Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-07 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

98% 38% -$47

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No		+350	$95	29¢	$101	+$6	10-07 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	4	$486	455	199	+256	Yes	+$155	08-09 04:14
Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?	2	$303	154	154	+0	No	+$3	07-23 15:49
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	4	$271	161	161	+0	No	+$51	07-18 16:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?	6	$253	155	155	+0	Yes	-$6	07-30 17:45
will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	10	$215	770	210	+560	Yes	-$63	08-07 08:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 31?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	07-31 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	5	$184	139	139	+0	Yes	-$10	07-31 13:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?	2	$165	85	85	+0	Yes	+$5	07-31 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	2	$143	73	73	+0	Yes	+$3	07-21 11:35
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	7	$139	149	149	+0	Yes	-$59	07-31 01:58
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	7	$117	160	160	+0	No	+$7	08-25 15:51
Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?	2	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$10	07-20 18:05
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	3	$95	350	0	+350	open	—	10-07 14:11
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	3	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	09-19 19:13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?	3	$79	44	44	+0	Yes	+$9	07-18 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	5	$76	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	08-14 05:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 21?	3	$70	45	45	+0	Yes	+$20	07-21 16:07
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	5	$67	79	79	+0	Yes	+$7	07-20 04:04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	4	$63	91	91	+0	No	+$14	07-31 01:00
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	2	$52	41	41	+0	Yes	+$12	07-19 19:44
will tropical storm saudel make landfall in china 1787177922936	1	$48	80	0	+80	Yes	+$32	08-21 16:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	4	$45	75	25	+50	Yes	+$1	08-13 15:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?	2	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	+$9	07-23 15:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?	2	$38	23	23	+0	Yes	+$8	07-27 15:57
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$37	29	29	+0	Spain	-$3	07-19 21:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?	2	$37	27	27	+0	Yes	+$17	07-26 14:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	3	$37	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	09-20 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?	3	$36	88	88	+0	No	-$26	08-01 04:28
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	2	$34	22	22	+0	No	+$4	07-19 20:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?	2	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$13	07-25 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 14:11:52	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	249	27¢	$67	0x1d2d73…
10-07 13:50:23	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd1fa09…
10-07 12:20:29	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x4420b4…
09-22 15:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xb5f40d…
09-22 15:54:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x584402…
09-22 15:36:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xaaa855…
09-22 10:55:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xc056cb…
09-21 18:57:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc1e060…
09-21 18:44:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6e49eb…
09-20 20:41:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x610329…
09-20 19:53:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3b2df0…
09-20 17:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb89e6e…
09-20 16:42:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x067631…
09-19 19:13:48	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xee34f9…
08-25 15:51:24	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xc54d41…
08-25 15:13:49	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	35	30¢	$11	0x6dd127…
08-25 15:12:24	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x2dbfc7…
08-25 15:12:22	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb29185…
08-25 14:55:28	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x154fb7…
08-24 07:24:45	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	57¢	$53	0x061b12…
08-24 06:36:01	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x91788d…
08-24 06:19:52	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x92d850…
08-21 19:53:06	will tropical storm saudel make landfall in japan 1787177922936	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x07f42e…
08-21 16:51:25	will tropical storm saudel make landfall in china 1787177922936	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x568693…
08-14 05:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x8308d9…
08-14 04:47:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xb5e387…
08-14 04:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	68	12¢	$8	0xdd324b…
08-13 17:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x81a122…
08-13 17:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x8d8fa4…
08-13 17:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfe600b…
08-13 17:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xb33993…
08-13 15:21:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x25d83b…
08-13 14:56:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x645b8a…
08-13 13:42:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$5	0xcc963c…
08-13 06:56:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xffbd74…
08-13 06:14:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x40e2f3…
08-13 05:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xcb0f20…
08-12 17:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x72ed77…
08-12 17:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x74d9ae…
08-12 15:05:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xf28f52…
08-12 15:04:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdaba7c…
08-09 05:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x1e6b99…
08-09 04:14:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x6b8635…
08-09 04:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xfd881d…
08-08 19:13:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4eeb33…
08-08 19:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x3e1252…
08-07 08:22:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	436	1¢	$5	0x562348…
08-07 08:22:22	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xebeb7b…
08-07 05:50:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x5d0935…
08-07 05:46:19	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	80	77¢	$61	0x0b1fbc…
08-07 04:34:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xb133ca…
08-07 04:33:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$35	0x18b95b…
08-07 03:23:10	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	130	11¢	$15	0x0b63fe…
08-06 11:33:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x037630…
08-06 08:30:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xba7ad5…
08-06 08:29:29	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x9a8c8f…
08-06 08:25:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	114	95¢	$108	0x237f2d…
08-02 17:05:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0e9a33…
08-02 16:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xed21d5…
08-02 16:18:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6eba66…
08-01 09:45:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0517ab…
08-01 09:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2b8641…
08-01 09:43:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$193	0xca81be…
08-01 06:37:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x636b67…
08-01 04:31:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xd30dc8…
08-01 04:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0xa7c824…
08-01 04:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x365397…
08-01 03:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x2a8937…
07-31 16:12:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xd422b4…
07-31 16:12:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 31?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xdfb253…
07-31 14:08:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x91abfc…
07-31 14:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0xfc9817…
07-31 13:53:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5738fa…
07-31 13:10:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x0bd98f…
07-31 13:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x4e17fc…
07-31 04:35:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xd3a92f…
07-31 04:23:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x020ad7…
07-31 01:58:08	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x43cbc2…
07-31 01:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x0d2a00…
07-31 01:52:09	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x77a2d8…
07-31 01:51:14	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0x7883ff…
07-31 01:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$23	0xb40bcd…
07-31 00:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xa7305e…
07-31 00:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xed55f9…
07-31 00:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x934b4b…
07-31 00:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x1484cc…
07-31 00:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x3c4c87…
07-31 00:24:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0xb2559a…
07-31 00:23:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x8db456…
07-30 17:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb28668…
07-30 17:45:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x79ae9c…
07-30 14:30:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$3	0x10faff…
07-30 11:47:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$9	0xb69669…
07-30 11:44:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x7168a9…
07-30 11:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x822b65…
07-30 10:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc72da8…
07-30 08:33:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0xf7ad8d…
07-30 07:29:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xbdd587…
07-30 07:28:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfbf4c2…
07-30 07:16:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xca4348…