Rare-Diffuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$214

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 53% +$4

Other

20% 77% +$7

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:21
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-10 13:43
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-10 11:02
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 11:02
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-11 06:24
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 06:24
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-11 06:24
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 06:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-11 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 06:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-11 04:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 04:29
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	$-3	05-10 12:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	2	$3	2	2	+0	Casper Ruud	+$1	05-10 10:43
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-11 06:39
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:39
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-11 06:39
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:39
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 13:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 11:53
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 11:52
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 07:33:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc74f48…
05-11 07:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x4b6431…
05-11 07:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x825842…
05-11 06:49:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec7926…
05-11 06:49:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x909562…
05-11 06:49:40	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61852e…
05-11 06:49:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb6e5c2…
05-11 06:49:39	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x726f2b…
05-11 06:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a9b73…
05-11 06:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36d7fc…
05-11 06:39:38	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3eccf3…
05-11 06:39:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2f4bbb…
05-11 06:39:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x054ef2…
05-11 06:39:35	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe2b66d…
05-11 06:39:35	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2249bf…
05-11 06:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc2ee67…
05-11 06:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x606edc…
05-11 06:24:32	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xce033d…
05-11 06:24:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf37c90…
05-11 06:24:30	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9776af…
05-11 06:24:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x40108c…
05-11 06:24:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf80244…
05-11 06:24:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x349a30…
05-11 06:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe5a72e…
05-11 05:34:48	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x85b423…
05-11 05:34:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xab5f18…
05-11 05:34:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xefe18c…
05-11 05:34:45	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x93f1f1…
05-11 05:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xecab7d…
05-11 05:34:43	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd03d6d…
05-11 05:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x548a3f…
05-11 05:29:52	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x963faf…
05-11 05:29:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf6612b…
05-11 05:29:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x510709…
05-11 05:29:49	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x664eea…
05-11 05:29:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x1230f6…
05-11 05:29:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6b41fe…
05-11 05:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x08a501…
05-11 04:34:33	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6f758c…
05-11 04:34:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x644aa1…
05-11 04:34:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb34e70…
05-11 04:34:31	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xadc339…
05-11 04:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x63473c…
05-11 04:34:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3196f3…
05-11 04:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x22d8c5…
05-11 04:29:28	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd02b10…
05-11 04:29:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0ec262…
05-11 04:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x662ad4…
05-11 04:29:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x51ef6c…
05-11 04:29:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf53a2f…
05-11 04:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc129b8…
05-11 04:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x62e408…
05-11 04:14:32	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf645b2…
05-11 04:14:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b9408…
05-11 04:14:30	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe631fa…
05-11 04:14:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc66bff…
05-11 04:14:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe631e9…
05-11 04:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8eda69…
05-11 04:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x694317…
05-11 03:39:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9345ba…
05-11 03:39:29	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ec818…
05-11 03:39:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd8ce64…
05-11 03:39:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x909144…
05-11 03:39:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e7969…
05-11 03:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf938fa…
05-11 03:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x181157…
05-11 03:04:32	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa609ba…
05-11 03:04:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9ac4ec…
05-11 03:04:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4d711c…
05-11 03:04:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf61c5…
05-11 03:04:29	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82f174…
05-11 03:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf9bf14…
05-11 03:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9097a7…
05-11 02:59:33	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xc0117b…
05-11 02:59:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x3c1f52…
05-11 02:59:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xaa4831…
05-11 02:59:28	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xbef48d…
05-11 02:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xbb4178…
05-11 02:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x25a1f8…
05-11 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xb6652a…
05-11 02:53:31	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x97031d…
05-11 02:53:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd881a3…
05-11 02:53:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5c2d58…
05-11 02:53:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd116f3…
05-11 02:53:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xbb8af3…
05-11 02:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x1ce231…
05-11 02:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x11b31d…
05-11 02:48:38	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xaa69e6…
05-11 02:48:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x9a2aa1…
05-11 02:48:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x1ba8fb…
05-11 02:48:37	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd70b7b…
05-11 02:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x8006c5…
05-11 02:16:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7fdec0…
05-11 02:16:11	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x020c62…
05-10 13:43:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xad0db4…
05-10 13:38:50	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02b425…
05-10 13:37:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb377d8…
05-10 13:19:58	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc20b1f…
05-10 13:04:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8f103…
05-10 13:04:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7a45ff…