Trivial-Consistency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

4,207

Trades

19,318

lifetime

Volume

$644.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

95% 54% +$5,859

Crypto

4% 96% +$170

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 67% +$41

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	20	$13.5K	7,400	7,400	+0	Yes	+$420	07-10 20:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$12.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	-$430	07-06 20:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$10.5K	5,390	5,390	+0	Yes	+$253	04-25 13:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$7.9K	1,000	7,000	-6,000	Yes	+$42	06-16 17:07
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	7	$7.7K	7,474	300	+7,174	Yes	+$93	07-18 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	28	$5.9K	3,078	3,078	+0	Yes	+$264	07-26 14:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	8	$5.4K	2,765	2,765	+0	Yes	+$116	07-07 18:05
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	03-20 01:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	68	$4.4K	2,446	2,244	+202	Yes	+$43	04-24 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?	18	$4.2K	2,304	2,147	+157	No	-$9	05-29 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	29	$4.2K	2,101	2,101	+0	Yes	+$28	06-07 14:50
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	14	$4.1K	4,220	50	+4,170	Argentina	+$49	07-04 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 20?	30	$4.1K	2,046	2,046	+0	No	+$22	07-20 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?	12	$4.0K	4,188	93	+4,095	Yes	+$122	07-17 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	5	$3.8K	3,400	400	+3,000	Yes	+$37	09-09 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17?	4	$3.6K	3,622	0	+3,622	Yes	+$54	09-17 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	121	$3.5K	1,844	1,843	+0	No	+$88	08-06 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?	144	$3.5K	1,802	1,802	+0	No	+$50	05-10 08:05
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	3	$3.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$635	07-12 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	44	$3.2K	2,919	532	+2,387	Yes	+$25	07-20 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	5	$3.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	+$29	07-17 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6?	4	$2.9K	1,491	1,491	+0	No	+$73	08-06 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 25?	35	$2.8K	1,496	1,496	+0	No	+$43	05-25 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	1	$2.8K	2,794	0	+2,794	No	+$31	04-24 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	18	$2.7K	1,388	1,388	+0	No	+$17	06-05 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	19	$2.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$89	07-16 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	176	$2.7K	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	+$378	08-22 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?	11	$2.6K	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$28	07-22 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?	9	$2.5K	1,332	1,332	+0	Yes	+$139	09-22 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	10	$2.4K	1,226	1,226	-0	Yes	+$51	07-15 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0xab0139…
10-27 02:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0xb5d4b9…
10-27 02:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x3f8cc1…
10-27 02:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x950ad8…
10-27 02:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x97bf8f…
10-27 02:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	54	79¢	$43	0x35f35f…
10-27 02:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x47771c…
10-27 02:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0xc13278…
10-27 02:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xce22fc…
10-27 02:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0x99ba1b…
10-27 02:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x13857e…
10-27 02:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	529	100¢	$527	0xb1f398…
10-27 02:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	564	100¢	$562	0x9f6e77…
10-27 01:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x4d1555…
10-27 01:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x168a06…
10-27 01:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0x202984…
10-27 01:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x90e9f7…
10-27 01:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x3c6725…
10-27 01:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xbaeac7…
10-27 01:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xd0636f…
10-27 01:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xb46c22…
10-26 16:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x94d93e…
10-26 16:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	45	72¢	$32	0xa03ecc…
10-26 16:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1a69b2…
10-26 16:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	75	94¢	$70	0xb53671…
10-26 16:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x315b28…
10-26 16:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x28d8ab…
10-26 16:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe49e14…
10-26 16:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3a6772…
10-26 16:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	190	92¢	$175	0x7d2dbd…
10-26 16:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	142	93¢	$132	0xf8a5f7…
10-26 15:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6e7356…
10-26 15:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	116	82¢	$95	0x95c5d0…
10-26 14:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x10155e…
10-26 14:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	354	85¢	$299	0x9048c5…
10-26 14:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	172	75¢	$129	0xccd61d…
10-26 14:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x6f20cb…
10-26 14:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	33	75¢	$24	0xf7d6cb…
10-26 14:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xd85701…
10-26 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf921b3…
10-26 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x9d6a88…
10-26 14:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xfea419…
10-26 14:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe3e50b…
10-26 14:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7848f5…
10-26 14:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x5d7794…
10-26 14:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbc429f…
10-26 14:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa05241…
10-26 14:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8bbba0…
10-26 14:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x22c062…
10-26 14:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xbc1194…
10-26 14:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	252	98¢	$247	0xbaa212…
10-26 13:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa4df8a…
10-26 13:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x0c3e26…
10-26 13:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0b442…
10-26 13:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x90ba5f…
10-26 13:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xe3f772…
10-26 13:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x91f47a…
10-26 13:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x72841c…
10-26 13:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf58df7…
10-26 13:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b5593…
10-26 13:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbf4e3e…
10-26 13:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x654795…
10-26 13:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2f36fb…
10-26 12:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xdb934d…
10-26 12:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc03d45…
10-26 12:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x53fd37…
10-26 12:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1c6f73…
10-26 12:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	220	95¢	$209	0x00aec7…
10-26 11:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0xa1d0d3…
10-26 10:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x53beeb…
10-26 10:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb70ed8…
10-26 10:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcc5ab7…
10-26 10:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb9a5d4…
10-26 10:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x54a336…
10-26 10:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6f7d62…
10-26 10:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdb0973…
10-26 10:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2fd876…
10-26 10:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa8e8b0…
10-26 10:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x06bea6…
10-26 08:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xec3098…
10-26 08:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x9dd5da…
10-26 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	72	85¢	$61	0x2b3f0a…
10-26 07:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	380	100¢	$380	0xc14473…
10-26 07:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	268	95¢	$255	0x2b2082…
10-26 07:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x7cdad1…
10-26 06:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3b1ee…
10-26 06:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0xc65e92…
10-26 06:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	343	100¢	$343	0x43d7fa…
10-26 06:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4e67f1…
10-26 06:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x80aec5…
10-26 06:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb9083a…
10-26 06:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xae0aab…
10-26 06:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8b13ad…
10-26 06:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9fa4cb…
10-26 05:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0xac6c64…
10-26 05:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x625107…
10-26 05:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$262	0xa964dc…
10-26 05:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x8a94f0…
10-26 05:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf3ac1a…
10-26 05:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf0e915…