Wet-Insect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,289

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-12 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 0% $-6

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+3	$1	38¢	$1	+$0	06-12 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776921300	6	$44	31	25	+6	open	—	04-23 05:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 05:14
btc updown 5m 1776312600	11	$31	47	45	+2	open	—	04-16 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	10	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$22	23	16	+6	open	—	05-18 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$22	30	23	+7	open	—	05-18 13:13
btc updown 5m 1776402600	12	$22	24	23	+1	open	—	04-17 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-18 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	11	$18	18	12	+6	open	—	05-20 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	18	$18	25	19	+6	open	—	05-20 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-18 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-18 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$17	53	53	+0	open	—	05-18 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776266400	6	$16	27	5	+22	open	—	04-15 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776403500	12	$16	22	21	+1	open	—	04-17 05:30
btc updown 5m 1776928200	10	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$15	40	20	+20	open	—	05-18 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	9	$15	17	12	+5	open	—	05-20 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$15	16	15	+1	open	—	04-26 05:58
btc updown 5m 1776312300	4	$15	10	9	+0	open	—	04-16 04:08
btc updown 5m 1776480600	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 02:55
btc updown 5m 1776312900	8	$14	16	15	+0	open	—	04-16 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$14	16	12	+4	open	—	05-18 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	12	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	05-21 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$13	13	5	+8	open	—	05-18 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:13:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe29526…
06-12 01:05:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa5e1db…
06-09 13:45:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97e7f6…
06-09 13:45:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xac3b09…
06-09 13:44:33	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x4cb616…
06-01 04:30:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8096de…
06-01 04:30:18	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac8106…
06-01 04:29:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x69517e…
05-21 00:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x3e1a77…
05-21 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x997105…
05-21 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa977dc…
05-21 00:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x30d6eb…
05-21 00:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x552b98…
05-21 00:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x38f300…
05-21 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xadc3f3…
05-21 00:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x30f3e5…
05-21 00:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x342c50…
05-21 00:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8962ca…
05-21 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x8ca850…
05-21 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc0734d…
05-21 00:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x95bcd5…
05-21 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x126a83…
05-21 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6d65cb…
05-21 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32a5db…
05-21 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4cef10…
05-21 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x027f73…
05-21 00:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf3cde6…
05-21 00:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6557c5…
05-21 00:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xd922d6…
05-21 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x09e2a9…
05-21 00:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xedbd76…
05-21 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x122f82…
05-21 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3a42b9…
05-21 00:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3273e0…
05-21 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x0ed060…
05-21 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x59ebc1…
05-21 00:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x3654d6…
05-21 00:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e9673…
05-21 00:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf66330…
05-21 00:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3c5972…
05-21 00:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xeadaac…
05-21 00:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4f4aa2…
05-21 00:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x668fd2…
05-21 00:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x856a36…
05-21 00:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x87bec4…
05-21 00:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x421b23…
05-21 00:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x57ee68…
05-21 00:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x061bcd…
05-21 00:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x560b5f…
05-21 00:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x575d49…
05-21 00:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5c9196…
05-21 00:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x59d5ac…
05-21 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39ffea…
05-21 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0731f6…
05-21 00:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x8250c8…
05-21 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x25f53d…
05-21 00:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x41ded8…
05-21 00:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x311d7a…
05-21 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bdba8…
05-21 00:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42a50b…
05-21 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b12c7…
05-21 00:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1f4c10…
05-21 00:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3eb5bd…
05-21 00:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b864d…
05-20 15:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xe62cf5…
05-20 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc7c782…
05-20 15:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x67d87d…
05-20 15:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x734649…
05-20 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb3296b…
05-20 15:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdd1fe8…
05-20 15:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x206fe5…
05-20 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xbe8976…
05-20 03:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x9759a5…
05-20 03:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xecb372…
05-20 03:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x76a972…
05-20 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3931ac…
05-20 03:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x3bf97c…
05-20 03:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x00d258…
05-20 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x47a7bd…
05-20 03:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88196c…
05-20 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x30b76b…
05-20 03:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x77ab04…
05-20 03:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xacc828…
05-20 03:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xcbbaf8…
05-20 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x808e92…
05-20 03:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xefb119…
05-20 02:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x337de2…
05-20 02:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x38fc4f…
05-20 02:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2f8840…
05-20 02:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x908f0a…
05-20 02:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb3a289…
05-20 02:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xa0eb96…
05-20 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x851668…
05-20 02:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6d3e56…
05-20 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4d15de…
05-20 02:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xcdf991…
05-20 02:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x422a57…
05-20 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8f5e3b…
05-20 02:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc92fcc…
05-20 02:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ebffb…