Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$256

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$7.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

98% 65% +$255

Crypto

2% 90% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-16	-$13	93¢	$-15	-$2	07-18 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	11	$2.9K	1,468	1,468	+0	No	+$31	02-02 06:13
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	16	$2.6K	1,320	1,320	+0	No	+$3	02-01 03:10
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 90 114	2	$1.2K	741	741	+0	No	+$251	01-31 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	2	$120	86	35	+51	No	+$0	02-02 06:15
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	3	$19	70	50	+20	Yes	+$18	04-07 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	3	$19	100	0	+100	No	-$19	04-08 14:29
bitcoin above 98k on january 4	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-03 17:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-03 17:09
ethereum above 2600 on january 4	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	01-03 17:04
xrp above 2pt7 on january 12	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-11 11:37
trump out as president by march 31	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-06 21:35
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt60 on january 12	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-11 11:34
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$13	0	16	-16	open	—	07-18 11:43
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-17 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 100 119	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-12 11:44
will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-01 14:40
will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-26 18:14
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-01 14:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-06 21:56
xrp above 1pt8 on january 6	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	01-05 18:57
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-25 19:50
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-23 10:32
ethereum above 2800 on january 6	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-05 18:55
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 09:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-23 11:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 09:41
will the us next strike iran on february 16 2026 et	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-16 16:26
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-16 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-30 13:48
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-13 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 06:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x12404a…
10-17 06:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x574c6d…
09-19 15:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xdfa2a7…
09-19 15:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xffc7a1…
09-19 15:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x47e97e…
09-13 17:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe11eea…
09-13 17:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdd50fc…
09-07 19:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x515a00…
09-01 16:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x7547f7…
08-21 06:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x7ed5f8…
08-04 19:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xb5475a…
08-04 18:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x6a1ff9…
07-26 19:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf497fd…
07-26 19:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4a61cc…
07-18 11:43:15	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xc810a7…
07-18 11:42:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb4e6cd…
07-09 20:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x67caf5…
07-09 18:34:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1ab7c5…
06-30 14:23:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbe7e30…
06-30 13:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc21e6a…
06-24 12:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34ef63…
06-24 12:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9e3bff…
06-03 16:06:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x31a2a2…
05-24 20:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0fd84f…
05-24 19:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfa9962…
05-16 20:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x192afa…
05-16 20:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x05b10a…
05-10 18:40:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x62a229…
05-10 18:39:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0xcb5bc1…
05-03 17:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x655ce4…
05-03 17:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	474	0¢	$0	0x1fa523…
05-03 17:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$3	0xeaf096…
05-03 17:02:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1226a9…
05-03 16:57:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0x413d2e…
05-03 16:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$3	0x04c18d…
04-25 19:50:58	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1b75a5…
04-25 19:43:08	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa5b002…
04-25 09:55:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x6e6285…
04-18 10:32:18	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xe62ecd…
04-08 14:29:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xc87dc2…
04-08 13:46:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x85c85c…
04-08 13:40:23	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0x8c9c0b…
04-07 15:13:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xb86d57…
04-07 12:43:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x152049…
04-07 07:02:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd11e48…
04-07 06:19:37	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa31ee6…
04-06 01:44:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1a6dfd…
04-04 22:52:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x09821b…
04-04 22:24:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6edde6…
04-04 13:13:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb95c4c…
04-04 10:23:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc2ef09…
04-04 10:18:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4f8efe…
04-04 10:12:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd5b468…
03-30 17:18:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x82345b…
03-30 16:34:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x2ba5d1…
03-30 16:27:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xdf9701…
03-30 15:56:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xf480b9…
03-24 14:28:45	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xaa5105…
03-24 14:26:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2b7f30…
03-24 11:30:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xfd7208…
03-12 22:12:07	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x7807e5…
03-06 21:59:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe06964…
03-06 21:56:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x84b415…
03-01 10:23:17	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x58394a…
03-01 09:41:35	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f4e12…
03-01 09:00:09	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa355d…
02-23 11:54:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a3360…
02-16 16:26:17	will the us next strike iran on february 16 2026 et	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc1732f…
02-16 15:51:37	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60d9a2…
02-12 11:44:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 100 119	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ad8f5…
02-06 21:35:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1c939f…
02-02 06:15:14	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8dabf2…
02-02 06:13:34	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	SELL	1,442	100¢	$1,440	0x97596a…
02-01 13:31:32	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	211	98¢	$206	0x014729…
02-01 13:31:30	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x6d186c…
02-01 13:16:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x672a16…
02-01 13:04:12	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	475	98¢	$465	0x9d25fd…
02-01 12:50:20	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xcfa5fc…
02-01 12:49:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x12c6a8…
02-01 12:44:58	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	495	98¢	$484	0x16daaa…
02-01 12:03:50	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xc7a077…
02-01 12:03:50	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7158a0…
02-01 03:10:48	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0xb443a6…
02-01 03:10:34	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xa8155f…
02-01 03:10:28	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf9e879…
02-01 03:10:18	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x3759fe…
02-01 03:10:06	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xc0343a…
02-01 03:09:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xed13e2…
02-01 03:07:50	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xf0f0a5…
02-01 03:07:44	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x855fd8…
02-01 03:07:36	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x5d36ad…
02-01 03:07:28	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x91658f…
02-01 03:03:50	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf72f34…
02-01 03:03:48	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xf1bf0f…
02-01 03:03:40	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x9add4e…
02-01 02:53:44	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc99361…
01-31 20:45:10	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	BUY	1,270	100¢	$1,265	0xdbe327…
01-31 20:38:24	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0aac5f…
01-31 18:01:58	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0x6d0e4f…
01-31 15:12:16	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 90 114	No	SELL	741	100¢	$741	0xbc4fa3…