Modest-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$4.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-29 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Other

39% 22% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	40	$786	1,177	1,087	+89	open	—	04-13 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	12	$583	460	455	+6	open	—	04-07 23:01
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	29	$543	351	351	+0	open	—	04-13 01:31
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	13	$365	230	230	+0	open	—	04-08 18:28
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	9	$299	231	228	+3	open	—	04-12 19:32
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$272	275	275	+0	open	—	04-21 20:57
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	42	$256	1,258	1,043	+215	open	—	05-29 02:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$208	305	0	+305	open	—	04-02 01:34
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$200	115	115	+0	open	—	04-12 18:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$169	144	144	+0	open	—	04-22 12:51
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 18:51
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	18	$133	485	517	-32	open	—	04-07 22:58
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$103	60	60	+0	open	—	04-02 20:53
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$101	100	150	-50	open	—	04-08 12:08
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the march meeting	2	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 18:07
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	4	$79	105	0	+105	open	—	04-10 16:45
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 16:11
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	10	$63	165	165	+0	Yes	+$9	04-16 02:24
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 12:01
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	5	$37	96	96	+0	open	—	04-07 23:01
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$20	100	97	+3	open	—	04-07 23:01
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$13	381	0	+381	open	—	04-21 20:05
spx up or down on april 7 2026	1	$13	50	0	+50	open	—	04-07 19:59
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?	13	$12	121	0	+121	No	$-12	04-10 08:09
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in April?	4	$9	60	0	+60	No	$-9	04-09 19:17
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?	7	$6	55	0	+55	No	$-6	04-09 20:37
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	3	$5	50	5	+45	No	$-2	04-16 07:32
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?	2	$5	42	0	+42	Yes	+$37	04-09 09:10
will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	6	$3	36	36	+0	open	—	04-12 18:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 02:21:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x4dccc2…
05-26 15:52:57	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x32caaf…
05-24 19:56:26	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0xc8ce7c…
05-21 15:26:28	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	300	12¢	$36	0xe75d15…
05-17 10:46:19	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0xcd516a…
05-17 01:38:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xdaedc2…
05-16 23:58:58	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xab00b9…
05-16 17:28:23	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4098b3…
05-16 16:40:54	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xf06abc…
05-16 16:40:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x1c618d…
05-13 13:12:07	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x8f402c…
05-11 21:15:26	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x6674a4…
05-11 19:57:35	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa9061c…
05-11 18:54:21	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x4fb775…
05-07 23:22:22	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xee0aa0…
05-07 20:10:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x5bc90d…
05-05 16:21:22	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	126	9¢	$11	0xbf74b9…
05-05 05:35:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x0afe96…
05-04 22:26:54	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x85f42f…
05-04 19:50:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xe68c01…
05-02 00:27:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0x09a239…
05-01 12:06:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x71197d…
05-01 12:05:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x9999f6…
05-01 12:04:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x14fff8…
04-28 13:51:30	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb32f86…
04-27 23:29:50	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x019546…
04-27 09:30:22	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xa6089c…
04-27 01:10:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa80107…
04-27 01:04:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xac05be…
04-26 18:37:10	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x644c14…
04-26 18:21:02	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbef70f…
04-25 22:45:42	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0xa72541…
04-25 18:46:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$29	0x98f728…
04-25 18:46:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	93	13¢	$12	0x4b67ea…
04-25 14:57:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x42a9e2…
04-25 08:48:26	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x544809…
04-25 08:47:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4cb434…
04-25 02:11:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x2dcdfb…
04-25 02:07:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf3307c…
04-24 18:42:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x355227…
04-24 18:41:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x9e4770…
04-24 13:53:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x8d85c0…
04-24 13:53:22	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0xe16f86…
04-22 12:51:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0xcafd9c…
04-22 10:35:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x0d6f4c…
04-21 21:14:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	64	60¢	$39	0x01689d…
04-21 21:14:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x918984…
04-21 21:00:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xae7c39…
04-21 21:00:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x90b545…
04-21 20:58:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xf4d720…
04-21 20:57:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	75	44¢	$33	0xd76bf6…
04-21 20:54:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x48c8a1…
04-21 20:53:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x02f840…
04-21 20:52:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xde71ce…
04-21 20:51:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x59a098…
04-21 20:47:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa73879…
04-21 20:40:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc39fa8…
04-21 20:22:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0x9d5c93…
04-21 20:15:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xef0f70…
04-21 20:15:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x43c25d…
04-21 20:15:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x0b0f79…
04-21 20:15:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xbeca94…
04-21 20:09:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2e3376…
04-21 20:05:02	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x838019…
04-21 20:03:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	212	2¢	$4	0x1950b6…
04-19 22:08:40	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0x0b0300…
04-19 22:08:36	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2d857e…
04-19 22:08:24	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4ba6cd…
04-19 21:14:00	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf6c507…
04-19 21:09:14	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x3a506a…
04-16 07:32:14	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x50124c…
04-16 02:24:16	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x7cf01a…
04-13 12:37:23	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xd40ffd…
04-13 12:19:45	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8bf0d2…
04-13 12:14:11	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x70ba1a…
04-13 10:13:25	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xab3f00…
04-13 09:27:13	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xc58af2…
04-13 01:31:53	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xc7c178…
04-13 01:30:59	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x9a0fe9…
04-13 01:30:51	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	108	95¢	$103	0x73cf66…
04-13 00:04:29	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x9d6404…
04-12 23:20:09	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0xdcbaa1…
04-12 23:19:31	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xcd7732…
04-12 22:53:27	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x8ac6b8…
04-12 22:33:31	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	75	22¢	$16	0x5dc177…
04-12 19:53:37	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x5ff31d…
04-12 19:53:21	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x4e5cea…
04-12 19:51:45	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0xbd18ec…
04-12 19:49:15	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xa6f019…
04-12 19:49:07	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x9aea42…
04-12 19:49:03	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xe7609e…
04-12 19:47:39	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	49	90¢	$45	0xf72afb…
04-12 19:47:31	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x48c08a…
04-12 19:32:17	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xe243ac…
04-12 19:32:03	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x6909ca…
04-12 19:31:57	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfae156…
04-12 19:31:57	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x896a15…
04-12 19:31:55	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x3211d8…
04-12 19:31:55	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x0b84f3…
04-12 19:31:35	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x1774fd…