Agile-Bottom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-24 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% +$3

Other

23% 100% +$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-26 11:05
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-17 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-01 10:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-23 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-13 09:42
ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	06-08 10:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-04 11:49
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	04-23 12:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-26 12:02
ethereum above 2600 on april 11	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-10 11:47
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 20	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-20 06:55
bitcoin above 60k on april 4	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:33
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-15 09:22
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-18 08:24
ethereum above 1800 on march 30	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-30 12:51
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 23	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-23 06:53
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-08 07:25
will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	02-09 07:00
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 11	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-11 07:18
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-14 09:13
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-01 08:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-17 08:19
solana above 100 on march 4	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-04 09:05
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	02-02 09:09
bitcoin above 96k on january 4	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-04 08:47
ethereum above 3200 on january 31	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-30 12:30
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-18 12:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-26 06:34
bitcoin above 84k on january 14	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	01-13 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 14:53:44	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x597e09…
09-24 14:50:53	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x43dda3…
08-01 11:10:15	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7ae60f…
06-08 10:35:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xedb84f…
06-01 10:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x97645b…
05-23 06:58:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xea551c…
05-17 11:23:37	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x36d626…
05-13 09:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xcd93ea…
05-07 12:07:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xd3e4b8…
05-04 11:49:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa7e490…
04-26 11:05:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9a1dcc…
04-23 12:55:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xdbb6bd…
04-18 08:24:44	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xebfdbb…
04-15 09:22:42	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8af7d8…
04-10 11:47:39	ethereum above 2600 on april 11	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x399cb4…
04-03 12:33:51	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x63a289…
03-30 12:51:56	ethereum above 1800 on march 30	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd1784e…
03-26 12:02:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x279e38…
03-23 06:53:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 23	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x278faf…
03-20 06:55:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 20	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc4ad16…
03-17 08:19:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x847d02…
03-14 09:13:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x58c2fb…
03-11 07:18:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 11	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3aad12…
03-08 07:25:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9166ce…
03-04 09:05:07	solana above 100 on march 4	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xdda0e2…
03-01 08:34:03	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1d9972…
02-09 07:00:07	will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6f91cc…
02-02 09:09:00	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x13a040…
01-30 12:30:42	ethereum above 3200 on january 31	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x12677b…
01-26 06:34:02	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x73b349…
01-18 12:14:44	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xe522fd…
01-13 13:24:19	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x67ac94…
01-08 12:32:45	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x79068a…
01-04 08:47:53	bitcoin above 96k on january 4	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x202bbf…