:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x3456ff…
05-23 21:02:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x924a47…
05-22 18:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	598	48¢	$287	0x880ccb…
05-20 15:24:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x825592…
05-20 14:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x69fbe7…
05-20 14:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10dade…
05-20 14:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0x049a33…
05-20 14:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf7521f…
05-18 15:23:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0xe545b5…
05-18 15:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	262	55¢	$144	0xf0ab15…
05-18 11:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	216	68¢	$147	0x5b6847…
05-17 23:11:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	400	47¢	$188	0x91a9f0…
05-17 16:51:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x412d2b…
05-14 23:32:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	130	44¢	$57	0x037f90…
05-14 19:02:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0x503736…
05-14 19:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0x2b0307…
05-07 15:22:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	327	48¢	$157	0x963229…
05-07 15:22:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0x7271e5…
05-07 14:30:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0xb4caee…
05-07 14:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeeba23…
05-07 14:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	98	48¢	$47	0xa8794f…
05-07 14:24:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	219	49¢	$107	0xaac6de…
05-07 14:23:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd3acb5…
05-05 00:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xe0f1b3…
05-05 00:04:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x688f39…
05-04 16:35:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	146	31¢	$45	0x80f684…
05-04 16:32:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x95ad0e…
05-01 11:50:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x3ddcb0…
04-30 16:08:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xf6fa89…
04-30 06:52:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x1fe6c6…
04-29 18:26:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xc92394…
04-29 17:57:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	56¢	$280	0x104b5b…
04-29 14:11:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x0038f8…
04-29 12:45:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x27730d…
04-29 12:11:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x196139…
04-28 17:22:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x422266…
04-28 13:35:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a439c…
04-23 22:39:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x6a80df…
04-23 21:42:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xaad1ba…
04-23 21:40:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	268	73¢	$196	0x1ea5dc…
04-23 21:40:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x36fb40…
04-22 14:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xc34b69…
04-20 18:38:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x290e49…
04-20 17:55:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x506166…
04-20 17:52:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	32	80¢	$26	0x6047be…
04-20 17:52:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xa693ee…
04-20 17:40:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x65f7e5…
04-20 17:39:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	295	73¢	$215	0xdb26a5…
04-20 17:38:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xef27d5…
04-20 17:38:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	492	78¢	$384	0x923c4d…
04-20 17:38:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,300	71¢	$923	0xe53032…
04-20 14:41:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x9296cf…
04-20 14:41:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x2ed261…
04-20 14:17:32	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	185	64¢	$119	0x75d70d…
04-20 13:53:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xf46cc0…
04-20 13:48:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	170	55¢	$94	0x5179a5…
04-20 13:46:50	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x248c33…
04-20 13:42:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xf9ccf4…
04-20 13:41:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x28258c…
04-20 13:40:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x639855…
04-20 13:39:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x892c4b…
04-20 13:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x89b957…
04-20 07:27:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3d7e4f…
04-20 01:15:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe767b8…
04-20 00:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xf33d36…
04-19 22:18:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x1896b0…
04-19 22:17:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x982bfb…
04-19 22:17:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x310c1c…
04-19 22:17:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xc5baa1…