Fluffy-Field — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$601

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-14 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$2

Other

0% 89% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	2	$20.4K	10,194	10,194	+0	Yes	+$10	01-28 05:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:15 UTC	2	$18	30	0	+30	Down	-$18	01-28 05:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	8	$15	50	0	+50	Down	-$15	01-28 00:32
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-06 12:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:15 UTC	1	$10	30	0	+30	Up	+$20	01-28 00:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-23 08:59
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	05-20 02:03
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	-$3	02-06 12:20
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-23 09:00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-14 01:27
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-20 02:04
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:12
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-14 05:02
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-20 02:26
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-21 00:12
Will Granit Xhaka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-14 01:27
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	07-24 01:05
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-22 01:39
googl above 310 on february 6 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-06 12:20
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-22 01:39
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 01:27
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 12corbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-16 04:12
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-23 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 21?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-20 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 05:02:38	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa180a4…
09-20 02:26:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x96520e…
08-21 00:12:46	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbff55e…
07-24 01:05:54	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x87890c…
06-14 01:27:34	Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0af54e…
06-14 01:27:25	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcfb3f9…
06-14 01:27:10	Will Granit Xhaka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa67a8e…
05-20 02:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x493ee6…
05-20 02:04:40	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x017cff…
05-20 02:03:59	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x383da1…
04-16 04:12:52	highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b5344…
04-16 04:12:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85f325…
04-16 04:11:54	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xae8af7…
03-23 09:00:35	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd783cb…
03-23 09:00:23	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xad8b84…
03-23 08:59:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x115e7c…
02-06 12:20:17	googl above 310 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c4ded…
02-06 12:20:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1d1023…
02-06 12:19:51	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3edea…
01-28 05:21:17	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	SELL	10,194	100¢	$10,184	0xa85a45…
01-28 05:20:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x1c715c…
01-28 05:20:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x8b88c6…
01-28 05:08:57	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	10,194	100¢	$10,174	0x6542c2…
01-28 00:32:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xcb753f…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xf92325…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe04460…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xca86bf…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x94ea1b…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x8b96c6…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x5db56e…
01-28 00:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4cbdb0…
01-28 00:17:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb16fa9…
01-22 01:39:48	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f6a09…
01-22 01:39:30	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b5a53…