Lumbering-Cast-Paper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

289

Trades

2,159

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-02 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

99% 42% -$404

Politics

1% 67% +$28

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 50% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?	17	$936	503	503	+0	Yes	+$58	05-17 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?	34	$755	427	427	+0	Yes	-$22	05-26 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	41	$542	392	392	+0	Yes	-$89	05-13 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	27	$526	344	341	+3	Yes	-$8	05-16 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	20	$518	289	289	+0	No	+$43	05-25 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	4	$451	232	232	+0	Yes	+$12	05-21 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?	4	$441	221	221	+0	No	+$1	05-20 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	12	$409	224	224	+0	No	+$18	05-15 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?	8	$408	205	205	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 14?	11	$380	253	253	+0	Yes	+$45	09-14 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	11	$376	205	205	+0	Yes	+$35	05-22 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	21	$349	200	200	+0	No	+$38	05-12 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	42	$346	444	444	+0	Yes	-$206	05-09 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 1?	10	$328	176	176	+0	No	+$24	08-01 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?	13	$325	250	250	+0	Yes	+$159	08-01 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	15	$302	172	172	+0	Yes	+$6	05-14 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?	26	$298	297	297	+0	Yes	-$185	05-20 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	24	$293	227	227	+0	No	-$60	05-13 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?	8	$289	161	161	+0	Yes	+$3	05-24 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	9	$269	155	155	+0	No	+$40	05-11 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 27?	9	$267	203	203	+0	Yes	+$20	08-27 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?	14	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	+$114	07-24 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 17?	19	$256	158	158	+0	No	+$60	08-17 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?	8	$256	252	252	-0	Yes	-$233	05-27 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?	11	$249	242	242	+0	Yes	+$222	07-29 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 30?	14	$246	204	201	+3	Yes	+$107	07-30 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	3	$240	144	144	-0	Yes	+$47	09-19 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?	21	$233	220	220	+0	No	-$64	05-22 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 29?	5	$230	130	130	+0	No	+$29	07-29 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?	8	$226	130	130	+0	No	+$4	05-11 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x457f3d…
11-02 03:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x0057fe…
11-02 02:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x279868…
11-01 06:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xd3e7df…
11-01 06:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x117c8d…
11-01 06:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x1a4fcd…
11-01 06:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x150563…
11-01 05:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x7c1671…
10-31 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe67c22…
10-31 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x475af8…
10-31 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x2693a8…
10-31 15:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb94768…
10-31 15:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2f22cc…
10-31 15:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xbb4e65…
10-31 15:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcbb150…
10-31 14:42:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	81¢	$51	0x6c73ec…
10-31 08:25:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x63bd4b…
10-31 04:21:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8dab51…
10-30 15:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$0	0xe22c37…
10-30 14:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc05eb9…
10-30 14:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xda0f47…
10-30 14:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc9e289…
10-30 06:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	179	36¢	$64	0x7051ec…
10-30 04:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe29f4a…
10-30 03:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9a1231…
10-30 03:00:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$26	0x974385…
10-29 16:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x1f21ca…
10-29 16:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x1ddb11…
10-29 14:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6ca2bf…
10-29 05:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xf9d8f6…
10-28 15:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x8cd758…
10-28 14:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9ee3e6…
10-28 13:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa2827d…
10-27 15:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xf033c4…
10-27 07:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa234ed…
10-26 06:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xc8acb5…
10-26 06:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x9ddb52…
10-26 03:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xc13856…
10-26 03:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x5b55a4…
10-25 12:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xb8c3c6…
10-24 05:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x3b9b30…
10-24 05:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf6c1a8…
10-24 05:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x2db751…
10-24 01:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xc4b7dc…
10-24 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6ec04f…
10-23 14:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x096451…
10-23 14:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2a80d7…
10-23 11:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x53725f…
10-23 08:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x36d27a…
10-23 06:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x08520d…
10-23 05:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x7bee3c…
10-23 04:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x87a52f…
10-23 04:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x877b0d…
10-23 02:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9b7c45…
10-23 02:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa6dc47…
10-23 02:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x91ed54…
10-22 15:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb79c4…
10-22 15:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x26a02c…
10-22 15:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9490a3…
10-22 02:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5f894c…
10-22 02:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x0408df…
10-22 02:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdefcd8…
10-22 02:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3573e2…
10-22 01:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf7db41…
10-21 15:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x2a7690…
10-20 14:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x6940a4…
10-19 04:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x97b0a6…
10-19 04:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xc547b4…
10-19 04:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7c95ed…
10-19 04:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xa7f57b…
10-19 04:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xe70ded…
10-19 03:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	No	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0x633d4c…
10-18 14:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x348d35…
10-18 05:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x515b72…
10-18 02:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa2863d…
10-17 14:16:47	highest temperature in seoul on october 18 2026 22c	No	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xba7281…
10-17 14:16:47	highest temperature in seoul on october 18 2026 22c	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x034464…
10-17 05:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0xaa0be5…
10-17 05:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0xbdfc29…
10-16 16:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe1e24e…
10-16 09:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbcfd9c…
10-16 04:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x32e201…
10-16 04:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x7e658e…
10-16 04:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43afee…
10-16 02:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x4c9005…
10-16 02:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	57	11¢	$6	0x2355ed…
10-16 02:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x4aece4…
10-16 02:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x9b8565…
10-16 01:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x956aea…
10-16 01:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb47a6f…
10-15 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x952f3d…
10-15 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x93cb7e…
10-15 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x8e8069…
10-15 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x570beb…
10-15 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0103ed…
10-15 12:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeed738…
10-15 12:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0af9a7…
10-15 05:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xcf71bd…
10-15 04:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf8d2ad…
10-15 04:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x98c042…