Grown-Apology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.95K

Unrealized P&L

-$243

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

233

Trades

469

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$45

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

61% 39% -$1,952

Sports

39% 32% -$2,001

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes		+3,246	$289	1¢	$45	-$243	10-25 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$1.5K	2,175	0	+2,175	Seahawks	+$674	02-08 18:55
will luke littler win the pdc world darts championship	4	$732	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$318	01-03 20:32
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	3	$701	500	500	+0	Yes	+$81	07-09 21:32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$519	300	300	+0	No	+$81	09-09 09:32
nfl buf den 2026 01 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$475	913	0	+913	Broncos	-$475	01-16 11:47
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$432	800	0	+800	Argentina	-$432	07-15 12:54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$401	250	250	+0	Yes	+$39	07-02 20:12
nfl gb min 2026 01 04	1	$400	500	0	+500	Vikings	+$100	01-03 21:16
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	7	$400	800	0	+800	Bills	-$400	01-11 19:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$400	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$400	05-29 19:00
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19	1	$370	500	0	+500	Indiana	+$130	01-19 15:38
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$358	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$358	07-15 12:54
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	2	$356	746	746	+0	open	—	09-08 06:54
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	3	$335	500	0	+500	49ers	-$335	01-07 11:16
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$335	500	0	+500	Yes	+$165	06-15 18:28
nfl la car 2026 01 10 spread away 6pt5	1	$330	500	0	+500	Panthers	-$330	01-07 20:52
Spread: Utah (-6.5)	2	$304	200	200	+0	Utah	+$92	10-25 05:52
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$295	500	0	+500	Spain	-$295	07-12 00:08
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	14	$289	3,246	0	+3,246	open	—	10-25 17:51
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$283	500	0	+500	Yes	+$217	06-19 06:43
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 spread home 4pt5	1	$275	500	0	+500	49ers	-$275	01-11 12:50
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 10000m davide ghiotto ita	2	$275	500	0	+500	No	+$225	02-13 12:24
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	27	$265	5,183	2,111	+3,072	No	-$47	03-15 20:55
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	1	$260	400	0	+400	Rams	+$140	01-18 19:15
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	11	$260	400	0	+400	Steelers	-$260	01-02 08:31
nfl gb min 2026 01 04 spread home 8pt5	1	$254	480	0	+480	Vikings	+$226	01-03 14:42
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating womens 3000m marijke groenewoud ned	12	$240	1,850	0	+1,850	No	-$240	02-07 15:17
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$231	300	0	+300	Yes	+$69	07-01 12:45
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$230	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-13 18:36
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	2	$230	300	147	+153	France	+$173	07-09 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:51:11	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0xef90e5…
10-25 05:52:39	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x967d8f…
10-24 19:22:08	Spread: Buffalo (-2.5)	Buffalo	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xc152bd…
10-24 17:29:54	Spread: TCU (-3.5)	TCU	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x642c54…
10-24 14:49:45	Spread: Utah (-13.5)	Utah	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc80137…
10-24 06:32:57	Spread: Georgia Tech (-6.5)	Georgia Tech	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xab1a31…
10-24 06:32:35	Spread: Kent State (-6.5)	Kent State	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd40663…
10-24 06:32:05	Spread: Kent State (-2.5)	Kent State	BUY	123	53¢	$65	0x4b4412…
10-24 06:27:12	Spread: Kansas (-6.5)	Kansas	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0xa96627…
10-24 06:26:44	Spread: Kansas (-3.5)	Kansas	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x090b84…
10-24 06:26:26	Spread: Baylor (-2.5)	Kansas	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xd3af46…
10-24 06:25:57	Spread: Iowa (-7.5)	Iowa	BUY	172	51¢	$88	0xa47ce9…
10-23 19:20:17	Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	367	1¢	$3	0x0d70dd…
10-23 17:30:35	Spread: Toledo (-6.5)	Toledo	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf8e649…
10-23 16:29:15	Spread: Toledo (-10.5)	Toledo	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x63f35f…
10-23 14:25:08	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x7e2fd7…
10-23 14:24:32	Spread: TCU (-10.5)	TCU	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x737791…
10-23 14:15:09	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x569cb8…
10-23 14:14:45	Spread: Iowa (-6.5)	Iowa	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe341fe…
10-23 14:06:59	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0xa1a2f0…
10-22 15:40:51	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Bears	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xe4fd91…
10-22 15:07:03	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2bc398…
10-22 15:04:50	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xd1ec8e…
10-22 15:04:50	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xa8f19f…
10-22 13:00:39	Spread: James Madison (-10.5)	James Madison	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb41a96…
10-22 06:44:38	Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0xdb0b30…
10-21 18:36:11	Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	206	3¢	$5	0x4ecb22…
10-20 12:31:27	Spread: Florida International (-10.5)	Florida International	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x006874…
10-20 12:30:56	Spread: Delaware (-3.5)	Delaware	BUY	202	47¢	$95	0x805dcf…
10-20 12:27:44	Spread: Marshall (-2.5)	Marshall	BUY	203	38¢	$77	0x2f186c…
