Faraway-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$190

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

146

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-03 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

56% 12% +$274

Other

37% 13% -$126

Sports

7% 50% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+66	$10	7¢	$5	-$5	10-27 09:20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+35	$7	8¢	$3	-$4	10-01 15:16
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+24	$5	8¢	$2	-$3	10-12 18:54
Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	16¢	$2	+$1	11-03 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	9	$441	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$399	10-26 00:11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	5	$54	80	80	+0	Yes	+$28	07-15 21:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$45	39	39	+0	Yes	+$33	07-19 23:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	8	$40	314	314	+0	No	-$40	10-26 00:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$17	10-25 23:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	2	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$15	10-05 00:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	6	$24	477	477	+0	No	-$24	10-25 23:40
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	05-16 23:06
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	4	$18	144	100	+44	No	-$2	07-19 13:54
Will Spain win the World Cup?	2	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	+$13	07-19 23:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$13	56	56	+0	No	+$9	10-24 18:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	4	$12	180	0	+180	No	-$12	10-04 21:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	5	$11	1,441	0	+1,441	No	-$11	10-04 21:16
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	1	$11	96	0	+96	Yes	-$11	10-15 22:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$10	34	17	+17	No	-$10	04-12 19:12
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$10	66	0	+66	open	—	10-27 09:20
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	2	$10	112	0	+112	Ecuador	-$10	06-25 21:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	1	$10	139	0	+139	No	-$10	10-25 22:46
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	-$10	06-07 11:21
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	2	$9	17	17	+0	No	+$5	07-15 21:13
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	3	$8	52	0	+52	No	-$8	07-15 20:52
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$7	35	0	+35	open	—	10-01 15:16
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	3	$7	77	29	+48	No	-$5	07-15 21:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	11-03 18:04
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$6	187	0	+187	No	-$6	10-16 22:44
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	2	$6	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$6	06-11 16:19
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	1	$6	147	0	+147	No	-$6	06-13 19:22
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	1	$6	85	0	+85	No	-$6	07-18 21:43
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	1	$6	22	0	+22	No	-$6	07-05 19:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	35	0	+35	No	-$6	05-12 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 18:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8bc2f…
11-03 18:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x901cba…
11-03 18:11:27	Will France win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x48f960…
11-03 18:11:18	Will Cuba win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5e6133…
11-03 18:11:09	Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc9c8b3…
11-03 18:04:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x2dac36…
10-27 09:20:27	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xe147a6…
10-26 00:12:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	314	0¢	$0	0xeb1670…
10-26 00:11:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xb79c7d…
10-25 23:49:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x549d4e…
10-25 23:40:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	477	0¢	$0	0x6fd667…
10-25 23:39:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x83b9c1…
10-25 23:36:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x22d3aa…
10-25 23:32:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x8cdc3d…
10-25 23:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x30d4dd…
10-25 23:10:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xf9240d…
10-25 23:09:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xee64c9…
10-25 23:03:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x57d3c1…
10-25 22:51:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8feac4…
10-25 22:46:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x019cf2…
10-25 22:46:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0xa17f2b…
10-25 22:44:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x30906f…
10-25 22:42:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x2ec2d0…
10-25 22:41:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x24e21f…
10-25 22:40:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	418	1¢	$5	0x5f3856…
10-25 22:38:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd2e613…
10-25 22:38:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x719b19…
10-25 22:37:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x7270d7…
10-25 22:33:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	1,441	29¢	$415	0xd31f43…
10-25 20:14:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb7f021…
10-25 20:11:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xac9828…
10-24 18:46:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0xd93106…
10-24 18:45:32	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x43e0bd…
10-24 18:44:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0x36abcf…
10-24 18:39:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xd13fd2…
10-16 22:46:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xdc6c51…
10-16 22:44:20	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x3cb005…
10-15 23:06:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xbfaab5…
10-15 22:53:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x91e8db…
10-15 22:53:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x967f5d…
10-15 22:51:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x360d38…
10-15 22:49:43	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	96	11¢	$11	0x6400c2…
10-12 19:02:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x630259…
10-12 19:01:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,035	1¢	$6	0xd3f8e1…
10-12 18:54:38	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9f2be3…
10-05 00:41:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdc31fa…
10-05 00:20:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	749	0¢	$1	0xdf8018…
10-04 23:52:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x843828…
10-04 23:51:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	416	0¢	$1	0x3daa1f…
10-04 23:44:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xe8ccdd…
10-04 21:34:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x864aa7…
10-04 21:16:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x28f9c4…
10-04 21:01:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x9e6cc3…
10-04 20:59:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x03a2b7…
10-04 20:56:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x488fd1…
10-04 20:54:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x7bbf0d…
10-04 20:53:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xcc916a…
10-04 18:07:41	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd7cd05…
10-04 18:06:17	Portugal vs. Norway: Portugal O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0ecbf2…
10-04 10:45:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x422a14…
10-04 10:44:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0xf3064d…
10-01 15:16:14	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xce25da…
10-01 15:09:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbce21a…
10-01 15:08:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3ddda9…
09-29 20:53:14	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x1cded3…
09-19 16:59:44	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x15453d…
09-19 16:54:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xab80a8…
09-18 17:45:43	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x698dbd…
09-18 17:42:27	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xd68d1c…
09-07 21:10:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xbb4734…
09-07 21:01:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x40eb75…
09-07 20:59:31	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xec21ad…
07-22 20:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x35d73d…
07-21 21:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc2526b…
07-20 18:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a0a17…
07-20 18:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x69477e…
07-19 23:50:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xbe5064…
07-19 23:50:39	Will Spain win the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8b6536…
07-19 21:00:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xa9644b…
07-19 20:58:40	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x328f74…
07-19 20:00:09	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2fa155…
07-19 19:33:37	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xa12c14…
07-19 18:52:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals alexis mac allister gte1	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x70cc84…
07-19 13:54:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3a6626…
07-19 13:51:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots dani olmo gte4	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe93e9c…
07-19 13:50:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots julian alvarez gte4	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8b8a36…
07-19 13:47:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x1bc7e1…
07-19 13:45:13	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x463725…
07-19 13:44:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe775b2…
07-19 13:43:49	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x52c6cc…
07-19 13:37:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x995c6d…
07-19 13:36:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3f986c…
07-19 13:35:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x03f1ff…
07-19 13:34:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x2754ac…
07-19 13:33:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x989bce…
07-19 13:33:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x608903…
07-18 21:46:55	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x07f789…
07-18 21:43:22	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	85	7¢	$6	0xeff672…
07-18 20:38:58	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4dfffb…
07-18 20:38:42	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9ecf7a…