Short-Epauliere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$944

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

2,085

Trades

22,707

lifetime

Volume

$59.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-03 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$944

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 1788 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 13:45 UTC	254	$712	1,240	65	+1,175	Up	+$0	07-09 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 13:30 UTC	262	$703	1,351	0	+1,351	Up	-$14	07-09 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 14:00 UTC	246	$677	1,265	0	+1,265	Down	-$20	07-09 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:30 UTC	230	$622	1,187	0	+1,187	Down	-$24	07-10 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	204	$523	1,028	20	+1,008	Up	-$49	10-08 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:45 UTC	161	$449	777	50	+727	Down	+$10	07-10 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	160	$448	770	55	+715	Down	+$7	10-08 15:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 02:00 UTC	162	$426	834	0	+834	Up	-$8	07-10 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 15:30 UTC	147	$386	754	0	+754	Down	-$4	07-09 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 04:15 UTC	185	$385	11,864	0	+11,864	Down	-$309	04-23 04:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 15:45 UTC	136	$369	674	25	+649	Up	+$0	07-11 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	117	$369	485	115	+370	Down	+$35	10-08 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:45 UTC	132	$366	633	40	+593	Up	+$4	07-09 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 14:45 UTC	136	$361	689	0	+689	Up	-$2	07-09 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:30 UTC	130	$349	672	0	+672	Up	-$13	07-10 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	122	$345	559	70	+489	Down	$0	10-08 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:15 UTC	143	$344	663	0	+663	Down	-$138	04-20 09:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:00 UTC	110	$316	517	50	+467	Down	+$14	07-10 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	113	$299	583	0	+583	Up	-$12	10-08 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 00:45 UTC	97	$270	499	0	+499	Up	-$6	07-12 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:00 UTC	82	$256	390	0	+390	Up	+$37	04-20 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	89	$251	429	30	+399	Down	+$5	07-10 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 06:45 UTC	91	$250	472	0	+472	Up	-$16	07-09 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 16:30 UTC	91	$247	424	30	+394	Up	+$6	07-09 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:00 UTC	84	$239	397	35	+362	Down	+$12	07-09 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	89	$230	452	10	+442	Down	+$2	10-07 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 16:00 UTC	84	$224	432	0	+432	Up	-$3	07-10 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 13:00 UTC	83	$222	426	0	+426	Down	-$13	07-10 13:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 16:15 UTC	79	$219	388	20	+368	Down	+$4	07-10 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 19:00 UTC	83	$219	420	0	+420	Down	-$6	07-09 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x27231b…
11-03 11:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc19b34…
11-03 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc49112…
11-03 10:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5f946e…
11-03 10:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x82259c…
11-03 10:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x45dac6…
11-03 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x786ffe…
11-03 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x77e82c…
11-03 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2e8d97…
11-03 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x11bca1…
11-03 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7b1844…
11-03 09:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x55f321…
11-03 09:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x81bb7a…
11-03 09:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9067a5…
11-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5f56dc…
11-03 09:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4aa5db…
11-03 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd45b56…
11-03 08:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe14e4c…
11-03 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x939335…
11-03 08:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x56fe11…
11-03 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9090fd…
11-03 08:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0c8557…
11-03 08:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6d23c3…
11-03 08:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7d5e6a…
11-03 08:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf39126…
11-03 08:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8d6aae…
11-03 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x035d56…
11-03 08:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5dc810…
11-03 08:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x49faa7…
11-03 07:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd4c831…
11-03 07:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6f8ef7…
11-03 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc5d82c…
11-03 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5bb545…
11-03 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x22fb8d…
11-03 07:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xed4621…
11-03 07:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc02560…
11-03 07:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x94b5a2…
11-03 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x0e7cad…
11-03 07:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdea05e…
11-03 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xc16b5d…
11-03 07:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x06d43a…
11-03 07:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xae7374…
11-03 06:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x894816…
11-03 06:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa10adb…
11-03 06:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x5de455…
11-03 06:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x345489…
11-03 06:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x205fa5…
11-03 06:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd1252d…
11-03 06:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x821568…
11-03 06:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76c644…
11-03 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8590ae…
11-03 06:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe1ae55…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xfb6c38…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xcb09ab…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb39577…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3e27d6…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x12ce9f…
11-03 05:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3c739b…
11-03 05:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x94949e…
11-03 05:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe5677d…
11-03 05:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd47644…
11-03 05:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x398ffa…
11-03 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7d0a6b…
11-03 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x22ddfd…
11-03 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x43be4c…
11-03 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3cc045…
11-03 05:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd78374…
11-03 05:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb313f1…
11-03 05:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xefad3d…
11-03 05:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc8ded6…
11-03 05:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb28f99…
11-03 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4f0520…
11-03 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2bb885…
11-03 05:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xba97e1…
11-03 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf34c5a…
11-03 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa1da8b…
11-03 05:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8faeb8…
11-03 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb7b679…
11-03 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x354ca6…
11-03 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x03b557…
11-03 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc1624e…
11-03 05:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb6229b…
11-03 05:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2a5f4f…
11-03 05:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa017a8…
11-03 05:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9b0ef3…
11-03 04:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x8de5e1…
11-03 04:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4539d6…
11-03 04:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xf91e35…
11-03 04:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x442061…
11-03 04:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x9f6eed…
11-03 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6e18cd…
11-03 04:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x94d359…
11-03 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x011a0c…
11-03 03:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7e3f1f…
11-03 03:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x143800…
11-03 03:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc94bce…
11-03 03:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8bbca4…
11-03 03:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xde0921…
11-03 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb9cca9…
11-03 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x614862…