Unwieldy-Initiative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-20 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 58% +$1

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-17 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$4	4	3	+1	open	—	05-16 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	05-08 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 18:37
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-18 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 08:52
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-19 18:44
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-20 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 09:10
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-19 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 18:54:50	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x0ceff9…
06-20 18:54:20	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7edcbe…
06-19 18:49:14	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x626eb7…
06-19 18:44:02	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x2fef90…
06-18 17:55:56	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1cead1…
06-17 19:02:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x309bdb…
06-17 16:37:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3d88ca…
05-18 14:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xce3e3e…
05-18 14:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf8b9e7…
05-18 14:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xbe8d7b…
05-18 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf1a118…
05-18 14:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xcaf3f5…
05-18 14:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6bbde1…
05-18 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x38a660…
05-18 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x88e867…
05-18 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa3f67a…
05-18 13:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x95822c…
05-18 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x77c3a5…
05-18 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x29c123…
05-18 06:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xca1ae4…
05-18 06:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe19057…
05-18 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x9b4e61…
05-18 06:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x876b52…
05-18 05:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x856135…
05-18 05:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa900da…
05-17 20:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x31c35a…
05-17 20:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe33f10…
05-17 20:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x40f305…
05-17 20:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6c9096…
05-16 19:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x9a5570…
05-16 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xef659f…
05-16 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5c757b…
05-16 18:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xcd28af…
05-16 18:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4ecf2d…
05-16 18:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xaf224a…
05-16 18:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbcb31c…
05-16 18:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4a71d6…
05-16 18:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x79d8dd…
05-14 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xef5ea7…
05-14 04:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x322f83…
05-14 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdeaf90…
05-12 17:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x698082…
05-12 17:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4e6f85…
05-12 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf09122…
05-12 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe499ea…
05-12 17:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdca0a3…
05-09 04:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe9353d…
05-09 03:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3dfa97…
05-09 03:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x3d41a8…
05-09 03:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x79c6e0…
05-08 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec032e…
05-08 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x94823c…
05-08 13:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x0cda3f…
05-08 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5c1d32…
05-08 11:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xbbbf92…
05-08 11:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x256383…
05-08 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xefb51a…
05-08 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd6f869…
05-08 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x6019b2…
05-08 10:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8b57c…
05-08 10:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x7706e2…
05-08 10:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x431f9c…
05-08 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x47e6a8…
05-08 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x382ae1…
05-08 10:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8dff1f…
05-08 10:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x0258b2…
05-08 10:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xab9fce…
05-08 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0b93e3…
05-08 10:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x54b74e…
05-08 10:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd76afa…
05-08 10:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x18c0cb…
05-08 09:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0a4075…
05-08 09:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5661b2…
05-08 09:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf5f0bb…
05-08 09:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x137742…
05-08 09:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x98864e…
05-08 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6ae6c3…
05-08 09:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe5faac…
05-08 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78b9bb…
05-08 09:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x74f01b…
05-08 09:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd78ec5…
05-08 09:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7bd48c…
05-08 09:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xea4bcf…
05-08 08:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x206725…
05-08 08:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x5661ba…
05-08 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x29e56c…
05-08 08:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x04dd29…