10-20 12:27:20	Spread: Marshall (-5.5)	Marshall	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0xe9db71…
10-09 09:01:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xcd6498…
10-09 07:28:55	Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)	East Carolina	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x21b16c…
10-09 07:28:31	Spread: East Carolina (-8.5)	East Carolina	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x3aa88e…
10-09 07:28:07	Spread: Western Michigan (-20.5)	Western Michigan	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x41ec69…
10-09 07:27:46	Spread: Western Michigan (-13.5)	Western Michigan	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xaa9a33…
10-09 07:27:10	Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)	UCF	BUY	138	52¢	$72	0xded477…
10-09 07:26:48	Spread: Oklahoma State (-4.5)	UCF	BUY	129	32¢	$41	0x83ba18…
10-09 07:26:25	Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)	UCF	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xcf43bd…
10-09 07:26:10	Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5)	Vanderbilt	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xae41f9…
10-09 07:26:01	Spread: Ole Miss (-9.5)	Vanderbilt	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x9d5c4f…
10-09 07:25:45	Tulsa vs. Navy	Navy	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0x31f175…
10-08 15:08:51	Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	95	45¢	$43	0x0d9042…
10-07 19:05:57	Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc77685…
10-07 19:05:49	Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xd688b3…
10-07 19:05:30	Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x77ee23…
10-07 19:05:19	Spread: Pittsburgh (-17.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x435d73…
10-07 19:05:13	Spread: Pittsburgh (-20.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x98ecef…
10-07 19:04:54	Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x7518af…
10-07 19:04:10	Spread: Liberty (-20.5)	Liberty	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x207b25…
10-07 19:03:27	Spread: Liberty (-13.5)	Liberty	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x18e0e1…
10-06 20:55:39	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Titans	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x3034a0…
10-06 20:55:06	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3bfaa4…
10-06 20:54:48	Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0xafca6d…
10-06 20:54:21	Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)	Eagles	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0xe4239a…
10-06 20:53:02	Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xdff1fa…
10-06 20:52:41	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x251d33…
10-03 17:44:51	Spread: Giants (-5.5)	Giants	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x2a24fe…
10-03 17:44:32	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x06a956…
09-28 06:39:17	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	534	3¢	$16	0x4a8bb3…
09-27 12:18:05	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	220	50¢	$110	0x289abe…
09-21 23:51:03	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	103	7¢	$8	0xf381b8…
09-21 23:51:03	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xe4a766…
09-21 23:51:03	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x60e254…
09-21 23:51:03	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x18aadb…
09-21 20:32:12	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x94322f…
09-21 19:46:28	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x41aa52…
09-21 19:45:39	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	89	7¢	$7	0x38c363…
09-19 07:33:57	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)	Chargers	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe2f4b0…
09-19 07:11:54	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0x4baf9b…
09-19 07:10:57	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xfd2d62…
09-19 07:10:34	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xaf728e…
09-14 06:51:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xb59bc8…
09-13 20:21:55	Saints vs. Lions	Saints	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xeca573…
09-13 11:57:37	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xddf17d…
09-13 11:49:28	Spread: Lions (-6.5)	Lions	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x9b2285…
09-09 19:13:54	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1e3ffb…
09-09 09:32:37	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x46d48b…
09-08 09:13:25	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	366	13¢	$48	0xefa93b…
09-08 07:01:10	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	436	13¢	$56	0x4fda14…
09-08 06:54:15	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	746	30¢	$222	0x107505…
09-07 10:16:12	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	746	18¢	$134	0xab7c41…
09-07 10:14:55	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$127	0x79c461…
08-28 13:55:21	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	229	12¢	$26	0xa3f77d…
08-28 13:54:19	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xc6a3dc…
08-28 13:54:04	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$16	0x3157a0…
08-28 13:53:54	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$18	0x7d6883…
08-28 13:53:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x70707d…
07-15 12:55:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	400	15¢	$59	0xe18905…
07-15 12:54:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0x750e11…
07-15 12:54:08	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$358	0xbae83a…
07-14 18:45:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x51663e…
07-14 09:33:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x93256b…
07-14 09:33:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x5a9b80…
07-14 09:28:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x58f704…
07-14 09:28:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	200	20¢	$39	0xf02b31…
07-14 09:28:04	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x9bcab3…
07-12 05:06:43	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xd9ee0c…
07-12 05:06:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xb4838d…
07-12 00:08:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x460930…